Winter Is Over West of The Cascades

11pm Tuesday…

Well, it’s time…time to “Fork Winter”.  Winter is cooked & finished west of the Cascades.   Put a fork in it!

Wayne requested I formally admit Winter 2019 is over during the 10pm newscast.  I assumed it was obvious this time around.  It’s so late in the season and we have 60s coming up later this week.  By the way, thanks again to John Rinier for that nice huge wooden fork!

Capture

What does “winter is over” mean in our climate?

Mark Winter is Over1

What could we still see?

Mark Winter is Over2

Now that first one is VERY unlikely, especially considering I don’t see any cold airmasses approaching in the next 10 days.  Typically I’ve put the fork in winter during late February, and of course it’s relatively easy to get a brief wet AM snowfall in early March.  Far less likely in late March.  Of course we can still get a frost the 2nd half of March, but we’re done with those low-mid 20s for the season.

Remember we’ve seen some strong wind in April recently.  Peak gust of 56 mph in early April 2017 during a rare late-season windstorm.

So yes…it’s time to get your snow tires off, uncover your faucets, and open up your crawl space.  Spring is on the way!

Mark Winter is Over13

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

34 Responses to Winter Is Over West of The Cascades

  1. Jake in Gresham says:

    And Spring is here just like that. Tulips blooming in the neighborhood, lawnmowers going and basketballs can be heard.

    Glad the models backed off of the 80’s but this is going to be one toasty week after what February was!

    • Ah, you’ve got several weeks on us. Crocuses are in full bloom, with daffodils just starting up this way. Our daffodils should be in full bloom by this time next week, if the forecast warm spell materializes. And after 40 days of below-normal temperatures, I’m ready for it—bring it on!

      • Roland Derksen says:

        I’m seeing the VERY last snow patches in my back yard disappearing here, either this evening or by noon tomorrow. They’re in the shade. Yestreday’s high here was 57.9F- today it’ll probably touch 60F, and after that- it’s a preview of summer!:-)

    • W7ENK says:

      Where were you seeing 80s? No models and no forecasts were calling for 80s, not at any point last week. Unless you meant to type 70s? That would make a little more sense…

  2. Jason Hougak says:

    41 consecutive below freezing lows since Feb. 3rd. Our last area of snow in the field may be gone today. With the cold ground temps it’s melted a lot slower than normal. It’s also not fresh snow but snowpack. Repeatedly going through freeze thaw everyday.

    • And now you know how snow normally acts in colder climates. When I moved to the PNW, it always struck me how quickly the evidence of cold, snowy spells disappeared, partly because the ground normally above freezing, and partly because our thaws involve above-freezing nights (rare in cold-winter climates).

  3. Evan -- Cedar Mill says:

    Ready for some warm weather…

  4. Tanis Leach says:

    I’m skeptical of 70 on Monday now, the Euro model is budging downward from 67 at the 12z yesterday to 62 today. I’m thinking that’s too aggressive, and it will be in the upper 60s but not hit 70 yet.

    • W7ENK says:

      Yeah, because the EURO did such a stellar job last month when it predicted a metric assload of snow for PDX metro… 🤔

      • Tanis Leach says:

        Did well with Corvallis, and Mr. Nelsen did say Euro is back on top now. I don’t trust it too much so I’m keeping my call in the upper 60s Sunday to Tuesday, but not 70 due to the downward trend (EURO is down to 60 in Corvallis, still 62 for Portland). I don’t see how the pattern couldn’t get us to at least 64 on all the days, and my intuition thinks there won’t be 70s yet. Subject to change.

        Or I’m just lazy due to finals studying.

  5. Roland Derksen says:

    I could see 70F here as well next week on the 19th or 20th- those would not be my earliest dates however; I had a 70F on March 13th back in 1992.

  6. I see 70’s.coming..nights are a tad chilly. Still using propane.for.heating at night but boy oh boy, that sun feels good…on th pocket book…and on me as well..make no bones about it, even partly cloudy skies have greatly reduced our power needed for the grid.

    Well, when we get more 70 is weather, I will have to get the Aircontioners up and ready..I have not used them on our new inverter yet.

    Ok, mark, then news station vehicles have some really nice inverter systems in them hehe…you could convert on of them Van’s in to a nice RV unit lol..just heckling ya..but…something to consider when the power goes out ..just take one of those Van’s home lol..
    But then at around a near mill each..I’d be guarding the thing .:)

  7. Ken in Wood Village says:

    I was looking at the major low in the central U.S. when I saw something that caught my eye. Not sure if anyone else is up but look at the radar in Texas. There is an amazing line of thunderstorms East of Dallas. Wish there was a TV station I could watch for live coverage. I’ll try and take a screenshot.

    Amazing!!

  8. K says:

    Hmph. While the Midwest gets slammed with a historic blizzard, we look to be back in split flow hell. After missing out on most of the good events this winter. Sigh.

  9. Mark Nelsen says:

    Yes, I grabbed it from your screenshot Tanis. Hope you are okay with that. I could have done the exact same shot from our on-air product (in-house) but this was slightly easier.

    • Tanis Leach says:

      I’m perfectly fine with that, I was just curious. It also spawned a decent joking threat (and my lack of humor to). Glad to make your life easier.

  10. Roland Derksen says:

    We’re forecasted to see afternoon temperatures well up into the 60’s here in BC as well early next week. That reminds me; when are the long range forecasts for summer coming out?

  11. Jason Hougak says:

    I would be careful saying no widespread flooding Mark. Think that’s really premature with the huge snowpack on the ground. Worked at Lake Simtustus yesterday by Warm Springs and there was still 2’ of snow on the ground there. We get a wet pattern and we could have some major flooding.
    Also the whole fork idea is just ridiculous.

    • W7ENK says:

      He means flooding due to heavy rains, like on Johnson Creek, Fanno Creek, the Toiletown River, etc… Of course, many of the Willamette Valley’s most historic floods have taken place in June due to heavy snow melt, though that was also before the dams and other flood control measures had been built.

  12. At least one news/weather network out of Eastern Washington put mid-upper 40s with low clouds, on its Sunday-Monday forecast.

    A Columbia Basin inversion in the 3rd week of March would be plain disgusting!

  13. DBurnett says:

    With that, you’ve also forked this decade (excluding whatever may come this December.) Let’s hope the Twenties give us the son of the Columbus Day Storm and a frozen Willamette downtown.

    • boydo3 says:

      Well…I witnessed the Columbus day storm and I can tell you it’s not something I would want to go through a second time. And now that P-town is much, much bigger, it would be a much,much bigger disaster. Not fun.

  14. Tanis Leach says:

    First,

    and thank you for forking it. Did you use the screenshot I took? I have no problem either way.

    Arguably it was the best 69 day stretch and counting to be injured from running.

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