Light Snow Likely For Wednesday A.M. Commute

4:30pm Tuesday…

It’s been a bright and beautiful day, but very cold (for late February) and very windy.  Widespread wind gusts around 40 mph coming in from the east will continue tonight then die down quickly around sunrise.

We’ve been expecting a round of flurries for Wednesday morning, but models are just a bit “wetter” now which means we’ll get more than that.  It’s a very busy afternoon so I’ll make this brief

You see a variety of model snow forecasts here, but the basic idea is that we have less than 0.20″ of precipitation to work with.  If we were talking just rain, you wouldn’t even notice the difference between 0.05″ and 0.20″ rain.  But in “snow” that’s the difference between a slight dusting and 2″!  You see the forecast conundrum in this case; and why snow forecasting is so tough.

Snow Model Accumulation Several

AM COMMUTE:  Winter Weather Advisory is up for Portland metro area down to Eugene.  Expect light snow showers, with little/no accumulation in some areas but up to 1” in others.  There’s the outside chance someone in the west/south metro could see 2”.

There will be some snowy roads here and there in the metro area but many areas where just flurries fall could be snow-free.  I wouldn’t cancel anything for now, wait and see how it looks in the morning, just like Monday

REST OF WEDNESDAY:  Snow showers and sunbreaks.  Roads will be fine after 10am since strong late February sun energy warms pavement quickly.  High around 37 as east wind goes away.

Snow Tonight Forecast 1

IN THE WILLAMETTE VALLEY:  South of Wilsonville to Eugene any of you could see somewhere between 2-4″.  This could be a better snow-producer for Salem than the last event yesterday.

Thursday through Friday we’ll continue to see mixed showers at times.  During the overnight hours it MIGHT be cold enough for sticking snow, or it may just be dry.  High temps remain around 40 with lows around freezing.

I’ll be on air at 5pm, 6pm, 8pm, 9pm, 10pm, and 11pm tonight.  See you there!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen


135 Responses to Light Snow Likely For Wednesday A.M. Commute

  1. MasterNate says:

    Great news in our mountains! We are finally above 100% for snow pack in all areas except one small area on the North side of Hood. Snow pack ranges from 89% to 155%. Hopefully March continues to add to that.

    Click to access or_swepctnormal_update.pdf

  2. Ken in Wood Village says:

    I’m thinking the radar is not working right. When I went to the NWS website and used their radar, it shows the time at 8:06am and it’s now 8:34am. It’s either working and the time is off or it’s just not working. It also saying on the Radar Status Message that the radar will be down from 9 to 1pm today. Really, when we are having a snow event, they are putting the radar down (scratching head)

  3. Andrew says:

    Quick question, do you all use the FV3 model or the classic GFS?

  4. Don says:

    30 snowing. 1in Sherwood 200ft

  5. Anonymous says:

    Snowing at a good clip in SE pdx. Temps still around 30.

  6. W7ENK says:

    Woke up to about a half inch of dry powder on the ground this morning. Finally cold enough for snow to cover the pavement, and the roads in Milwaukie were a solid sheet of ice underneath. Almost got run over in a crosswalk by a pickup truck that slid sideways through his red light!

  7. Andrew says:

    Radar still picking up a lot of shower activity but clearly not amounting to a lot. I think we’ll see a repeat of Monday with light snow showers throughout the day but little sticking onec sun rises a bit more. When the showers popped up last night I figured the low might have shifted north and got excited. But alas, models seem to have nailed it. I’m still keeping an eye on the model runs next few days.

  8. We have lightfrom? Tiny shards form?

  9. Anonymous says:

    Skip work/driving. Get outside and have a cold one! (don’t let it freeze)

  10. rmlounsbury says:

    Also, per usual, North Portland got just a dusting of snow but all the surface roads are a solid sheet of ice. Looks like PBOT only de-iced the hills and nothing else.

    So if you head out expect the roads to be iced over compact snow. Freeways are in good shape coming out of Vancouver down to Going.

  11. Andy says:

    28 deg and 3 inches of snow here in Albany. Light snow falling.

  12. Russell (salmon creek) says:

    And… we got absolutely nothing again. It’s been exciting watching everyone else (literally to the North, South, East, and West) get gobs of snow. Oh well… better luck next year I suppose.

    • rmlounsbury says:

      That has been the crappy bit… Historic snow storms for Seattle and the South Valley. Portland? Just some light stuff here and there for sections of town.

  13. JERAT416 says:

    As of 5 this morning in Tigard/Garden home it was 30 degrees, maybe a half inch of snow blowing around and drifting in spots. Now here in Parkrose, also 30 and windy but hardly a trace of snow. Roads are ok, no issues. This morning was easier than the last couple times. I stayed off the freeway but from what I could see it was moving.

  14. ocpaul says:

    Strong east wind in OC. A few flurries is all.

  15. Alohabb says:

    Fyi news reporter, a fire truck with their emergency lights on doesn’t respond on an on ramp to tell drivers to slow down. Lol, can’t believe I heard that.

  16. Alohabb says:

    Beaverton is incredibly icy on TV why and along Farmington. Don’t get get a false sense of security by watching the tv news.

  17. rmlounsbury says:

    About as expected… very little snow on the ground here in Vancouver. What has fallen has drifted into tiny snow banks.

  18. Max in Fairview says:

    Nice batch of moisture entering the metro area.

    • JohnD says:

      Soooo nice to see!
      28.4′ with moderate snow now–on top of the 1/2″ or so from last late evening–here in inner SWPDX @ 200′.
      Enjoy all!

  19. Jake in Gresham says:

    Good early morning to everyone.

    Looks like the GFS was spot on. The weather system appears to be stalling over Southern Oregon and because of it’s slow movement Eastward. We’re getting snow showers wrapping around the Cascades. Reaching Olympian peninsula also as forecasted.

    What a busy morning. Multiple reports of I-205 being reduced to a crawl around Tualatin while the I-5 junction to 205 has reports of accidents. Stay safe people. A truck driver on Reddit is telling everyone 205 is just a sheet of ice and to stay off of it.

    • Snow-Zone Dallas/400ft Roman says:

      This is incredible. Snow right now is much colder and drier than Monday 25f currently. Blustery north wind this is awesome.

      • Jake in Gresham says:

        Yeah I cannot tell how much snow has fallen. It’s that wild outside (7 hours of near constant roaring)! Everything is blowing sideways across the ice.

      • Ken in Sheridan says:

        You’re right ,Snow-Zone! …. 28 degrees and calm here in Sheridan … best snow morning yet of the last few weeks….!!

  20. EY (Oak Grove) says:

    Entire street is solidly covered, no hint of asphalt. The grass is less covered than the street. Went outside, could feel the crunch under foot. Now that I can finally relax about it, this is gorgeous.

  21. Tanis Leach says:

    Ever since the snow started to fall with the exception of the midterm, I’ve been listening to my favorite song and random album mixes. I am linking the song here as the weather fits with the songs name (Snowblind), and with my mid-term tonight, the first verse perfectly explains my life tonight. Link:

    Yes I know its almost 5 years old. I don’t care. There are some dubstep influences at times so if you don’t like that don’t listen. I also understand if you don’t listen or like it. I just thought it was a good song for the weather we are having (in addition to being my favorite song).

  22. Tanis Leach says:

    2.3″ in Corvallis so far. Possible second band coming in an hour and a more likely one in 3-5. 2-5″ looks right for our area.

  23. Matt in LO says:

    Fine dry snow down South in Lake O! Coming down at a decent rate as well!

  24. EY (Oak Grove) says:

    This is, hands down, the most snow I’ve seen in Oak Grove at once in over a year.

  25. Ken in Wood Village says:

    I was outside about 30 minutes ago and now the road outside my place is getting covered with snow. With the wind, it’s like a blizzard. Not white out conditions but it’s a little close…lol. I’m loving it 🤗😉🌨❄🌬

  26. Evan -- Cedar Mill says:

    Comin down pretty good. Only question is how much moisture do we have left? 27.9 degrees

    • Evan -- Cedar Mill says:

      Holy cow. My temps are dropping like a rock. Down to 26.9. Humidity rising too.

    • Ken in Wood Village says:

      I’m not sure but what I do know is Mark said this was suppose to be a morning event. Mark said it would be between 4am to 10am. I’m guessing we should see more around that time. I think this is a bonus 🙂

  27. dennistigard says:

    Snow covered roads in Tigard. 30 minutes ago it was all bare roads. That was quick!

  28. paulbeugene says:

    5” new snow here in Eugene and still snowing at about an 1/2 per hour clip of not more

    • paulbeugene says:

      Have had 18.5” of snowfall since Sunday evening

      • Longview 400 ft says:

        Hey Paul, glad you won the snow lottery this month. LOL I want you to know I appreciate your thoughts and current conditions. I remember so many times over the years how faithfully you would share how this area will receive snow and that area would get this and many times you would be left high and dry. Thank you. Please keep them coming.
        Currently 31.1 and a few flurries now and then.

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      S N O W

  29. Ken in Wood Village says:

    It got super quiet on the blog 🤔 it’s been trying to snow for awhile here but it’s so dry that it wasn’t amounting to much. It’s snowing pretty good now 🤗 let’s hope it lasts for awhile 🌨❄

  30. John inner NE Portland 250' says:

    Nothing whatsoever in inner E Portland.

  31. Ken in Wood Village says:

    I have a question to anyone. When you look at the radar, which is better to look at, base reflectivity or composite reflectivity?

  32. Andy says:

    Albany and Corvallis upgraded to Winter storm warning.

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