A Rare Showery Saturday In August

August 9, 2018

1pm Thursday

Just a quick post about showers for Saturday.  I know there are lots of outdoor events, weddings, reunions, or camping in my case, this time of year, but at least this will settle the dust.

YES, most of us north of Salem and Newport (along the coastline) will see at least SOME rain during the daytime Saturday.

NO, this is not the beginning of a cool & showery weather pattern.  Hot August weather returns after the weekend.  Enjoy the showers and cool temps!  Highs will likely only make to around 70 or so that day.

The colored areas on these model forecasts (RPM & ECMWF) are where they expect at least .10″ of rain.

RPM_RAIN_NWOREGON

ecm_precip

Showers could fall anytime between sunrise and 5pm or so Saturday north of Salem. South of there just a sprinkle or two. There could actually be some hefty showers (think spring downpours) NORTH of Longview and Astoria. And yes, I’ll be out there in the weather with everyone else…camping at Silver Falls SP.

There will be no rain south of Eugene along I-5, Mt. Jefferson in the Cascades, in the Gorge east of Cascade Locks, or anywhere else east of the Cascades.  Unless we get a rumble of thunder out of the heftier showers in SW Washington this isn’t a thunderstorm pattern either.

We go right back into hot weather the early part of next week; here’s the ECMWF forecast for the next 10 days.

KPDX_2018080912_ecmwf_min_max_10

Ignore the 100 late next week…that’s an “outlier” as we call it.  The model ensembles do not show extremely hot weather later next week.  But Monday/Tuesday WILL be hot.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen