Do You Think It Will Snow In Portland Again This Winter?

Here we are, hours away from the last day of January.  Today we hit 51 in Portland, our 18th day at/above 50 degrees this month.  That’s the most 50 degree days we’ve seen in January since 1994.

Mark January Warm Days

What a change from last January!

January Compare 2 Box Warm Winter

January 2018 is the 2nd warmest on record in Portland; records go back to around 1940.

Winter Snow_Ice Compare

In the 125+ year record at Salem, it’s the 3rd warmest January.  2010 and 1953 were warmer.

Now of course you remember we’ve had one snow event so far…3-6 hours of snow leading to the big (but timely!) 1″ total on Christmas Eve, then freezing rain later that night and again briefly on the 27th.  The areas in light blue on the map below saw 1″ or more, dark blue = 2″ or higher totals.  Note that west, south, and SE metro areas saw less than 1″.  Most of the Willamette Valley has seen no snow this winter.

Snow Totals Metro 2017 For Web

So what’s ahead?  Well as mentioned in the previous post there is no sign of low elevation snow in the next 10 days, which takes us into the 2nd week of February.

What about February snow IN THE CITY OF PORTLAND?  Take a look at the last 9 years:

Mark Snow PDX February

We have seen measurable snow in 3 of the last 9 years.  Although in 2012 most of us saw some snow late in the month so 4 out of 9 is probably more realistic.

WHAT DO YOU THINK?

Are we finished with snow at the lowest elevations?  I’m talking right in the lowest elevations, not in the hills or foothills of the Cascades.  Vote here:

 

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

77 Responses to Do You Think It Will Snow In Portland Again This Winter?

  1. 60 degrees and sunny here this afternoon. Westerly flow has put me squarely in the rain shadow (and warm downslope flow) from the Olympics.

  2. Paul D says:

    Missing in Hillsboro: overnight low. Currently 49 at 6am, which is the normal high. If you’ve seen the overnight low, please apprehend and return. Thank you!

  3. Nahtalkin says:

    Not a chance of an Arctic outbreak in the Portland metro area, those that think so must be smokin’ and dreamin’ again, trying as hard as they can to read something into the charts that simply isn’t there. The good news is those folks “can take a trip and never leave the farm”!

  4. Joshua Downtown PDX says:

    The warm temperatures late next week are disappearing. Instead of 60s, we might be in the 40s. Amazingly dry the next couple of weeks either way.

    • Nahtalkin says:

      We won’t know if it’s dry until it’s in the history books, that’s why we play the game.

    • Paul D says:

      Glad to see the “60’s” gone in the 7-day forecast!

      • Ken in Wood Village says:

        I thought the same thing. I see the EURO is trending a lot cooler from what it was a few days ago!!!!

      • Anonymous says:

        I say bring on the 60s — it’s clear we aren’t getting lowland snow his year, which is a bummer but I’ll take early spring over a month of drab 40s!

        • Ken in Wood Village says:

          I would prefer a wet cool spring if that means not having a drought this year. You forget we need snow in the mountains so we don’t have to worry about the farmers not having water unless you want higher price food to buy?

        • ocpaul says:

          25 degrees with a strong east wind is perfection!, IMO. I’d rather fast forward to next fall. They tell me the parts to my flux capacitor won’t be in till October at the earliest. Rats!

        • Anonymous says:

          I didn’t say dry spring, I said early spring…wet early spring sounds great.

  5. Mountain Man says:

    Don’t anyone start model riding now, but the EC is trending toward the sweet spot with the ridge and the pattern shows development in a few days. I’m not going with it yet, just something to watch in these boring weather times. Now the 00z just hinted with westword movement and the 12z more west. Ridge is still a little too flat, needs to be a bit more amplified. Anyway, the EC is super close to indicate we’d be in the 30’s not 60 early next week. We’ll see if trend continues with tonight’s run.

      • Mountain Man says:

        Haha yeah I know. I just had to point it out because it’s so close to a backdoor push, actually shows cold slipping into eastern Washington and not the usual 10 day out lol. I’m sorry. I’ll try not to share again.

    • W7ENK says:

      No, please don’t be discouraged from sharing. That wasn’t directed at you, more a commentary on the way it feels to keep witnessing the persistence of all this crazy variability in model output. It gets really tiresome after awhile, especially after an entire winter of pretty much nothing happening.

  6. Roland Derksen says:

    What’s the latest news about a RRR out there in the Pacific? Is there one? Sure hope so, because we’re getting flooded here…

  7. Nahtalkin says:

    Sun and shadows here this morning, don’t see any groundhogs out and about, but the old dog saw her shadow. Couldn’t tell you what that predicts other than a spring camping trip soon!

  8. JERAT416 says:

    Warm February, cool and rainy March – May. Average June, then average summer. Those are my predictions.

  9. Lee Wilson says:

    Oh. And might be going out on s limb but severe march storm coming.Be ready for power outages.

    Well that’s my predicting for March._

  10. Lee Wilson says:

    Liked the pole . Well, i believe we’re in for an early spring.An it will be a scorchingly hot summer .

  11. boydo3 says:

    It’s over. Turn out the lights.

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      Is that all there is, is that all there is
      If that’s all there is my friends, then let’s keep dancing
      Let’s break out the booze and have a ball
      If that’s all there is

  12. Ken in Wood Village says:

    So, I was looking at the 00Z GFS and decided to look at the world map with all the equal line of pressure when I noticed something. If you look close to New Zealand you will see a couple of cyclones spinning around each other. I saw on The Weather Channel that this would be called “The Fujiwhara effect” it’s rare to see this happen. It’s a few days away but it would be interesting if this happens. Just a thought 🙂

  13. pappoose in scappoose says:

    Happy ‘0’ Day, Seattle: Jan. 31, 1950 is only time it’s been 0 degrees here

    http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/happy-0-day-seattle-jan-31-1950-is-only-time-its-been-0-degrees-here

  14. Nahtalkin says:

    Two ‘blue moons’ in 2018 and a “no-moon” this coming February….what a treat for us old guys that always watch and are mystified by the moon.

    • Nahtalkin says:

      I view the sun and moon in a footrace with the lazy old happy go lucky moon always getting lapped sooner or later by the young athletic and dazzling sun.

  15. Joshua Downtown PDX says:

    The GFS is going with 60 or above starting mid-next week and continuing indefinitely. There is a chance we could approach 70 late next week. Prepare your lawnmowers.

  16. Roland Derksen says:

    The one redeeming feature for this month was my glimpse of the “Blue blood super moon” this morning. Got just enough of a break in the everlasting clouds to see it before 6am. As far as snow goes, I’m giving it one more chance around mid-February. After that, it’s spring as far as I’m concerned.

  17. Chuck on Mt Scott says:

    Nope. Maybe a late snow in the mountains.

  18. W7ENK says:

    Happy Birthday, WEATHERDAN.

  19. Sprayandpay says:

    it seems the word Oh Bama spelled correctly triggers censors.

  20. Sprayandpay says:

    A total of 0.10 freezing rain in Stayton this “winter” for wintry weather..

    The earth actually did tilt a real tiny bit during the Japan earthquake and actually stopped spinning altogether but that was only in the nanoseconds range.
    It was on science sites at the time but not on main news.. You may still be able to find it if Googles “truth” algorithms didn’t cover it up or buried it to page 3.

    In human terms we wouldn’t notice but to a system as fluid as our atmosphere/climate it can shift things and that’s the time we shifted to a warmer regime

    BTW You can still find some radiation news too if you type in Japan radiation 2018 ! It’s far from over.

    Mark why are you censoring this and not short comments?

  21. Sprayandpay says:

    test

  22. Sprayandpay says:

    A total of 0.10 ZR in Stayton this “winter”.

    The earth actually did tilt a real tiny bit during the Japan earthquake and actually stopped spinning altogether but that was only in the nanoseconds range.
    It was on science sites at the time but not on MSM as they were busy praising Obama. You may still be able to find it if Googles “truth” algorithms didn’t cover it up or buried it to page 3.

    In human terms we wouldn’t notice but to a system as fluid as our atmosphere/climate it can shift things and that’s the time we shifted to a warmer regime

    BTW You can still find some radiation news too if you type in Japan radiation 2018 ! It’s far from over.

  23. I tend to think I will see snow at least once more this season. It may not happen until March, and it may be no more than a dusting, but I don’t think we’re completely done with snow up this way. But it definitely has been a disappointing winter.

    Consolation prize has been the cinematically perfect (there’s no other way to call it, the snow started falling and sticking just as dusk set in; it felt like being in a movie) Christmas Eve into Christmas Day snow event.

  24. Anonymous says:

    We still have two more months of possibilities. This is the northwest not the southwest.

  25. I don’t think it will happen. But what a hoot it would be, if we had a freak late retrogression in the first week of March.

  26. ocpaul says:

    No, it will not snow again until November 2018, at the earliest. We were very fortunate last year. Not so much this year, unless Nov-Dec delivers. The ENSO is no guarantee for a winter. It’s just one of thousands of variables. Oh well…

    • ocpaul says:

      Also, your multiple choice is lacking. YOU don’t include: ‘No, we got zilch on Christmas Eve, and we will get zilch the rest of this horrible winter’. Got nuthin in Oregon City on 12-24-17.

  27. Boring Rain says:

    That light blue needs to extent a little further SE. We got 1.5″ here in downtown Boring on Christmas eve.

  28. JohnD says:

    Totally over! Zero, zip, nada. Just one of those winters. Not the first time and no doubt will not be the last. During winters like this I simply count down the days until we are out of the theoretical winter weather e.g. Feb. 28. After that the weather hobby passion frustration can resume hibernation until next winter when we will try it again!

  29. Larry says:

    It’ll continue to be warm, we’re done with snow. We’ll have seven months of Spring, starting last week.

  30. Mark bergal says:

    Didn’t you mean 2018 as having the second warmest January? 2017 was cold.

    Yes, i think its over. We could get a late surprise but I wouldn’t bet on it

  31. Paul D says:

    How does this winter rank for “most pathetic winter”?

  32. marinersfan85 says:

    D.U.N. Done

  33. GTS1Kft says:

    Oh, and, firstest….

  34. W7ENK says:

    This Winter is most definitely over in the lowlands.

  35. GTS1Kft says:

    At my place – probably….

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