A 3 Day Soaking Has Ended: Dry Thursday

11pm Wednesday…

Take a look at the rain we’ve seen since it started Monday morning, generally between 1.50 and 3.00″ in the lower elevations in NW Oregon and SW Washington:

That’s plenty wet for mid-winter, but that’s REALLY wet for mid-March.  Of course we are seeing the accompanying mudslides and water ponding in many areas.  Some minor river flooding is likely the next 2 days but now that rain has cutoff that will help things quite a bit.  The Columbia River in the metro area is forecast to come right up to around flood stage Thursday through Saturday.

For most of the past 3 days we’ve seen a cold front offshore and warm southwesterly flow over us.  Since we’ve been on the warm side of the jet the surface temps have soared in spots without the rain.  Check out high temperatures in Eastern Oregon Tuesday…the first 70s of spring over there:

That must have felt real nice after the long and cold winter!

Tomorrow we get a dry day, then another wet system drags through the region the 2nd half of Friday and 1st half of Saturday.  But I see another good taste of spring weather Sunday through Tuesday.  Abundant sunshine and (Monday/Tuesday) mild offshore wind flow means temperatures likely range from the upper 50s to mid 60s.  Our 62 forecast for Monday could easily be 65 degrees if everything works out right.

THE BIG PICTURE:  We have at least 3 dry days on the way in the next week and the rain showers next Tuesday/Wednesday look relatively light…the weather is looking drier as we head into the 3rd week of March.

Enjoy your dry Thursday!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

28 Responses to A 3 Day Soaking Has Ended: Dry Thursday

  1. Not at all surprised that Mark forgot to mention Solar Spring – the 3-month period when the sun angle increases the fastest (February 3 – May 5).

    Read about it HERE:

    http://thedallesblog.weathertogether.us/2017/02/04/solar-spring-has-begun-despite-more-wintry-precip/

  2. pappoose in scappoose says:

    …WET FALL AND WINTER ENDING…BUT WILL THE RAIN STOP?

    http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?wfo=pqr&pil=PNS&sid=PQR&version=0

  3. Roland Derksen says:

    Saturday afternoon’s clearing to sunny skies was a welcome relief here. Today the sun is back, but it’s still quite cool (44.5F when I last looked a few minutes ago). An interesting comparison with last year’s March for me: As far as precipitation totals go, it’s almost a tie, with 5.60 inches so far this time , and 5.53 inches last year up til the 19th. The big difference is the mean temperature: I’m at 4.9F colder this March than last year’s. I don’t expect that difference to shrink much- if at all, because last year it turned warm at the end of the month. This time I think i’ll be lucky if it reaches 60F by then.

  4. Paul D says:

    32 this morning in Hillsboro! Winter hasn’t let go yet!

  5. Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

    I don’t mean to be the barer of bad news but the long range (GFS) has rain accumulations being heaviest into the PNW till April (especially for Northern California):

    Pick GFS -> Precipitation Products -> Total Precip. Accum.
    http://weather.cod.edu/forecast/

    We are in for it. Tulips in my folks backyard have tried to bloom for 3 weeks now. Just leaves with no bud what so ever. Backyard is starting to pond over puddle now. Haven’t seen this before.

    A piece everyone I thought would enjoy:

    “Wednesday 25th Decr. 1805. rainy & wet. disagreeable weather. we all moved in to our new Fort, which our officers name Fort Clotsop after the name of the Clotsop nation of Indians who live nearest to us. the party Saluted our officers by each man firing a gun at their quarters at day break this morning. they divided out the last of their tobacco among the men that used and the rest they gave each a Silk hankerchief, as a Christmast gift, to keep us in remembrence of it as we have no ardent Spirits, but are all in good health which we esteem more than all the ardent Spirits in the world. we have nothing to eat but poore Elk meat and no Salt to Season that with but Still keep in good Spirits as we expect this to be the last winter that we will have to pass in this way.” [Ordway, December 25, 1805]

    Source:

    http://columbiariverimages.com/Regions/Places/fort_clatsop.html

    Why do I live here? LoL!

    • Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

      bearer* whoopsie

    • Boydo3 N. Albany says:

      The next spring when Lewis and Clark headed back east, they found themselves up against a massive snowpack in the Bitterroots. Must’ve been a La Nina. Or maybe it was just typical weather back then.

    • JJ78259 says:

      Looks like Watching the kids practice baseball and softball from inside the car with wipers and heater on this spring. It will be nice when the season is over. Went through a few seasons like that when I lived in Milwaukie.

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      The little ice age generally persisted until around 1850. Peace

  6. Roland Derksen says:

    Other than a few forsythia bushes starting to bloom(they have yellow flowers)things look as drab as I’ve ever seen here for the third week of March. I am hoping for at least a sunny day this Monday, but in reading some earlier comments form this blog, I see even that’s in doubt! C’mon sunshine, what can you show me?

  7. WEATHERDAN says:

    Rain and snow you have had your time. Now go away so the farmers can plant their fields and the kids can play baseball. Some might cry out warm bias. So be it. I have just put up with six months of some of the wettest and coldest weather I have ever seen around here. Landslides and flooding and cars stranded in the the snow and flooded basements make me want to go enough is enough. The Winter Snowpack is just fine this year, so now it is time for Spring. Viva la sol. Peace.

  8. Garron 1/3 of a mile from Hillsboro Airport says:

    Not that I doubt Mark’s Mon/Tue drier time frame, but the NWS discussion seems to be a bit of a “wet blanket” on our upcoming dry spell. Don’t be shocked if there is a bit of drizzle on your picnic Mon/Tue.

  9. Jason Hougak says:

    Nice to see Mt. Hood today after yesterday’s fresh snow. Keep the precipitation coming. REAL WEATHERMEN LOVE REAL WEATHER! Today was just a day off😴

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Roger that Jason. A few nice days in between doesn’t hurt neither. It sure has been nice over in this side of the mts. No rain, just partly cloudy and mild. After a rough winter it’s appreciated.

  10. JERAT416 says:

    Rain Friday evening​, then Friday afternoon, now Friday morning? Did this change?

  11. W7ENK says:

    0.66″ Monday
    0.66″ Tuesday
    0.76″ Wednesday

    2.08″ Total this week.

    More rain coming tomorrow and Saturday.

  12. Jason Hougak says:

    Snow back down to Government Camp this morning… I really don’t want winter to end. At least the snow level in the Cascades looks to stay at 6,000 feet or below thru the 7 day. I still need to get some turns in on the slopes.

    • Windsday says:

      It will do good for our water supply for the PNW to keep the snowpack till at least about late April/early May or more optimistically late May/Early June.
      Having it melt too early will make all the hard earned snowpack for naught and actually make fire season worse because it will make all the vegetation super-sized and ready to burn too early.

    • Boring 550' says:

      The rain on the snow the first couple days was actually beneficial because it raised the snow to water equivalent. After that it became excessive and just melted it away.

  13. EY (Oak Grove) says:

    Can’t wait for it! Friday and Sunday were just too nice and I actually felt like I wanted to do things!

    • Mike near Clackamas Town Center says:

      At least Sunday still looks decent enough. The rain has to end sometime. Just like other unrelated things I wished had never gotten out so far overblown.

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