Spring Temps Today; A Soaker Monday/Tuesday

10pm Sunday…

That forecast from last Thursday was pretty good.  Friday and Sunday turned out just spectacular with dry weather, abundant sunshine and the first lower 60s in the metro area so far this spring.  Here are the numbers today…

By the way, today was the first day in a month that we stayed completely dry.  Not even a trace of rain for the first time since February 13th.  Of course there have been several days with a trace.  Take a look at the number of dry days each of the past few months of March:

The average number of days we would expect to see dry weather is 13.  Remember 2013 & 2015?  Just a few wet days here and there otherwise plenty of dry weather to kick off spring.

Tomorrow through Wednesday morning we’ll have a stationary front sitting overhead since we’ll be boxed in between a warm upper-level ridge to the east and a cold trough to the west.  A mild southwesterly jet will be parked overhead as well.  This means two solid days of gloomy skies and abundant rain.  The cold front comes through Wednesday and at that point we’ll transition to scattered showers.  The main story:  Monday & Tuesday will be “indoor days” as we say.  With such a warm flow of air the snow level will be way up around 9,000’…think April or early May with this airmass, so at least down here in the lowlands it’ll be a “warm” rain.  How much rain?

I think 1.50-2.50″ is a good number for the next 3 days in the western lowlands of Oregon and SW Washington.  More is likely in the mountains.  Some spots in the Coast Range and west slopes of the Cascades could see 6-8″.  That’s pretty heavy for March; it’s rare to see any sort of flooding this month.

Looking farther ahead, it appears the next chance for a dry day is Thursday, and maybe Sunday/Monday next week.

To help you relax, check out this really neat pic of clouds over Yachats Saturday morning.  Ken Gagne posted this pic of “Undulatus asperatus” on our Facebook page.  The best part is that the pic shows waves not only in the ocean but waves in the sky too.  Nice photobomb by a seagull too.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

47 Responses to Spring Temps Today; A Soaker Monday/Tuesday

  1. High Desert Mat says:

    http://www.ktvz.com/weather#

    Cool video of the snow in New York

  2. Jason Hougak says:

    I’ll bet the vast majority of you don’t work outdoors for a living. If any should complain it should be them. I do everyday in the mud and bentonite which is thick super sticky clay mined from Wyoming to seal around well casing to prevent groundwater contamination. Working in these conditions can add an extra few pounds to the boots while rain gear makes it harder to move and the hard hat can cause rain to drip down my neck but I love it… it’s what keeps Oregon green remember that. My super rain force Danner boots have proved themselves with an increadable 3 years of full time service. My Grundens vinyl rain gear I’ve had since 2001 😳 The neoprene hand cuffs prevent water from going down my arms when lifting pipe over my head. To work in this weather takes the proper gear and attitude. Look where we live people… we all knew a good winter was going to come again. By the way I do put in sump pumps😆

  3. WEATHERDAN says:

    3 day storm totals. Mon .05. Tue .63 Wed 1.10. Total was 1.78. Wet basement, Grrrrr. March total 5.04 Peace.

    • Registered Nerd says:

      Jason gave a not so veiled suggestion… But seriously Dan, why don’t you do a sump pump for the rainy season issues? Sounds like it happens often enough that you really need it. I just finished putting in a crawl space sump on our house….A pain in the arse, but peace of mind knowing that now a big rain storm isn’t flooding my crawl space (it has a battery backup pump for power outages too). Or maybe just better drainage around your house, but regardless, sounds like you have drainage issues.

  4. Boydo3 N. Albany says:

    UNCLE!! I GIVE…!!! Nearly 44″ of precip since Oct 1st. Averages out to be 8″ per month.

    • JJ78259 says:

      Uncle! This is classic Oregon weather, you haven’t even made it the monsoons of Spring Break. It wasn’t that long ago Driving into Rockaway on Saturday of Spring Break dry and sunny to start then the storms hit 65 mph gusts with sheets of rain. This is normal. When I was a kid going to Rockaway in the 60s I spent many a spring break in the old Bowling ally to avoid the rain. It’s what you do in March in Oregon.

  5. Roland Derksen says:

    56F for the maximum temperature-but still under cloudy skies. My first chance for a 60 or higher appears to be on Monday.

  6. W7ENK says:

    I guess we’re back to wind this year? It’s weird, really breezy in Downtown Portland for the last hour or so, but the gradient up the valley is basically flat…

  7. W7ENK says:

    Beware, the Ides of March!

    The last two years we’ve had damaging winds and thunderstorms…

    2015:

    2016:

    What’s in store for us this year?

  8. Roland Derksen says:

    Sure could use some dry days here in the next little while. Looking at March rainfalls over the last few years, i’ve seen over 5 inches of precipitation 3 of the last 4 years by the 15th of the month. (5 inches is an approximate average amount for us here for an entire March)

  9. WEATHERDAN says:

    Very light rain but warm today. 58 after a low of 55. Another .10 after .05 yesterday. My basement is grateful for the lack of heavy rain. Flowers really starting to bloom now. Peace.3

  10. JERAT416 says:

    Wow it’s nearly 50 degrees up at Government Camp! Hopefully they will get some refreezing soon. At this rate, the snow won’t last long. Of course, winter up there can continue past April even.

  11. Josh "The Snowman" from Gladstone, OR says:

    I just get tired of weatherdan’s broken record. We get it!! You love warm weather.

  12. Lee Wilson says:

    Mark, not sure if your aware or not but this mornin on March 14 were getting some very high winds…winds that takes my turbine up to the 418 watts on gusts of 28 .

    Those are some serious winds..
    On such gusts caused it to go in to protect more.
    So, if you could, please find out why we have no alerts.
    Thank you.

  13. I am tired of hearing all of the negative comments on this blog. Mark has set up a great blog for people and himself to discuss what most people that frequent this blog like, weather. I have noticed the astonishing few or so years have been filled with constant bullying of certain individuals not to mention any names. This weather site should be fun and not filled with 50% of the comments bashing one another for views that really should not matter. Just have fun with the weather and relax guys!

    • JJ78259 says:

      This always happens about now and continues thru July 4th in La Niña years. The lack sunshine and warm weather does have an effect on people. You tend to get grouchy and want to kick the dog a time or two. I have been there.😎

  14. Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

    WELP! What does one do when rain is all we get and there’s no snow in sight or Spring sunshine. I root for snow totals in Portland, Maine. 😛

    Low Pressure “Stella” may bomb:
    https://weather.com/storms/winter/news/winter-storm-stella-bombogenesis-weather-bomb-northeast

    Live Radar:
    https://weather.com/weather/radar/interactive/l/USDC0001:1:US?layer=radarConus&zoom=8&animation=true

  15. Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

    Thought everyone would appreciate this piece.

    Police find Jeep buried under 20 feet of snow in the Donner Pass (Fox News 03/13/17):
    http://www.foxnews.com/auto/2017/03/13/police-find-jeep-buried-under-20-feet-snow-in-donner-pass.html

  16. JJ78259 says:

    The clouds cleared out today in San Antonio nice out right now feels good to do a little yard work and wash the car in Daylight saving Time! Tomorrow Golf, rest of the week 75 to 82 degrees! Perfect!

  17. WEATHERDAN says:

    So far only .05 in the old rain bucket. If this system under performs that’s fine with me.Peace.

    • Josh "The Snowman" from Gladstone, OR says:

      You’re in Salem. It is stalled out in SW Washington and NW Oregon. Learn how to read the maps and quit boasting whenever it is dry and warm there. So tiring.

    • moosieman says:

      Lighten up “snowman”! We live in a region of microclimates. I’m sure I’m not alone when I enjoy hearing what its like in Vancouver B.C., Redmond OR, Salem OR, Medford or even San Antonio! Points in between or elsewhere. Your boorish responses are tiring!

    • Lee Wilson says:

      Yup and in my area the microclimate is or was very windy.
      I wish my weather station was qued in to the network.
      But I don’t have that kid of dough lol.

    • @Lee When I lived in the Rockies I remember one spring where it dropped into the single digits in early April after several weeks of balmy weather. That really did a number on the blooming fruit trees.

  18. marinersfan85 says:

    Looks like another set of days of with blown out rivers. I’m really on a roll right now. Every single one of my days off since the day before the big snowstorm in January have featured unfishable rivers.

    • Yeah, I had been planning for weeks to go rafting with a group on the Clackamas on Sunday, only to get a call last Friday that the trip had been cancelled due to high water. At least I got my refund.

  19. Lee Wilson says:

    Cool pic.
    Well, rats…was hoping for more sun.
    Well, at least were not getting snow like there are in other parts of the U.S. after having 80 degree weather. Some are going to lose their crops and that’s not cool.

    • Erik Holm says:

      Who’s going to lose what crops? Most Summer crops aren’t planted until the last week of March — at the very earliest — anyway. No need to panic.

    • W7ENK says:

      Why the hell did my username change?!?

    • W7ENK says:

      Okay, WTF…

    • GTS1K' says:

      Because Russians……

    • Boydo3 N. Albany says:

      Russian hack attack!

    • Lee Wilson says:

      Don’t know wn7, maybe it’s the one account rule? Or maybe a different device had a different account or maybe the internet spazzed out? Or may it’s Karma…Who knows…

    • Lee Wilson says:

      Oh Eric ama WN7, I am subscribed to a permaculture channel,

      You see, when an area winds up with 80 degree weather plants can be tricked in to fruiting.
      Then a severe winter storm hits, first fruits could be lost.
      Also when trees are leaving , the can actually freeze and explode…or just split.

      Oh..the anwer….To Your Question Eric is…eventually if you keep.badgering a person…..your identity is revealed
      .its called carma….

  20. A pretty nice day for a scenic drive in the Hood River Valley with my novegenarian grandparents. It was beautiful seeing the leftover snow above about 1500′ (slightly lower in shady spots). Then nearly 60 degrees down in Hood River right afterward, and 63 in The Dalles. What a dance between the leftover spoils of Winter, and the warmth of Spring!

  21. Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

    Awesome pic.

    More epic rain in the forecast. Figures. Crawls back into cave from the tennis courts. Sigh.

  22. pappoose in scappoose says:

    Love the pic!

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