Snowy Coast & Coast Range; Too Dry Metro Area For Snow

10am Friday…

The snow showers showed up at the Coast and in the Coast Range this morning, here’s a pic of almost 6″ in Jewell

photo_jewell

and then from Andi in Pacific City

photo_pacificcity_andi

Here in the metro area it hardly did anything at all and has been mainly dry.  No measurable precipitation at Portland, Hillsboro, Troutdale, or Aurora through 10am.  Sure, there were flurries and sprinkles around, but if the temperature is marginal for snow (32-34 degrees), you need some heavier snow showers to get it to stick (like in Pacific City pic above).  Most models were showing very light precip, but so far it’s been even lighter than they showed.  Luckily I didn’t jump on that wetter GFS model last night which implied several inches of snow west metro area today.

Now the daytime “heating” has taken over and there’s no chance for sticking snow the rest of the day.

Another wetter system comes through the region Sunday and that one should give more snow to the hills and just a mix again at the lowest elevations early in the morning.  Beyond that we’ll gradually turn warmer next week, although “warmer” just means temps coming up closer to normal.   So today and Sunday morning MAY be the last flirtation with snow for this season.  I hope…

capture

That is a cross-section showing the next 3.5 days temperature and relative humidity (green colors), along with wind barbs showing wind direction and speed.  The blue line is zero degrees (celsius).  You see the dip to sea level tomorrow (25/12 refers to 4am the 25th, Saturday).  Then a dip close to sea level again both Sunday and Monday mornings.  The reason I’m not real excited about low elevation snow Sunday is the southerly wind we’ll have on Sunday.  That almost always keeps us a few degrees above freezing and that’ll likely happen Sunday morning.  But that’s a day we’ll see lots of snow above 1,000′, could be a snowy drive into the Cascade Foothills and Coast Range too.  Keep that in mind if you’re travelling on Sunday.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

 

39 Responses to Snowy Coast & Coast Range; Too Dry Metro Area For Snow

  1. Marc (Brush Prairie, WA) says:

    More snow today than what we had on Friday. Nothing sticking but at least this event is much more exciting than Friday’s non-story.

  2. Like a Kid in Snow says:

    Heavy wet snow here in Dallas for the past 40 minutes!

  3. Deer Is. at 750' says:

    Been snowing here for at least an hour and is just now starting to stick.

  4. Ken in Sheridan says:

    Wonderful heavy wet snow started just outside my window! Winters last hurrah? Temp about 33 or 34 .

  5. Jason Hougak says:

    Snowing good up here in the foothills.❄️❄️❄️❄️
    Radar verifying good moisture for continued steady snow.
    Great morning for a crackling fire, hot coffee and reading the Bible😀👍🏼

  6. Jake-(Gresham near Nadaka Nature Park) says:

    All of the NAM runs today progressed toward snow. I know people have stated this but it’s showing a significant change.

    Looking at the bigger view and what strikes me hardest is that the low doesn’t come ashore to our North as earlier models runs were showing on the GFS and most importantly, the Euro.

    My opinion is that we get snow to valley floor with this system if the ever so slight shift in trajectory is true. Which, the Euro is confirming along with the NAM. My eyes can hardly believe it but we’re yet again in very close situation. GFS is awash but I’m ignoring it personally because it’s a long range model.

    It will come down to live radar with this one. I think areas in Washington like Kelso will see accumulation in the valley. Just a hunch it stops there (okay maybe down to Battleground). PDX will see now in the air that melts on contact pretty much. My 2 cents.

  7. Jason Hougak says:

    Looks like March is going to roar like a lion. Things are looking snowy for the foothills for sure.

  8. JohnD says:

    37.9′ and falling here in inner SWPDX @ 250′ elevation. Hope is still alive for some kind of wet snow event later–even though the south wind may nix it. I plan at least to take a nice urban hike up to Council Crest Park @ 1000′ in the West Hills in the a.m.

  9. Hmm… UW WRF-GFS now has me getting about 2.5″ tonight and tomorrow morning. We shall see. I’m pretty close to sea level so I sorta doubt it. A lot of it depends on just how heavy the showers are.

  10. marinersfan85 says:

    0z nam still wants to make it interesting tomorrow.

  11. JJ78259 says:

    Just watered my tomatos 🍅 today, took a nap in the sun! Now heading out for a quick 9 holes! Just beautiful today!

    • lurkyloo says:

      Just had a cup of hot cocoa by the fire. Enjoyed the fresh, chilly air outside. Not a bit of dust or bugs outside. My tulips are up, so Spring is in the making …

      Just beautiful here today, too!

    • JJ78259 says:

      Awesome Lurkyloo!

  12. marinersfan85 says:

    18Z nam decides to make tomorrow morning interesting.

  13. High Desert Mat says:

    Does anyone remember the sturgeon in the Columbia river piling at the bottom in the 1000’s? My neighbor doesn’t believe me and I can’t find it anywhere on the net. I remember it being around a decade ago or so. Someone tell me I’m not crazy.

  14. 29 overnight, coldest low in some time. If we don’t beat that in the next day or two, it probably won’t get that cold again until next winter. Though I’ve seen frost in the last week of April, so who knows?

    • And it seems that my snow skepticism for this event might end up being proven wrong tonight. UW WRF-GFS is showing widespread lowland accumulations up this way tomorrow night. Just a dusting for me, but up to 3″ in the heart of the convergence zone. NWS has already issued a special weather statement about it.

  15. Mountain Man says:

    As I’ve watched this whole thing evolving on the models over the past week, Sunday looks like the snowy day or always did for the hills at least in this little cool spell. We’ll see. I also have been watching all ensembles for around the 2nd to 5th. It’s juicy still…very juicy tonight especially. All HR runs have been warm side out-liners and I bet someone is getting hit hard in early March. Will it be the foothills, coast or a to the north/ south, (or course not) Portland thing? Well, it’s just a dump something somewhere at sometime thing, but it most likely will be a dumping of a ton of snow thing anyway… Wherever it does.

  16. Jason Hougak says:

    Just finished up night skiing here at T-Line and enjoying an evening in the Lodge and I’d agree there is no such thing as too much snow😀💨❄️❄️❄️❄️

  17. Marc (Brush Prairie, WA) says:

    43 degrees outside and it feels normal.

  18. Had an interesting drive back from a hike in the Olympics yesterday. The drive in was fine, road was totally clear. But heading back at 4PM, a heavy shower had crossed a ridge (elevation about 1000 feet) and dumped a quick inch or two of snow. Road went from wet to slushy to snowy. Only about 3/4 mile of snowy before it ended abruptly.

    Hike itself was in an area that had received a dusting overnight, but it never did more than make few slushy showers when I was on the trail. Chose that location because of the low elevation (900 feet max). Trees were white with snow above about 1200 to 1500 feet.

  19. marinersfan85 says:

    “To much snow” isn’t a thing.

    WRF has performed so poorly this year. It wants to put 1-4″ from about Salem North on Sunday.

    • Anyone who lived from Seattle northwards in 1996 would disagree with that! When there’s enough snow to do things like collapse roofs, sink marinas, and (in the most affected areas) completely bury automobiles, and there’s minimal snow-removal equipment handy, that’s definitely too much!

    • HAWKEYES23 says:

      Sunday will have a light dusting above 1000 feet at best. Anything below will just be a nice cold drizzle in all reality.

    • marinersfan85 says:

      I lived in Lynnwood in 1996. I remember that snow storm exceptionally well.

  20. Paul D says:

    YAWN….

  21. Windsday says:

    This winter was not as good as what Portland got. The Central/Southern valley except for the December snowstorm otherwise got royally screwed.

    The most snow we ever had was 3-4 inches in the December snow. The January snow never made it here but going to Silverton and points north got scored.

    Down here the winter was right about normal. Normally I’d be pretty disappointed but our last few winters have been blow torches so average feels cold actually.

    Our mean temps have been about 40F with no unusual cold nights except a week of 20sF in January at night and a low of 15F in December.

    Two winters ago we had a low of 19F on New Years during the modified artic outbreak and a high of 33ish but no snow to show for it.

  22. ocpaul says:

    No such thing as “too…much…snow” IMO

  23. I’m ready for 60+ degree weather. This winter has been one for the ages but its time to move ahead now.

    • my alter ego says:

      I hear ya, Mike. We’ve basically been locked in late Dec/early Jan weather, or colder, for the past three months. It’s high time for the old cold man to get evicted. Here’s to sunnier, warmer days ahead. Peace.

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