It appears the weather has played out as expected with “Mr. South Wind” keeping us from getting an overnight snowstorm in the lowest elevations. When we get that breeze keeping the lowest part of the airmass stirred up, we only get sticking snow to the valley floor during the heavy showers. And the showers just haven’t been heavy enough all night to do the job (drop 1-2″). I’ve seen it happen dozens of times in my 25 years forecasting in our area. As with all the other snow events in the past month; most models (with some interpretation) have done very well again. In fact this is the first winter that I’ve seen them do better some some human forecasts!
(9:24am: The NWS just dropped the Winter Weather Advisory for most of us. Now in effect only above 500′)
All lowest elevation airport observation sites from Salem to Scappoose are above freezing and will stay that way through the day. Many of us are in the mid 30s, so it’s reasonable to expect high temperatures up around 40 once the showers back off.
For those of you that ARE getting snow up around 500-1,000′ and above, expect another 1″ or so before the showers turn to just flurries around 10am or so. Farther south in the Willamette Valley towards Eugene the showers will continue through the afternoon.
- There won’t be any significant accumulation of snow in the lowest elevations north of Salem the rest of today.
- But any area could get a dusting as showers pass over
- Temperatures remain ABOVE freezing through at least 3-4pm
- ROADS REMAIN CLEAR AT THE LOWEST ELEVATIONS
- All wet roads freeze after sunset at some point as skies clear
- We’ll be sunny, but cold the next 2 days