Hurricane Matthew: Big Trouble For Florida

I generally don’t post about weather in other locations around the USA since it doesn’t affect us, plus I’m not an expert for other areas.  But Matthew is going to be a historic storm for Florida.

After many days of models gradually coming together on a path for the storm, this morning both the GFS and ECMWF are in perfect agreement.  The storm will be right over Cape Canaveral (yes, the Kennedy Space Center) at sunrise Friday AM.  Check out that monster on both models:

gfs

 

ecmwf

Several things to point out:

For one, the strongest wind stays over the water.  But also note the “weaker wind” still means gusts over 100 mph from just north of Miami all the way up the coastline.  That means what same wild wind we feel at Vista House in wintertime will be widespread across the entire eastern half of Florida and hit millions of people!  Even Orlando, a good hour inland by freeway, will see gusts in the 70+ mph range.  There is going to be widespread destruction from this storm.

For the latest from the National Hurricane Center you can go here through the entire event:  http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/graphics_at4.shtml?5-daynl#contents

And this is the latest forecast track:

matthew

The NHC is the official source of information, all other information you find online begins with those folks.

 

 

 

15 Responses to Hurricane Matthew: Big Trouble For Florida

  1. Lee Wilson says:

    It is here tonight unfortunately I can not show proof.
    We’re getting some good gusts right now.
    The winds are howling.
    I have video ..well Audio.

  2. Lee Wilson says:

    If this is just the start then I wonder what the image of the storm will be like.

  3. Lee Wilson says:

    Reporting in from Castle Rock Washington.
    Winds Gusting pretty good.
    Starting at 7:00 am.
    Light Rain
    Pressure 2959 InHg an falling
    Light rain

    Ground winds are gusting 13 to 25 MPH
    According my instrument winds are from the south.

  4. Joshua Downtown PDX says:

    Mark, are you going to post your analysis and thoughts about the likely deluge tomorrow and many days of soaking beginning late this week? Somebody needs to build an ark.

    • Lee Wilson says:

      Reporting in from Castle Rock Washington.
      Winds Gusting pretty good.
      Starting at 7:00 am.
      Light Rain
      Pressure 2959 InHg an falling
      Light rain

      Ground winds are gusting 13 to 25 MPH
      According my instrument winds are from the south.

  5. WEATHERDAN says:

    If Mark even mentioned a chance for snow down to 2k on Halloween there would be at least 200 comments. But a major hurricane strikes Florida and only 7 comments. Sad to see these big storms but nature can be a real killer at times. Peace.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Gee I wonder why Dan. That’s because the hurricanes in FLORIDA!! It’s not in our nick of the woods.

  6. WEATHERDAN says:

    Great football weather Saturday. Partly cloudy and 75. Peace.

  7. A fairly windy rainy night here last night (about three quarters of an inch of precipt. and some power outages). Another round coming tonight. Looks like the rainy season is starting early!

  8. muxpux (Longview) says:

    I have a friend in Orlando. I was really wanting to go there and ride this one. Check it off my bucket list. But you know. Gotta work.

  9. WEATHERDAN says:

    If it bleeds it leads. Peace.

  10. Snow flurries here today and yesterday! Not at my normal home, of course, I’m on a road trip and presently in western Wyoming.

  11. Mike Hinnant says:

    I grew up in Florida and moved here in 2005. “Uninhabitable” probably be the case if the northeastern side of the storm moves inland. Any structures built before Hurricane Andrew will be in trouble. Structures built after Andrew might be ok. “Might”. If the biggest winds stay offshore then it will probably be more like Hurricane Charley from 2004 which is still not good but way better than it could be. This could be bad or really bad. Not sure yet. The metal hangers on new construction that tie the trusses to the exterior walls up here are a direct result of new construction codes across the country in the aftermath of Andrew. So weather that happens elsewhere does have an indirect affect here.

  12. Lee Wilson says:

    They are stating that places will be left “Uninhabitable”.
    I hope and pray that people will obey this warning over there.

    I hope and pray it doesn’t do the second thing they are predicting.
    And that is it heading for N.Y.

    I wonder how NASA will fair?

    They got the instruments maybe they can get some data out out of “Blender Mathew”.

    I for see the name “Mathew” never to be used again.

    • Cape Canaveral has been hit by hurricanes multiple times (it’s in Florida, after all) and survived.

      Given that the death toll from Matthew is already well over 200 and rising, a permanent retirement for that hurricane name already seems a sure bet.

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