Decent Skiing This Weekend

January 22, 2016

The 2nd half of this week was quite warm, we hit 59 in Portland today and Government Camp was in the 40s the last two days.

PLOT_Highs_ORWA

But good news for skiing, a cooler airmass moves inland Saturday and temperatures cool.  I expect 2-4″, all above Government Camp’s 4000′ elevation.  By night ski time the sticking snow level should finally drop down to around 4,000.

Colder temperatures Sunday mean a pretty good weekend for skiing, especially considering I see another round of warm rains Tuesday-Thursday this coming week.

MarkSkiWeekend_MtHood

There will be another, cooler, period of 3-5 days starting next Saturday.  All models are in agreement with a cool trough moving through the West.  Unfortunately they all show mild westerly flow returning in early February.  Here are the ECMWF ensembles; the top section shows maximum temperatures for each 12 hour period.

KPDX_2016012212_pnx_360

Note the low point around February 1st.  I have noticed in cool patterns these numbers are a little low for PDX.  But mid 40s sound good.  The lower section shows minimums for each 12 hour period.  Looks like frost will return for a few days with the cool spell.  I’m feeling more confident the 24 degree low in November will be our coldest temperature of this winter…

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen