ECMWF Weekly Maps

The usual.  4 maps, each one is 500 millibar height/anomaly.  1 for each of the next 4 weeks.  The last map takes us to Valentines Day.

A couple thoughts:

  1. Mild pattern will continue.  A bit cooler at times…seems to be something right around the end of the month.  Also seeing that on 16 day anomalies from GFS/GEM
  2. Troughing just to our west backs offshore farther.  But compared to this run 10 days ago the ridging is not as strong to our north and northeast.
  3. Wet weather continues


That last map looks pretty mild for mid-February, but we’re still 4 weeks away from fork-time.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

32 Responses to ECMWF Weekly Maps

  1. paulbeugene says:

    Pass the fork please as winter (snow) weather below 1000′ is likely done with. Let the rains and mountain snows continue as we still need them despite being sick of the ongoing precipitation.

  2. Rekcah Kuskcoc says:

    I’m willing to receive bets for the number of 60+ degree days in Portland this February. My call is 2.

  3. GTS1K' says:

    Après trois heures, le deluge…

  4. WEATHERDAN says:

    I heard a dj say this morning our weather in a word, then it got bleeped out. That about covers it, peace.

    • JJ78259 says:

      I think my brother heard that also. He and my sister in law are flying into San Antonio next week to check out the Spanish Missions Ruins and I think to get some Sun Shine along with the vist. Maybe kill a little moss.

  5. JackFrost says:

    Isn’t it amazing our climate 2 years ago was like Madrid Spain lite and now it’s more closer to Plymouth UK?

  6. Weedeater says:

    Today is wet. Tonight a repeat. But I shall sleep. Citizens!

  7. Tyler Mode in Battle Ground says:

    Join us tomorrow night for an exciting talk on the details of “The Big One” in the NW. No flare here, just the facts!

  8. Tyler Mode in Battle Ground says:

    11 years ago today it was 62 degrees.

  9. Jack says:

    What is “fork-time.”

    • JJ78259 says:

      The end of the possibility of cold snowy weather in Portland. Informal winters end. In San Antonio we may see our second 80 degree day of the year Sunday. I fertilized the lawn yeststerday winter may be over here also.

    • W7ENK says:

      It’s the time when Mark officially “sticks a fork in Winter”, calls it done and over with. It’s a blog thing, stick around and you’ll see it here again, soon enough.

  10. schmit44 says:

    1/18/2016 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    High:58 at CW1244 Pendleton(1145 ft)
    Low: 52 at BROOKINGS(79 ft) & Gold Beach(16 ft)

    High:26 at Mt Hood Meadows(6540 ft)
    Low: 17 at FOURMILE LAKE NE (5810 ft ) & Lagoon (6370 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 27 degrees
    ASHLAND (55/28 ) (1885 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    1.42″ at CW2527 Florence(46ft)
    1.05″ at EW6494 Florence(64ft)
    0.98″ at WALDPT Waldport(43ft)
    0.97″ at YACHTS Yachats(72ft)
    0.96″ at LONG PRAIRIE(1093ft)

  11. G. Carich says:

    You’re talking about a “dumping” coming up in the Cascades? Hmmm…You predicted that today was going to be “colder (daytime highs 25-30F at 4000′) and flurries.” Nope. Mild (+32F) and cloudy with lite rain/snow. The week looks mild to me and maybe 12 hours of snow Weds, 16” that’ll melt by Fri. El Nin~o is here, I fear.

  12. Lurkyloo says:

    Sorry, but I’m still laughing about the “male cow-poo” comment in the previous post. I have no idea what that means, but it cracked me up. Raining pretty good here in NE …

  13. GTS1K' says:

    It’s raining…

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