Freezing Rain Tonight? No, But Close

5pm Friday…

I’ve been busy this afternoon so a little slow getting the info, but here are my quick thoughts on freezing rain west of the Cascades.

  • Wherever the east wind is blowing it’ll stay above freezing tonight, that includes the western Gorge below about 1,000′ and all of the east metro area.  That means no freezing rain in these areas.  The cold airmass in the Gorge is too “warm” and too moist now (almost no evaporative cooling).
  • Some outlying areas in the valleys (mainly Washington and/or Clark Counties) will drop to freezing before midnight, but the increasing cloud cover should bring those spots back up to or above freezing when the precipitation arrives.  As a result if there is some sort of freezing rain it would be only in an isolated spot or two.
  • As a result, 95% of us won’t see any freezing precipitation in the next 24 hours.

In the Gorge, assuming more than a few hundredths of precipitation make it there, it should fall as snow since the cold layer is deep enough east of Bonneville.

Sunday looks very nice…like today, because the cool Gorge wind will keep fog & low clouds down in the central/southern valley.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

38 Responses to Freezing Rain Tonight? No, But Close

  1. Leeateea says:

    There shouldn’t even be a 7 day forecast in the winter,it should be a 3 day forecast and even that is pushing it,especially this year when things have been changing so much day to day!

  2. Paul D says:

    What happened? Yesterday it was dry until Wednesday, now it’s wet starting Monday. What changed so fast?!?

  3. JackFrost says:

    So what’s the odds of that back door artic front we all thought this time last week?

    • Given that there’s been no more mention of it, I would wager a guess that it’s the typical story of an outlier model run or two that ends up just being an outlier.

      It’s why I never get very excited when a model run or two shows something exciting happening a week or two out.

  4. WEATHERDAN says:

    Back at OMSI Rod Hill goes will it rain or will it snow. Then he says I just don’t know. This after Mark recaps the Winter past just for show. Will it be foggy or will we see some sun. It all depends on how the El Nino doth run. Come December and the pain of endless days or rain. But Mark sayest hark don’t sit there and mope for of snow there is hope. And the bloggers say oh boy my heart it hast joy because don’t you know my backyard it has snow. But soon it was spent and the snow came and went and the sun it is here again. Yet still it’s not soon when we can say now it’s June and you know what comes next I fear. It’s filled with woe because of El Nino, and the Winter it might soon be dead. Yet Mt. Hood it has snow and even below so up there you can go. Then came a man called Weatherdan who posted just for show. A great feeling I got next Summer will be hot and some told him where he could go. But of weather and trolls I have no control so of this you should know. Be it sunny or rain there will always be pain when it’s Summer again so just go with the flow. The point of this ditty is I’m trying for witty Because just like Rod Hill of next Summer I just don’t know.

    With apologies to no one this poem was meant for a laugh. So I hope you do, laugh that is. And hey just like a visit from your mother in law snow might come when you least expect it. So be of good cheer. Peace.

    • Boring Oregon says:

      And snow always does come at the worst time.

    • JJ78259 says:

      I have been reading that a La Niña may be in the offing maybe a strong one depending how the El Niño dies out. What a weather roller coaster! I can still remember 2011 that was horrible.

  5. A slight surprise; I’m getting light showers here this morning. The frost from clear skies earlier this morning is still visible but melting.

  6. WEATHERDAN says:

    Our dreams they will splinter when we hear that this Winter is done. It started so nice with the snow and the ice but soon there will be no more fun. Some will cry some will curse some will say it could be worse. When Mark is asked how he will say don’t have a cow, and hey look at the time I must run. Eric says rats, Boydo says ack, and Ted says what a bummer. But all is not lost despite what it cost Weatherdan says hey it will soon be Summer. Thanks for letting me ramble Mark. I’m still hoping for snow but time is quickly running out. In the meantime Peace.

  7. schmit44 says:

    1/9/2016 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:55 at CW5302 Roseburg( 410 ft) & Yaquina Bridge W(120 ft) & Tillamook(63 ft)
    Low: 46 at EW1135 Yachats1(32 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:18 at CW0732 Seneca(4665 ft)
    Low: -10 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft ) & CW0732 Seneca (4665 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 44 degrees
    CRANE PRAIRIE (34/-10 ) (5500 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.69″ at QUAIL PRAIRIE LO(3183ft)
    0.68″ at EW4856 Brookings(1365ft)
    0.52″ at RED MOUND(1753ft)

  8. Farmer Ted says:

    Where are the “trunk monkeys tonight?

  9. Farmer Ted says:

    light rain showers here

  10. flurball says:

    Chiefs Rob!!!!!!!!!

  11. Anonymous says:

    shaping up to be the windiest winter here in Corbett since we moved here 9 years ago it would seem. Is there any hope that we’ll get a bit of a break from it anytime soon Mark? We’ve basically had about 2-3 days total since around Christmas where the winds weren’t in the 20’s – 30’s at the very least. It is what it is, but just curious to see if you had any idea whether or not a bit of a respite is in our near future?

  12. Anonymous says:

    Clear sunny day here, about 28F this morning. Some ground fog visible in the nearby Cemetery, but nothing else of note.

  13. Washougal 1100ft says:

    Snowing this morning on and off with the rain. Still have snow on the ground but seem to not be sticking to pavement little to warm this time around.

  14. Currently 29 ˚F here. Back to the clear frosty mornings for me. Actually, almost clear: looks like there’s a thin light fog out there.

  15. Tyler Mode in Battle Ground says:

    34 and raining. Last year was the winter of the sunrise. This year is the winter of…almost.

  16. Sapo says:

    Was 30 degrees at my house in Tigard about 45 minutes ago…now it’s about 32, precipitation is moving very slowly. Perhaps something will happen, but it’ll probably be minor and short-lived.

  17. Longview 400 ft says:

    Currently 31.5 still foggy.

  18. JohnD says:

    Mark shows 49′ on Tuesday 01/12–almost making the dreaded mid-winter 50’s. Also–at that point–just 7 days from January 19–which by some retrospectives is the snowiest date in weather history (15 times downtown since 1884.) Apparently, we won’t pad that stat this year.

    • JJ78259 says:

      You gotta love those warm winter time temps! Spring will be here shortly. 65 today in San Antonio

  19. Longview 400 ft says:

    Currently 32.7 & very foggy.

  20. schmit44 says:

    1/8/2016 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:57 at TILLAMOOK( 11 ft) & WX7EM Tillamook(104 ft)
    Low: 46 at EW1135 Yachats1(32 ft) & Port Orford(0 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:23 at Rim(7050 ft) & Burns Municipal(4144 ft)
    Low: 1 at CRAZYMAN FLAT (6180 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 36 degrees
    COLGATE (47/11 ) (3231 ft )

  21. Jason Hougak says:

    Really Mark… 2″ of ice in the gorge??? That would be pretty impressive but I think you made a mistake. Might want to fix your graphic.

  22. Paul D says:

    Been hearing other sources saying chance of snow Saturday morning. Sounds like it ain’t gonna happen.

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