A Perfect Example of “Fake Cold”

7:45pm Saturday…

I can’t even tell you who came up with the phrase “Fake Cold”, but the last 4 days have been the perfect example!

Of course FAKE COLD is not a real meteorological phrase but a term we use here in our area, in the lower elevations of the Pacific Northwest.

What is it?  Probably better to define a “regular cold” airmass or modified arctic airmass.  That’s when cold (usually dry too) air comes down from the north or northeast (out of Canada).  It settles down into the Pacific Northwest, we forecast highs in the 30s, or colder, under sunny skies west of the Cascades.  Of course it would typically be 5-10 degrees colder east of the Cascades in the valleys.  For example, last New Year’s we had a cold near-arctic airmass descend south over us…with 850mb temps down around -8 to -10 over our area…that’s cold!  We ended up with high temperatures similar to what we’ve seen the past two days; mid-upper 30s.

MarkTemp_SinceMidnightPDX_Bars_Hot

FAKE COLD is when a cold airmass didn’t mainly come from Canada but is generated by air sitting over the valleys/basins of our region in winter.  Generally it’s the Columbia Basin in Eastern OR/WA.  Less often it can be in the Willamette Valley.  It works best with snow-covered ground, but you see the same weaker effect without snow cover.  Usually the airmass cools over several days; caused by long winter nights when more heat leaving the lower atmosphere than is taken in during the daytime.  In this case there is no mild wind to bring in warmer air so the lowest part of the atmosphere gradually cools.  Take a look at the 5pm temps at PDX for the past 4 days…all of them windy and well-mixed.

WED-38
THU-35
FRI-33
SAT-30

About 8 degrees cooling in the past 72 hours.

In the Gorge at 3,500′ (3 Corner Rock)

W-20
T-15
F-12
S-10

About 10 degrees cooling there in 3 days.

Same thing at The Dalles, 9-10 degrees cooling.

W-34
T-31
F-28
S-25

Interesting that all the well-mixed locations have cooled the same 8-10 degrees don’t you think?  Meanwhile the 850mb temperature over Salem at the beginning of this episode didn’t drop below -4.  That would typically give us high temps in the mid 40s this time of year, which is what we started out with on that first east wind day back on Wednesday.  Today we barely hit 36!  Troutdale only PEAKED at 33.

So that is FAKE COLD…an airmass that started just a little on the cool side and has now become similar to a weak arctic blast.   Dewpoints have also been steadily dropping.

Uh-oh, now we’re all primed for snow & ice…if/when the moisture shows up…

More on that in the next hour.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

16 Responses to A Perfect Example of “Fake Cold”

  1. Washougal 1100ft says:

    Temp 21 gusty east winds. Still looks like a winter wonderland from last Sunday 3-4″ on the ground. All ready for more snow tomorrow and the upcoming week! Who knows what will fall tomorrow if anything? Computers are all over the map.

  2. muxpux (Longview) says:

    10 bucks says moisture doesn’t get north of Albany. It’s not even moving on the IR loop

  3. Dave in Venersborg says:

    28 degrees, gusty east winds above the Venersborg store (east and north of Hockinson, Washington). Like a freight train at times!

  4. Hal in Aims says:

    23 and windy……….

  5. Anonymous says:

    wow someone needs a babysitter!

  6. No wind here at all in the last few days.(Vancouver BC)The fog has joined the fake cold temperatures to make it feel really chilly.My maximum temperature today also 35F. That’s lower than any daily maximum I had in all of 2015. No wonder I feel cold! 🙂

    • Still lots of sun here. Made it up to 40 today. That’s a notch cooler than yesterday’s 42. Anything where the sun doesn’t shine is staying frosty.

    • rubusleucodermis says:

      Sword fern, taken yesterday in spot the sun doesn’t reach, so three nights of frost accumulation. Doubtless even more dramatically iced-up by now.

  7. High Desert Mat says:

    First!!
    Pins and needles Mark, pins and needles.

  8. oldwxwatcher says:

    At least the east winds have eased off a bit. They were fierce here in east Portland last night and broke a large part of a tall pine tree off and into my yard. Total cleanup costs will be around $1,000.

  9. Farmer Ted says:

    First with the bad news, Ducks two years 0 and two!

    • Sapo says:

      Yep…they sucked in that game, wish Adams didn’t get injured.

    • Hal in Aims says:

      why was the back-up center (#57) left in? The girl carrying the gator aid around could probably have done as well…put somebody…anybody else in…….even a good quarterback can’t do anything w/o the ball…….jeez….

    • Paul in Tigard says:

      The gator aid comment was too funny… Thx for making me laugh despite the loss. I’m needing some snow to cheer me up but that doesn’t look so likely either.

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