ECMWF Weekly Maps

Last night’s run of the 32 day ECMWF ensembles.  4 maps, one for each of 4 weeks below.  Each shows 500mb heights, red areas are higher (warmer) than normal.  Blue is lower (usually cooler) than normal.

500za_week1_bg_NA

500za_week2_bg_NA

500za_week3_bg_NA

500za_week4_bg_NA

16 Responses to ECMWF Weekly Maps

  1. W7ENK says:

    I wish there was a blog like this for the Boston/Cape Cod area. I’m heading that way in a couple weeks for a wedding, and I’m curious about what the weather will be like, what it’s typically like, is there any chance I’ll maybe get an awesome thunderstorm (probably close to zero, since it’s me and my Dome tends to follow wherever I go), hurricanes/tropical storms/Nor’Easters, blizzards (again, Dome)… so many variables, so many questions!!!

    • Brandan says:

      They have a GFS ensemble for them through wetterzentrale if that helps you any.

    • W7ENK says:

      It does somewhat, thank you. It doesn’t quite go out far enough, however it will in a few more days. No, it’s the level of independent analysis, discussion and thought put into it here on this blog that seems to be lacking elsewhere.

    • runrain says:

      I was in that area for a week in July and you’d think I’d get some exciting weather but noooo…60’s and drizzly rain – just like a typical Oregon June. Love the history back there.

      Be sure to eat your fill of lobster. Found a great place in Glouchester on the water – 2 lobsters (1+ pounds) for $25!

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      Try this brother may it serve you well. http://wxmaps.org/pix/bosgfs.png .Peace.

  2. As says:

    For those of us not great at reading maps, what does this mean? Obviously next week will be cool, but what should we expect moving forward into October? 🙂 Can I finally put my portable a/c away?!

  3. Mark Bergal says:

    I read today the blob is not as strong due to a change in weather patterns recently that has churned the ocean. Maybe its gradually going away.

  4. NR says:

    Three of the four weeks should pulverize the blob.

  5. High Desert Mat says:

    Looks typical for the last year and a half. Except for that first week. Hopefully the euro is wrong in general and we get a few weeks that look like the first week. Peace

    • David B. says:

      Actually, none of them show that darned ridge just hanging out and parked where it blocks all storms and makes us warmer than normal. The ridge in week 4 looks (to me) to be in a position where it will cause offshore flow; a month or so later and that would be an arctic blast pattern, I believe. In early/mid October it will probably be clear and dry with cold nights and mild afternoons. Maybe an inversion if the ground is sufficiently wet to promote saturated air and fog?

  6. schmit44 says:

    9/10/2015 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:102 at AGNESS2( 247 ft) & CW3932 Central P(1290 ft) & DW5789 Eagle Poi(1463 ft) & MERLIN SEED ORCH(1144 ft)
    Low: 76 at RED MOUND(1753 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at YACHTS Yachats(72 ft)
    Low: 27 at CROW FLAT (5172 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 60 degrees
    DW9630 La Pine (91/31 ) (4256 ft )
    CROW FLAT (87/27) (5172 ft)

  7. Boring Oregon says:

    First

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