ECMWF Monthly Run: Summer Is Early & Sticks Around

Back from vacation…here are the 4 weekly maps of average 500mb height and anomaly.  Wow, things sure haven’t changed much in the past year.  Upper-level heights remain above normal over us or just to our north and west.

500za_week1_bg_NA

500za_week2_bg_NA

500za_week3_bg_NA

500za_week4_bg_NA

It’s been an unusually warm and dry end to spring and start of summer and there’s no sign that’s going to change.  It’s going to be a rough summer for our native vegetation due to lack of water and for our forests (from fire).

On the flip side, my cucumbers, tomatoes, and squash are going to do great!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

12 Responses to ECMWF Monthly Run: Summer Is Early & Sticks Around

  1. I heard last night on KIRO TV in Seattle from Sam that there might be a little chance of rain on Thursday and that is about it. He made mention of a chance of thunder too but it has not even done that once around here yet and hopefully wont now that things are getting awfully dry.

    This June for me in Southeast Tacoma has really been dry and it has been very unusually warm. How warm? 74.1 for the average high so far this month which is more closer to what a whole month of July might be like around my neighborhood here. I have had 6 days of 80 degree weather or above now this year and I a have hit 85 three times already. Not unheard of certainly but also not real common either.

    I was really floored to see all snow gone at the Paradise meadows on Mount Rainier at the beginning of June. I remember one other time back in 2005 it was like that and it seemed so strange to be hiking on the trails up there that early.

    So far I have had just 0.32 inches of rain this month and it all came on the first two days of the month, so it has been dry now for a while and some local areas such as Gig Harbor up this way are setting up to do water rationing for their residents. Normal rainfall here in my yard for 6 years of record is 1.86 inches and according to the maps here Mark it is not going to be anywhere near normal this month. Precipitation for the year is 16.19 inches so far. Already trending below normal for the year too.

  2. schmit44 says:

    6/15/2015 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:95 at John Day River B( 305 ft)
    Low: 64 at JUNIPR(359 ft) & EW3690 Dufur 9e(2444 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:51 at Garibaldi(0 ft)
    Low: 26 at CROW FLAT (5172 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 54 degrees
    CROW FLAT (80/26 ) (5172 ft )

  3. Hopefully, not a repeat of the dry summers of 1967 and 1970

  4. First half of June in The Dalles: Averaged high 87.7, averaged low 58.9, averaged mean 73.3. That’s nearly 8 degrees F above normal for this particular 15-day seasonal period.

    Are you sure this is early June and not mid/late July???

  5. Boydo3 N. Albany says:

    Interestingly, scroll down to about page 30. The past 30 days has seen as much as 800% of average rainfall for parts of the SW.

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf

  6. runrain says:

    Phoenix: 110-113 next 7 days. And it ain’t even summer yet. Yikes!!

  7. An endless summer?

  8. Lee Wilson says:

    Oh our weather station is saying 91

  9. Lee Wilson says:

    Our Green house has exploded, tomatoes are doing well and a giant pumpkin plant has sprouted up and fast I am leaving it alone to see what happens.

    I am using mulch (grass clippings) to feed the plants and to retain water.

    I can water every 3 to 4 days..the plants that had no mulch are not doing well so they got the mulch treatment.

    We have raspberries, blueberries and strawberries popping up.

    We have 3 aspergigus plants doing well.

    Only thing not doing well, is our Dog…he gets a heat rash every summer only on super hot days.

    So if any one has an animal..keep them out of the heat as much as possible.

    And car rides accept at note or early in the morning are long gone for our Ausi…If you love your pets don’t take them in the car..please keep them home.

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