ECMWF Monthly Run: At Least 2 More Warm Weeks Ahead

Last night’s monthly run of the ECMWF didn’t contain any surprises.  Ridging holds over us the next two weeks, then shifts slightly west and north the last week of the month and first week of March.  Looks like ensembles are not pushing it as far west/north as they did 3 days ago (previous post)

I’ll post later on all the rain and possibly (possibly) stormy weather the next 4 days.  Don’t get too excited, there’s no flood or windstorm on the way, but we’ll take what we can get this winter…

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Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

8 Responses to ECMWF Monthly Run: At Least 2 More Warm Weeks Ahead

  1. JohnD says:

    Sad. We’ll try it again next year. And I would have to agree that when true spring arrives, it might not be pretty–except, of course, for water conservationists.

  2. It seems like for the past month it has been “2 more weeks, 2 more weeks, 2 more weeks.”

  3. 18z GFS operational: Warm-and-wet, then warm-and-dry, then warm-and-wet, then warm-and-dry.

    The last few days of February is going to be a VERY busy phenology photoshoot this year!!!

  4. Brian Leroy says:

    Im still sticking to a big turn around in March something gotta give at some point.

    • Eugene Dave says:

      Yep. Get ready for a cold, wet, crappy spring. Just enough to feed the reservoirs and provide misery for valley dwellers.

      Seen it before a ridgy winter.

    • Eugene Dave says:

      during

    • Jake-(Gresham) says:

      With you on this one. I think Spring is going to be a dreary wet one. Wouldn’t be surprised if it held on till June to be frank.

  5. Sapo says:

    Interesting. Well, yeah, as you noted, the ECMWF isn’t pushing the riding as far west and north for sure. But I’ll try to enjoy the next warm 2 weeks!

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