Friday Night Quick Post: Wetter 7 Day Forecast

January 30, 2015

I’ve been sick the past 2 days, and just worked a scheduled half day today.  I squeezed in a mountain bike ride with my son out in Brightwood midday and it was NICE!  Mid-upper 50s and sunny on January 30th is a pretty good deal.  That plus mainly dry ground was a bonus.  I was surprised the parking lot was almost full on a Friday at 1pm when we left.

Just a few thoughts since it’s 10:40pm…

Mild weather continues through the foreseeable future.  00z GEM and GFS ensemble 500mb height charts still keep ridging near/over us through Valentine’s Weekend.  These are maps for Valentine’s Day itself:

gem gfs

4 days ago it looked like snow levels could be reliably in the 4-5,000′ range for the first few days of this coming week.  At that point I said we could see 8-15″ on the higher ski slopes.  That’s looking unlikely now…

MarkSnow_MtHoodFcst_2013

Too bad, we’re down to 14% of normal snowpack on Mt. Hood.  The ridging is looking flatter later next week though, which allows some wet storms to move through.  Note the GFS meteogram for Salem (Portland’s meteogram picks up too much SW Washington Cascades precip):

KSLE_2015013100_tx_240

Looks like a soaker next week.  Notice the new 00z ECMWF is a real wet too ending next Sunday morning

ecmwf_apcptot_f204_nw

That’s all, enjoy the sunshine Saturday (away from the fog)

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen