Good News! Heat Wave Goes From Sizzle to Fizzle

10:30pm Sunday…

The big weather news this evening?  What was going to be a pretty impressive heat wave is now down to just a couple more  hot days.

  • Tomorrow’s high temps, after morning clouds, stay mainly in the 80s or just barely touch 90…nothing unusual for mid July.  Although it will be more humid than normal for mid July.
  • Tuesday will likely be our warmest day with temps into the lower 90s, still not exactly a scorcher by July standards.
  • Then a gradual cooldown the rest of the week.  So no record high temps and it even appears the humidity may drop a bit Tuesday and Wednesday.

Why the change from my post on Thursday?  The upper-level ridging is slightly weaker than shown a few days ago, plus the orientation is such that we don’t get offshore (really hot) flow at any point.  So basically the Pacific Ocean air conditioner is going to keep us from getting too hot.

And of course today’s thunderstorms, while not a surprise, happened to keep firing up right over NW Oregon and SW Washington.  The solid cloud cover, plus some onshore flow (low clouds) in some areas gave the forecasters a huge bust.  Sure, we said 90, but isn’t 74 close???  I’m just kidding, I would have screwed up the forecast too if I was working yesterday.  It did stop our streak of 80+ degree days at 9 here in Portland

Check out the Pacific Northwest lightning chart for today

lightningnw

and then just the metro area.

lightning3

So stay cool this week, but the big picture is that this work week will only be a little warmer than last week; no big heatwave on the way.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

58 Responses to Good News! Heat Wave Goes From Sizzle to Fizzle

  1. schmit44 says:

    7/18/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:101 at ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft)
    Low: 68 at JUNIPR(359 ft) & DW9612 Umapine(797 ft) & CW1395 Ione(1060 ft) & LITTLE MCCOY CRE(5080 ft) & John Day River B(305 ft) & RUFUS(185 ft) & Juniper Butte (U(3126 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at Newport(30 ft)
    Low: 28 at DIMLKE (4726 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 58 degrees
    DIMLKE (86/28 ) (4726 ft )

  2. Tyler Mode says:

    49 and 80 today. I’ll take that the rest of summer.

  3. High Desert Mat says:

    Smokiest day by far here in Redmond. I think it smells really good like camping but I worry about peoples homes and all the animals. I feel they may be burning til end of summer when a good rain comes. We shall see.

  4. Tyler Mode says:

    49 here this morning. That’s refreshing 🙂

  5. schmit44 says:

    7/17/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:104 at ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft)
    Low: 77 at BLALOK(277 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:55 at Newport(30 ft)
    Low: 36 at DIMLKE (4726 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 49 degrees
    CW9027 Ukiah (92/43 ) (3415 ft )

  6. BoringOregon says:

    What fire is south of Mt Hood??

  7. runrain says:

    I’d love to see a debate between Weather Dan and that San Antonio JJ guy on who’s town has the world’s most perfect weather!

    • JJ78259 says:

      Runrain it can be arranged! We are truly loving San Antonio!

    • JJ78259 says:

      Great thunderstorm last dropped 3.02 inches of rain in 4 hours. Fun to watch plus keeps the grass green and the pool full! It has been a great summer so far!

  8. Jason Hougak says:

    There ain’t no “peace” in bombings so don’t end a message with it!

  9. WEATHERDAN says:

    Another day of smoky sunshine in Salem this morning. Hit 96 yesterday but today should be cooler. Probably will top out at 86-88 in Salem. The next week looks to be partly to mostly sunny with highs in the low to mid 80,s and lows in the mid 50,s to lower 60,s. However in Southwest Washington we could see some rain with highs only in the 70,s. By the end of next week all areas look sunnier and warmer. Today under starlit skies our morning low was 56. At 10:00 AM out temperature is up to 69. What a terrible tragedy in Ukraine today. It now looks like Malaysia Airlines flight 17 was shot down by a Russian Buk Missile. Peace..

    • W7ENK says:

      Whutt??? o_O

    • W7ENK says:

      And where’s the smoke coming from? The nearest fire to Salem is up in the Cascades near Mt. Jefferson about 60 miles to your East, and the smoke is blowing ESE into Crook County. Blue sky sunshine in Portland all morning.

      No fires, no smoke anywhere in the Willamette Valley per the current visible satellite loop…

      http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/loopsat.php?wfo=pqr&area=west&type=vis&size=1

    • Jason Hougak says:

      How can you end with ” peace” after what you just wrote??? That’s a mystery… Like smoke in Salem, more like smog.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      If u want smoke come to central Oregon. Its almost cloudy put yet there are no clouds anywhere. On my way to work today visibility went down to about a mile. Three fires here, Camp Sherman, one to the east of Prineville, and the big one in Warm Springs now over 20,000 acres and growing.

    • W7ENK says:

      That’s a big fire, especially so early in the season!

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Just talked to the guy who’s in charge of resources for the fires. He said they will probably be going for awhile since he is out of resources now and more lightning is expected Saturday and Monday over here and he will be losing bodies and resources to fight other fires. Could be a long fire season

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      As for the smoke there have been several grass fires in the valley of late. And smoky is a relative term, It was in fact smoky albeit not nearly as much as in other parts of the state. every day the metro area fire departments answer several area calls for grass fires. That is where the smoky skies are coming from. As for my ending my remarks with peace it is a hope for peace not a state of peace that I refer to.I end my remarks that way every time I think to do so. I wish all of you a peaceful life. Even my detractors. Today is on par to hit about 85. Then maybe about 88 on Saturday. Next Wednesday looks interesting for convection and maybe another heat wave in late July. Happy trails to all.Peace.

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      I really like the “Peace” ending, WEATHERDAN. Peace!

  10. David B. says:

    Marine layer seems really strong up this way this morning. Probably low 70s at best for me this afternoon.

    • Muxpux (Castle Rock 175') says:

      There’s zero marine layer here in castle rock. Hard to believe it’ll be cooler than yesterday when it didn’t burn off for a bit. I was up at 8 and no clouds

  11. schmit44 says:

    7/16/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:109 at JUNIPR( 359 ft)
    Low: 77 at BLALOK(277 ft) & Butler Grade(1789 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at Newport(30 ft)
    Low: 40 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 51 degrees
    CW5507 Camp Sher (100/49 ) (3020 ft )

  12. High Desert Mat says:

    Another hot and smoky day here in Redmond. Felt like the hottest day of the year to me today. In Terrebonne today it hit 100 but felt really really hot. Probably the smoke too that added to it. Three fires blowing smoke in the vicinity all day and couldn’t see Smith Rock for most of the day only 5 miles away. Warm Springs, Camp Sherman, and Ochoco fires keeping it overcast alot of the day. Days like this make me wish I was in Portland still. Hope the animals all got out safe.

  13. Tyler Mode says:

    Surprisingly hit 90 again today. No low clouds this morning and no sign of marine air just yet.

  14. schmit44 says:

    7/15/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:105 at EW1735 Central P(1285 ft) & ILLINOIS VALLEY(1389 ft) & MERLIN SEED ORCH(1144 ft)
    Low: 78 at HEPP(311 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:54 at Newport(30 ft) & NERRS METEOROLOG(9 ft)
    Low: 42 at MCKENZIE (4800 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 54 degrees
    CW5507 Camp Sher (98/44 ) (3020 ft )

  15. gidrons says:

    Here’s a video from a Russian beach. Somebody is going to have some welts.

  16. BoringOregon says:

    I don’t mind a cool down. Whats does next week look like??

  17. WEATHERDAN says:

    77 and heading for 96 today. This will be the 11th time so far this year to reach 90. What a great Summer. No low clouds again today. I really enjoy the wall to wall sunshine. Peace.

  18. High Desert Mat says:

    Out at Billy Chinook right now on the jet skis and boy is it smoky. Can barely see Mt. Jefferson and can’t see Mt. Hood. The fire in Warm Springs is huge. Ballooned to 10000 acres.

  19. Tyler Mode says:

    The sun is trying to break out here. 64 degrees. Looks like the ULL brought back a lot of smoke with it especially in eastern Washington.

  20. schmit44 says:

    Insane middle of the night hot spell in Brookings. Has not broke mid 60s past 7 days there except for 2 hours in the middle of the night last night. At 1am this morning it was 57 degrees there. The wind then went Northerly for about 2 hours. The temperature rose 27 degrees in under 90 minutes to 84 at 2:30am only to crash back down into the 50s and drizzle two hours later.
    http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?sid=KBOK&table=1&banner=off

  21. Jason Hougak says:

    I love a good forecasted heat wave BUST!!!
    Bring on WINTER!

  22. schmit44 says:

    7/14/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:106 at LAKE OWHEE AND O(2400 ft)
    Low: 84 at BULLY CREEK RESE(2500 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at Newport(30 ft)
    Low: 39 at DIMLKE (4726 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 51 degrees
    CW5507 Camp Sher (96/45 ) (3020 ft )

  23. paulbeugene called it last Thursday. Referred to it as a convective debris day. Got the back filling onshore flow part too. kudos Paul.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Good job Paul. I remember that too

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Only wrong part he said tho was that it was going to be a PDX thing north. That didn’t happen. There were thunderstorms from Eugene north.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      So from now on, I think people should respect Marks forecasts and go with his. Okay weatherdan? You always try to say your weathercasts for Salem when Mark already does that. I mean really, who do you think people are gonna listen to? Mark or you?

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      This is a weather discussion group the last time I checked Matt. I f you don’t like my forecasts then feel free to ignore them. If Mark dosn’t like them he can pull them. So far Mark has not. This blog was started by Mark for us to discuss weather. That is what I am doing. I am truly sorry if it bothers you that much when my forecasts differ from Mark’s. He is truly a fantastic meteorologist and a good human being. When my forecasts differ from Mark’s it’s because that is what I believe to be correct. Not to garner attention. If you do that then I will not complain as long you are not rude to others. But as long as this is an open forum I will continue to press on with what I believe will happen. By the way I called for 92 yesterday and that was spot on. Peace

  24. High Desert Mat says:

    Mark I think its time you tally up your freezing rain and snow totals at the bottom of your webpage. I don’t think there will be any more snow or sleet in the winter of ’13-’14.

  25. David B. says:

    Back from Leavenworth where every afternoon was around 100. Was more like 90-95 where I was doing my field work. Actually quite nice if one wasn’t wearing more than just a pair of shorts and doing more than sitting in the shade. But I was in Cahrartt overalls and fighting my way cross-country sometimes in heavy brush. At least there was usually a tree canopy so it wasn’t in full sun.

  26. vinnybob says:

    Just think how mad everyone would be if this was an arctic air non event.

  27. vinnybob says:

    Fabulous Butcher Boys.

  28. WEATHERDAN says:

    80 and sunny at 1:00 PM in Salem. Heading for about 92. Still another 90 degree day in Salem but not in Portland. Tomorrow should be the warmest of the week at about 97. Then 94 and 90. 84-88 0ver the Friday through Sunday time frame. The rest of July looks bone dry with temps in the 83-93 range. Lows look to be on the warm side as well. So far getting off to a very nice Summer. Oh by the way vive la France. Today is Bastille day for all you Francophiles. Enjoy the heat. Peace.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Portland is a way better place than crappy Salem. I lived there once for about 6 months and it was a joke of a town. I’d discuss why but I don’t know where to start. Weatherwise, PDX is better in the winter in the sense that there’s always a chance the gorge will usher in cold air that rarely makes it as far south as Salem. And in the summertime, Salem usually is a smidge warmer but PDX aldo tends to be warmer as well somedays like when the gorge is blowing the low clouds out when Salem is stuck in the muck all day. Overall Portland is just a better place to live in every way. I said my peace.

    • WEATHERDAN says:

      Matthew I just don’t understand why you feel like badmouthing Salem so much. The fact that you don’t care for it doesn’t bother me at all. I like Portland a lot. I just choose to live here in Salem. Peace.

  29. Paul D says:

    Excellent news! Love it when the heat waves don’t pan out.

  30. MasterNate says:

    Switching gears for a moment. Interesting reading on sea ice for both poles. It said the combined total sea ice mass for both poles has increased in coverage about the size of Greenland.

    http://www.breitbart.com/Breitbart-London/2014/07/06/Antarctic-Sea-Ice-at-Record-High

  31. schmit44 says:

    As of 11:18pm NWS still forecasting 90 tomorrow. Solid stratus deck in the wake of the upper low have filled in with bases around 2500ft. I am just gonna throw out there the possibility that tomorrow may only reach 82 with low clouds taking more time to burn off than expected.

  32. schmit44 says:

    7/13/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:108 at DW9659 Richland(2379 ft)
    Low: 78 at ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at Newport(30 ft) & YACHTS Yachats(82 ft) & MEARES Cape Mear(1421 ft)
    Low: 44 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 50 degrees
    FOSTER FLAT (98/48 ) (5000 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.26″ at MEARES Cape Mear(1421ft)
    0.25″ at BOULDER CREEK(3570ft)
    0.21″ at YELLOWSTONE MTN.(3080ft)

  33. kdi says:

    That is good news. Over here we have fires everywhere. 5 or 6 wheat/range fires east of kent, or and a monster by antelope, another monster a few miles north of pine grove, etc etc. It’s awful. While I assume we are still stuck with mid 90’s all week, that beats 100’s. Now if it would just rain.

  34. Boydo3 N. Albany says:

    First??
    Still pretty dang warm in my book.

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