Vacation Time

I have this week off; it’s summer vacation time.  So no posts, but you aren’t missing much anyway.  Enjoy the sunshine, marine air with its clouds, and blue skies…

I’ll be back on Monday the 14th

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

49 Responses to Vacation Time

  1. schmit44 says:

    7/10/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:103 at EW3335 Jacksonvi(1390 ft)
    Low: 74 at HEPP(311 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:56 at Newport(30 ft)
    Low: 34 at Horse Ridge (US (4160 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 58 degrees
    Horse Ridge (US (92/34 ) (4160 ft )

  2. schmit44 says:

    JULY 11-16 HEATWAVE CONTEST – Please submit your forecast high/low temperatures during this 6-day stretch of heat and see if you can make the best guess of the group of entrants. Deadline to enter will be tonight 11:30pm. I just updated the PDX zone values
    http://www.directpaintsaleswa.com/JULY2014_HEATWAVE/add.php

  3. paulbeugene says:

    Aside from thunderstorm possibilities at some point this weekend, Eugene could make a run at longest streak of 90+ days. The record longest is 11 days set in July 1938. Today was the fifth day in a row.
    One of the days this weekend may have enough mid-high level convective debris to keep highs below 90F but 850mb temps are going to be rather high, so won’t take much insolation to break 90F. If both Sat and Sun make it over 90F here then that would make it 10 days as of next Tuesday given temps would likely be hotter then.

    Most likely scenario that would break the 90F streak this weekend would be some sort of complex of thunderstorms moving N over Salem-PDX with resultant onshore marine push behind it for 12-18 hours, before heat takes over again.

    CAPE values of 2000 on WRF mm5 over PDX metro….delicious.

  4. vernonia1 says:

    0 miles E of Seaside,OR 🙂

    Region: OREGON
    Geographic coordinates: 45.992N, 123.907W
    Magnitude: 1.3
    Depth: 0 km
    Universal Time (UTC): 10 Jul 2014 17:26:47
    Time near the Epicenter: 10 Jul 2014 10:26:47
    Local standard time in your area: 10 Jul 2014 17:26:47

    Location with respect to nearby cities:
    1 km (0 mi) E of Seaside, Oregon
    76 km (47 mi) WSW of Longview, Washington
    79 km (48 mi) WSW of Kelso, Washington
    81 km (50 mi) NW of Forest Grove, Oregon
    135 km (83 mi) NNW of Salem, Oregon

  5. Benjamin (West Salem) says:

    Hoping for thunderstorms this weekend. The new forecast discussion goes into some detail about the chances we have. Looks like Friday evening and Sunday are our best shots at convection here in the valley. http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/total_forecast/getprod.php?prod=XXXAFDPQR&wfo=PQR

  6. pappoose in scappoose says:

    …EXTENDED PERIOD OF HOT WEATHER THIS WEEKEND THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK…

    http://forecast.weather.gov/wwamap/wwatxtget.php?cwa=pqr&wwa=special%20weather%20statement

  7. WEATHERDAN says:

    Down to 52 in Salem this morning. Next 10 days or so should be much warmer. Lows in Salem should be 58-66 with highs 96-104. And Friday through Sunday a chance of TRW’S with DP’S in the 60,s. At 1:30 SLE is 81 and may get close to 90. Hot but still the coolest in maybe 10 days. The all time warmest average month in Salem was 91.0 in August of 1967. This year may be close to that. And if you average in our minimum temperatures this month I think this will be the warmest month ever. By the way in August of 1967 Salem had 19 days over 90. So far this month we have had 5. As to why Salem is usually 3-5 degrees warmer than Portland on a daily basis I think it is because of the heavy cool ocean air which slips up the Columbia River from Astoria. Salem being 130 feet higher at the weather station than PDX that cooler air doesn’t affect us. When we do get a marine push in Salem it usually comes up from the South through the coastal gaps near Eugene and Corvallis. But it has to be a strong push to make it over the Coast range. The Columbia River is close to seal level all the way into Portland. That is why I think we usually get 20-25 days more over 80 in Salem each Summer than does Portland. Anyway whether or not you really like the warm weather you may either consider it a positive or a negative effect. Enjoy the heat. Peace.

  8. MasterNate says:

    I wouldn’t be surprised to see some triple digits in the new 7 day.

  9. schmit44 says:

    7/9/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:105 at ILLINOIS VALLEY(1389 ft)
    Low: 79 at JUNIPR(359 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:54 at MT. HOWARD(7910 ft)
    Low: 45 at DIMLKE (4726 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 45 degrees
    ILLINOIS VALLEY (105/60 ) (1389 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.33″ at STRAWBERRY(5590ft)

  10. Tyler Mode says:

    81 today with lower humidity. Copy and repeat over the next few days please!

  11. pappoose in scappoose says:

    Bring on them Donkeys!

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
    219 PM PDT WED JUL 9 2014

    MOIST AND UNSTABLE SOUTH FLOW ALOFT SPREADS INTO THE AREA BEGINNING LATE THURSDAY AND CONTINUING THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT. THIS BRINGS THE THREAT
    OF THUNDERSTORMS TO THE CASCADES AND POSSIBLY AS FAR WEST AS THE COAST RANGE BY FRIDAY EVENING. AN UPPER LOW OFF THE NORTH CALIFORNIA
    COAST SATURDAY IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTH TO NORTHEAST AND INLAND OVER INTO EXTREME SW OREGON BY LATE SUNDAY FOR ANOTHER THREAT OF
    THUNDERSTORMS.

    • Garron near Washington Square says:

      I’m looking forward to the player off the California coast sending baggy troughs spinning our way for Friday night!

      SHORT TERM…TODAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT…MARINE STRATUS COVERAGE
      BASICALLY THE SAME AS 24 HOURS AGO. INLAND INTRUSION EAST OF
      INTERSTATE 5 INTO NW CLACKAMAS COUNTY TO NEAR KUAO. LARGE-SCALE WATER
      VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS DRY WLY FLOW OVER THE FORECAST AREA AS A DEEP
      UPPER TROUGH TRACKS EAST ACROSS CANADA. BAGGY TROUGH OFF THE
      CALIFORNIA COAST WITH TWO CIRCULATION CENTERS PRESENT. ONE NEAR 35N
      128W AND THE SECOND AT 36N 138W. THE FIRST ONE WILL BE THE PLAYER FOR
      FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      I really like players of that type, Garron!

  12. schmit44 says:

    JULY 11-15 HEATWAVE CONTEST – Please submit your forecast high/low temperatures during this 5-day stretch of heat and see if you can make the best guess of the group of entrants. Deadline to enter will be tomorrow night (July 10th) at 11:30pm.
    http://www.directpaintsaleswa.com/JULY2014_HEATWAVE/add.php

    • Garron near Washington Square says:

      Thanks and congrats…I like that it updates every 5 minutes, just like Steve Pierce’s reminder emails. Just kidding Steve.

  13. paulbeugene says:

    00z run of WRF mm5 has forecast sounding for EUG Saturday evening (96h) suggestive of decent thunderstorm chances. CAPE of 1350 and LI -4. Of course best bet is over and E of Cascades.

    Echo tops depend on how far away Mark is from Portland. Mark you should go to the World Meteorological Association meeting in St. Petersburg, Russia (starts July 10). That would get us CB tops of 45-50K.

  14. schmit44 says:

    7/8/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:104 at JUNIPR( 359 ft) & JOHN DAY RIVER A(400 ft) & Celilo, East of(225 ft)
    Low: 75 at BLALOK(277 ft) & ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:55 at MT. HOWARD(7910 ft)
    Low: 42 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 49 degrees
    COLGATE (98/49 ) (3231 ft )
    CW5507 Camp Sher (98/49) (3020 ft)
    EW2055 Prairie C (96/47) (3547 ft)
    DW9636 La Pine (95/46) (4236 ft)
    CRANE PRAIRIE (91/42) (5500 ft)

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.92″ at LYNHART RANCH(4092ft)
    0.36″ at POWELL BUTTE(3199ft)

  15. High Desert Mat says:

    Radar shows a severe thunderstorm just east of bend. Hope rain is coming with that one and not just virga. Looks like alot of lightning.

  16. WEATHERDAN says:

    Dp’s around 60 with temps near 90 at 1:00 PM.Seems like a recipe for TRW’S. Moisture moving up from Southeast. Regardless it should be a +65 degree night tonight. Peace.

  17. Garron near Washington Square says:

    Salem is 87 +2 from this time yesterday, PDX is 82 + 3 degrees, Hillsboro is +4 at 86, Eugene is minus 1 degree from yesterday @ 86. I think mid nineties are a lock for all but the PDX location today. Portland airport might eek out a 90. Yesterday, Hio hit 90, Eug hit 94, Sle 93, Pdx 85. Might be time to move our “Portland” reading out of the sticks, and away from the river back to Downtown.

  18. High Desert Mat says:

    92 at the 1 o’clock hour already. T-storms moving up from south. Could be some good ones today

    • Garron near Washington Square says:

      If u get some goodies, please take pics!!! We’re not gonna get anything north and west of Mt Jefferson.

    • High Desert Mat says:

      Will do Garron. Just east of La Pine now. Moving NNW. We have a red flag warning out now til 11pm for abundant lightning which will cause fires I’m sure but hopefully they get them out fast. At any rate though, I hope for some good boomers and some rain with them.

  19. schmit44 says:

    7/7/2014 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:103 at DW5789 Eagle Poi(1463 ft) & EW3335 Jacksonvi(1390 ft) & Medford Viaduct(1360 ft) & ILLINOIS VALLEY(1389 ft) & Celilo, East of(225 ft)
    Low: 74 at Ontario Municipa(2188 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:59 at NERRS METEOROLOG(9 ft) & Newport(30 ft) & YACHTS Yachats(82 ft)
    Low: 37 at KIRK (4519 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 53 degrees
    KIRK (90/37 ) (4519 ft )

  20. Muxpux (Castle Rock 175') says:

    I can deal with the heat, but this humidity is killing me, I work outside, it’s supposed to be a dry heat dang it!!!

  21. High Desert Mat says:

    Not looking forward to the next two weeks over here. Current forecasts are calling for mid upper 90’s throughout. Grrr

  22. Martin says:

    Good rest 🙂

  23. WEATHERDAN says:

    The death ridge cometh. Massive heat wave much of the next two weeks. Not always in the 90,s but a lot of the time it will be. With lows staying above 60 most of the time, High dp’s too, Great time to be in Oregon, Peace.

    • Boydo3 N. Albany says:

      Already have tomatoes, peppers, zuchini, onions, cukes, beets, yada, yada, yada. Gonna be an epic garden for us this year!

    • Karl Bonner says:

      You already have veggies FORMING Boydo? I’ve never heard of ripe tomatoes west of the Cascades on July 7!

    • Boydo3 N. Albany says:

      I start peppers and tomatoes under covers. The only way to go. Bragging rights you know 🙂

    • Boydo3 N. Albany says:

      We found one variety called Bloody Butcher. Really fast (weird name). But we are about to get a couple Early Girls too.

    • Garron near Washington Square says:

      I’ll have some ripe super beefsteak, romas’, and possible a Cherokee purple by this weekend! Amazingly awesome tomato plants this year. The last month or so they have tripled in height and they look like one giant tomato tree/bush. 10 plants in all, all over 6′ tall, just loving the sun and warm nights!

  24. David B. says:

    “So no posts, but you aren’t missing much anyway.”

    Until the unexpected (officially… for now…) severe thunderstorms pop up! (Or will it hit 106 degrees in Portland?)

    OK, interesting things don’t always happen when Mark is gone, but it sure seems they often do.

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      Right, David. Now that Mark is not posting, we should be able to round up some Strays!

      MODELS HAVE WEAKENED THE SHORT WAVE THAT WAS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO OREGON FROM THE WEST TUESDAY…AND ARE NOW JUST SHOWING A
      VORT MAX. THE OTHER UPPER TROUGH IS FARTHER NORTH AS WELL…AND WHY THERE IS MORE OF A CAP. ALL OF THE INGREDIENTS FOR THUNDERSTORMS ARE
      THERE…BUT AM NOT SURE THEY ARE GOING TO LINE UP TO GENERATE THUNDERSTORMS FOR THE VALLEY.

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      I thought the same thing when I saw the very warm (and potentially moist) southerly flow this coming weekend. Looks like a very warm July on tap

  25. Tyler Mode says:

    I’m not liking the heat! The sun yes, but not the heat.

    67 here already after a low of 59. Hopefully we get some more storms this year.

    • David B. says:

      I would be snide about how much cooler it is up this way with our sea breezes, but I’m going to be doing volunteer botanical survey work near Leavenworth, WA later this week and expect it will be pretty darn toasty on that side of the Cascades then.

    • Dave in South Salem (500') says:

      I only got down to 65 and hit 80 by 11am. Going to be a scorcher!

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