April has been quite dry so far, with less than 1″ rain falling in the past two weeks:
But it looks like that will change tomorrow, and again next week with a few wet weather systems moving through our area. You can see from the chart below that as of mid-April we are about halfway between the wettest and driest time of the year in any average year; April is one of the 6 driest months…typically.
A nice cold front moves through the region Thursday afternoon, giving us a rainy and breezy day. Beyond that the Easter Weekend is looking like a mix of wet and dry, with the rain likely arriving sometime Saturday midday or afternoon and then disappearing around daybreak Easter Morning. Those of you headed to sunrise services outside will PROBABLY stay dry. The rest of the day looks dry as well. If so, it’ll be our 3rd dry Easter. Remember last year?
It was incredible; both days of that weekend were 77 degrees and mostly sunny! No such weather this year, but once again at least it appears dry. Next week looks showery and cool to me; we have cool upper level troughs either sitting over the area or swinging through most of the time. You can see the below average 850mb temps on the 12z ECMWF ensemble chart:
The ensemble average temp drops below average next Monday and stays there for the following week or so. Interesting that a few members try to warm us up with some ridging NEXT weekend, but just a few.
So…get ready for showers and chilly temps next week!
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen