Storm #2 Ends: 11pm Update

Our models have not been doing well, our RPM has been particularly useless, so has the NAM.  That ECMWF is doing quite a bit better so I’m following it again.  That means one more round of snow/ice later tomorrow afternoon and evening.  This time we get a warmer nose of air up around 2,000′ which means many more areas west of the Cascades could get some thick ice accumulation from freezing rain.

THE HIGHLIGHTS:

  • This round of storms is probably the biggest for snow depth in the central/south Willamette Valley since the big 1968-1969 winter.  Many spots from Albany to Eugene have 10, 12, or even 18″ of snow on the ground!
  • Snow has pretty much ended with storm #2, snow showers will continue in the far eastern suburbs and west slopes of the Cascades through the night though
  • Mainly dry Saturday morning through midday
  • Snow and ice pellets/freezing rain arrives mid afternoon and continues through the evening
  • Salem to Eugene will likely be mostly freezing rain…a pretty decent ice storm is on the way for the top of your building snowpack!
  • Freezing rain also seems most likely in the south and southeast parts of the metro area.  Molalla, Canby, Wilsonville, Colton, Estacada are some examples
  • Temperatures will get close to freezing tomorrow, but then fall back to upper 20s or 30 tomorrow night.

MarkSnow_PortlandOutlookPercentages

Sunday will see gradual improvement with temperatures rising into the mid 30s.  Then the big warming comes Sunday night as a gusty southerly wind arrives in the Willamette Valley.  The Columbia River Gorge will remain frozen through Monday morning.

There is one other way this cold weather is historic.  The high temperature yesterday was 23 in Portland.  Sure, that seems really cold right?  But far colder than I thought.  In Portland there has never been a day in February beyond the 5th where the high temperature didn’t at least hit 30 degrees.  We totally blew away that number yesterday…and today.  Basically it’s pretty much unheard of to not make it to right around freezing any day this time of year.  There was ONE day in early March 1960 where the high was 29 degrees, but that’s it.  That was also a situation with heavy snow and gusty east wind.

Time to head home; roads look empty so a good time to go.  Back at it for round #3 tomorrow afternoon.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

108 Responses to Storm #2 Ends: 11pm Update

  1. W7ENK says:

    ICE STORM WARNING
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
    1012 AM PST SAT FEB 8 2014

    http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/14546819

  2. B1900 Pilot says:

    Moderate snow, visibility 1/2 mile in Bethany.

  3. paulbeugene says:

    Moderately heavy freezing rain here in EUG now, 30.3. Not looking good.

  4. MasterNate says:

    32 in Molalla now. just rain, or freezing rain.

  5. Max in Fairview says:

    Starting up here in Fairview. East wind picking up. I think this will be the biggest out of the three rounds.

  6. R.G. Oregon City ~ 365' says:

    Heavy Snow!!! Maybe an understatement as visibility is down to less than 1/4 mile from only the snow coming down vs blowing snow from yesterday and before. Adding up fast!

  7. runrain says:

    We’re getting an INSANELY heavy band of snow here in Happy Valley right now. I don’t see how it could ever possibly snow harder than it’s doing right now. All traces of sleet are gone now too.

  8. Taylor says:

    Beautiful, big, fat snowflakes coming down in Happy Valley. 24.5 degrees and pretty heavy snow. Blowing snow as well.

  9. Steve says:

    How reliable is weatherbug on my desktop compared to what the NWS website is saying when it comes to temperature readings? WB says 29 at my location while NWS says 26.

  10. SE PDX Dave says:

    100th and Holgate, heavy snow, no sign of sleet/zr. And that east wind’s ablowin’!

  11. mom2three says:

    Been watching it snow hard in the last two hours here in Oregon City! WOW! Huge flakes! 22 on my back porch.

  12. geo says:

    Sow picking up here in sw Gresham and the wind is howling!

  13. alohabb says:

    Heavy snow in Aloha…about to be buried today!

  14. GTS1K' says:

    The flakeage has commenced!

  15. Beaverdreams says:

    Really snowing hard now in SW PDX……wow….accumulating fast, no sign of sleet or freezing rain.

  16. Steve says:

    Temp has risen to 28 in Beaverton. Are we confident that it doesn’t get above freezing today? Also the snow has started.

    • Pat-n-GardenHm says:

      East Wind coming out of the Gorge will play big part in keeping metro area from warming up. Plus lots of moisture equals epic
      snow storm. AGAIN…. Congrats to everyone doing their snow
      dance a week ago. It seems to have worked. Big flakes coming down here. 24 degrees. 4 – 5 inches and building. Glorious…
      Wondering when we are going to start wondering about potential flooding after the temperatures start to warm up?
      Hoping for a gradual warming event to elevate flooding potential.
      Mark any thoughts on this?

  17. Eastman(Parkrose/NE Portland) says:

    Snowing hard in milwaukie!
    Moving into portland. Look at the radar! Wow!!!

  18. runrain says:

    Unfortunately, given the lack of any recent windstorms and significant ice events, nature is behind in its pruning. There are going to be alot of falling limbs and trees. Be safe all, even after the thaw starts, because ice will still be falling from trees and wires.

  19. JP says:

    9:25 am just transitioning to snow/sleet mix in Tower Vista area of Oregon City

  20. Dave in South Salem (500') says:

    Changed to sleet in salem

    • Chris s says:

      It is back to mostly all snow over here in west salem. Are you still sleet over there?

    • Dave in South Salem (500') says:

      No, also back to snow. Just a tease of sleet, enough to give us a frozen layer of crust in the snow. Great for sledding.

  21. Sapo says:

    Does anybody have an idea (if we have 4-8″ of snow today) how much the roads will be melted for the Monday commute? Would it be dangerous, or would it be melted?

  22. Eugene Dave says:

    It’s getting ugly in Eugene. Steady freezing rain at the moment. 31 degrees. At least a half inch of ice coating everything. Worst of all, satellite is out 😦

  23. Jason Hougak says:

    I want to post this… these snowflakes area quarter size or larger. How do you post pictures taken from iPhone?

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