ECMWF Weekly Maps

From last night’s ECMWF run out to one month.  Hard to believe it’ll be almost mid February a month from now!  Anyway, some sort of ridging, although weaker, for the next two weeks.  Then some sort of change as we head into the last few days of January.  Either ridging developing much farther offshore or something up to the north…interesting.  Either way strong hints of a possible demise of the west coast ridging…we’ll see:

500za_week1_bg_NA

500za_week2_bg_NA

500za_week3_bg_NA

500za_week4_bg_NA

22 Responses to ECMWF Weekly Maps

  1. chris s says:

    So obviously the gfs is not in agreement with the ridge holding on for 2 weeks. Looks like we could build an ark starting about 10 days from now. Nearly 8 inches of rain in a weeks time! Yikes 🙂

  2. Jason Hougak says:

    Owe ya Nelsen, I’ve been saying February. When have we last had a cold snowy one? Last foot plus snow was when I was in grade school. We are definitely due.

    • Model Rider says:

      ’08?

    • Benjamin (West Salem) says:

      09 and 11 both had February cold snaps with snowfall down low (spotty snowfall in general).

      As far as larger scale overrunning snowstorms, yes, you are totally right. Feb 93 gave us a large snowstorm and Feb 95 had a decent snowstorm as well. We have had a few cold Februaries lately, but it has been almost 19 years (if I am remembering right) since we had a real widespread Feb snowstorm. We are due.

  3. flurball says:

    http://gcaptain.com/nautical-lore-red-sky-morning-warning/

    we have all used or heard some of these

  4. Rob - Southeast Portland says:

    00z WRF no real changes with the system late Friday night – Saturday. Winds pick up around 9-10 PM peaking after 1 AM, then another burst sometime late morning or around noon during the day Saturday. 40-50mph looks like a good forecast. PDX-EUG peaks at a pretty strong 8 to 10mb. PDX-MRF of 13 to 15mb is really quite good too. 12mb is needed for 40-45mph gusts.

  5. BoringOregon says:

    I’m not going to say it but did any one see the Satellite View Oh my!!

  6. JERAT416 says:

    I’ll take some windy action here too! Anything is better than boring foggy days and nights with no snow, rain, wind, or arctic air.

  7. Drew says:

    death to the death ridge!

  8. Rob - Southeast Portland says:

    Hmmm, well the week 3 and 4 maps show improvement into February. but where exactly does the ridge setup offshore, and how amplified is it. Real important factors. BUT we’re clearly running out of time for Winter fun in the low lands.

  9. Rob - Southeast Portland says:

    Mark’s forecast just issued is gusts 40-50mph. Impressive. Let’s see it verify this time ya? 🙂

  10. Drow32686 says:

    Possible late winter snowstorm/arctic blast?

  11. Laura in Corbett says:

    Anything would be better than the ridge…

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