Thursday Evening Update: Snow still on Track

10pm Thursday…

No changes to our forecast this evening…in fact we’ve now reached the point before a “weather event” where there’s nothing left to do except sit back and see what happens.  Here’s a general look a the areas west of the Cascades where we expect to get a dusting (white)

MarkSnow_PolygonsTotalFcst

and 1″ or more

MarkSnow_PolygonsTotalFcst2

All our models still in agreement on the coverage of snow tomorrow and we won’t get anything new between now and arrival of snow.  Main (or all) action is expected on the central Coast and central/southern Willamette Valley.  Here’s our evening RPM model depiction of snow accumulation…sorry about the hole in the metro area; it’s a combination of most of the moisture staying to our south and strong east wind drying out the lower elevations.

RPM_SNOWACCUM

  • Timing is slowed down a little; it may not start in the valley until 8-10am.  We don’t know exactly when and won’t get any new information before that time except by watching the radar during the post-midnight hours. 
  • Coast should be about to start getting some flurries, radar shows that on the north coast.  It should reach the central coast by 5-6am.
  • Portland metro area won’t get much colder tonight (mid-upper 20s), but wind should be gusting pretty good for the morning commute and beyond.  We haven’t had a windy and cold day like what’s coming Friday in quite a few years.  Sudden those “bitter cold” 36 degree calm days will seem mild!

Stay warm!

I will be sleeping later tonight, like regular people, so no posts until around 9am tomorrow.  During that time, I highly suggest you check for updates on Twitter or Facebook from Brian and Andy.  I’m pretty sure Brian will be storming through social media 3-9am.

Facebook page is http://www.facebook.com/fox12weather 

Twitter is http://twitter.com/fox12weather

And my favorite radar site is here for the Portland radar and here for the Ocean Shores radar

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

127 Responses to Thursday Evening Update: Snow still on Track

  1. Bishoy says:

    I remember the good ol’ days…there would have been 100’s of comments at this point!

  2. Andrew (Beaverton, OR) says:

    Ground turning white in beaverton near murrary and 26. Moderate snow coming down.

  3. AlohaWeather says:

    Roads in Aloha are getting accumulation. Light/moderate snow.

  4. Seahawks Fan - NE Vancouver says:

    Everything is white Jeff Raetz!!!! We got snow!

  5. Powder Yeti says:

    Here in Washougal It’s 26 without the windchill Very windy and Snowy! Looks like a Blizzard!

  6. Ryan says:

    The radar appears to be useless, the air is just too dry, can’t reach the ground.

  7. Sapo says:

    Dusting on the porch and still snowing in Tigard…

  8. JJ78259 says:

    45 lightning strikes in and around Dallas THUNDER SNOW! Not enough strength in the Arctic blast to get us in San Antonio 37 and dry out.

  9. alohabb says:

    Once that east wind kicks in, it should prevent any real amounts of snow to gather in the PDX metro area.

  10. Sarah (E. Gresham) says:

    Snowing lightly in Gresham

  11. alohabb says:

    oh boy..this is going to be an ugly commute! I have to drive from the westside to take my son to school then go to Vancouver all day.

  12. Brad says:

    Someone should wake Erik up and till him Gandolf’s staff is busted. 🙂

  13. AlohaWeather says:

    http://www.tripcheck.com/popups/Cam.asp?curRegion=1&camera=1912

    A view from the west at what the metro area is about to get.

  14. dale says:

    It started two snow out in Dayton around 5:30 nothing on the ground yet. Have a good day every one

  15. Decent snow in Battle Ground. Temp 24.7 and falling. Peak wind of just 17 up here.

  16. Kenny says:

    BUSTED forecast by all the Mets in town wow. PDX about to get pounded, radar filling up and the biggest precip wasn’t suppose to happen until just before Noon!

  17. Brad says:

    Ha ha! I don’t mean to start anything, but yeah, that L is definitely north and east of forecast. Looks like an inch or two for the Metro area. Hey NWS, time to update those snow advisories. Oh and….Bust! And what a glorious bust it is.

  18. Taylor says:

    So are things happening a bit differently than expected? Looks like everyone will get a shot today. But radar showed snow over me and nothing is falling from the sky. I live in Clackamas.

  19. snodaze says:

    lt. snow Gresham / TTD area now. — Hoping for a deformation band of some sorts this morning as it sinks south.

  20. Doppler Dave (NE Portland) says:

    Currently snowing here in NE PDX. Breezy east winds, snow swirling around in the street, and a light dusting is underway. Current temp has dropped a degree in the last 10 minutes to 24.8, and dewpoint has risen to 18, so despite the dry East winds, the lower levels of the atmosphere are moistening, which is a good sign if you want snow locally today.

  21. Roman~Snow-Zone-Monmouth, Elv. 223' says:

    Finally snowing down in these parts, very fluffy and dry snow I must say.

  22. Andrew (Beaverton, OR) says:

    Radar filling in around PDX now, south west Vancouver is snow covered.

    http://www.wsdot.com/traffic/vancouver/default.aspx?cam=1265

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