Early November Storm: Aimed at Washington

November 1, 2013

Quite a surface low pressure area forecast to deepen rapidly the next 12 hours!  Models are slightly stronger with the low this evening, sending it to about Bellingham by late tomorrow morning.  What’s different about this one is that it’s deepening quickly while moving onshore.  That should produce a huge rush of wind behind it.  Check out our RPM, which is a bit farther south with the low:

RPM_12KM_Wind_NWOR_Strong

You can see the Washington and extreme northern Oregon coast really getting nailed by the strong west-southwest wind after 6am or so.  Then take a look at the 00z WRF-GFS over western Washington.  Note the forecast of 70 mph gusts around Whidbey Island!

ww_wgsfc.18.0000

Strong south wind up through Puget Sound too.

Here in Oregon we’ll be a little too far from the center of the low to get damaging wind.  I expect gusts to 60 mph along the Coast and 30-40 mph here in the Willamette Valley.  Still, the strongest wind we’ve seen since in about a month.

MarkWarnings_Wind_Coast_Valleys

Beyond that, it’s on to Cascade snow and showers in the valleys the rest of the weekend.  Still thinking 10-15″ in the higher elevations and 6-10″ in the passes themselves.

Long range models are all over the place, but the general theme is colder than normal and still wet at times.

Enjoy the weekend!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen