ECMWF Monthly Run Maps

The usual…last night’s run of the ECMWF out to one month.  One map for each week.  The common thread is the upper level heights remaining well above normal out in the Pacific around 160W.  That’s often a good location for us to get colder than normal weather.

500za_week1_bg_NA

500za_week2_bg_NA

500za_week3_bg_NA

500za_week4_bg_NA

6 Responses to ECMWF Monthly Run Maps

  1. Ben T says:

    I’m in!

  2. Greg Carstens says:

    Mark

    I love it when the high stays offshore and keeps us on the cooler side over the later Fall and then throughout winter.

    Today I noticed once again that the analogs are showing November of 1978. That looks like it was a very good season at least early on like I thought last year would be, The question is though, are we basically headed for the same sort of pattern that we had last year when we ended up with a dry later winter? I surely hope not. Anything goes though during neutral ENSO.

    If the pattern does end up being sort of the same then I wonder if that will bring on a decent amount of rain for the early Spring once again in 2014 like we had here in Tacoma at least in 2013. Some can’t stand that but I like it because it helps my tree farming up this way.

    Long live the offshore ridge…so long as it stays well offshore.

  3. Kenny says:

    The 18z GFS shows decent to strong winds on the Central OR coast for next week as a system stalls out of the coast. 10m winds max out at SSE 38mph and 850mb winds of S 60mph. It will be interesting to this how this system evolves and if it just stalls out there off the coast.

    http://wxweb.meteost…shtml?text=KONP

  4. oldwxwatcher says:

    Bring it on!

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