Dialing Back The Weather Hype A Bit

September 27, 2013

5pm Friday…

I think the hype and media coverage of our unusually early fall wind/rain storms this weekend is a bit out of control, not here at FOX12, but elsewhere.  Folks it’s getting weird out there in media land!  That’s because I’m hearing of some event cancellations this afternoon.  I’ve heard it includes Sunday Parkways, the Oregon Beach Cleanup, and even a Sunday farmer’s market!  So much for unstoppable…

Here’s the latest on the stormy weather, maybe it’s best to tell you  this first…

WHAT WE DO NOT EXPECT THIS WEEKEND

  • Flooding rivers
  • A “big windstorm”, and probably just barely a “windstorm”  in the western valleys, including Portland
  • Peak wind gusts over 50 mph in the valleys
  • Widespread power outages
  • Widespread wind damage at the coast

WHAT I DO EXPECT THIS WEEKEND

  • Lots of rain!  2-3″ here in the valleys, 6-10″ in the wettest mountain locations
  • Spotty local flooding (small creeks or streets/low spots), most likely just late Saturday afternoon or evening with the heaviest rain at that time
  • Strong wind at two different times…Saturday afternoon/evening and again Sunday afternoon/evening.
  • Peak gusts at either time 55-70 mph at the Coast and 40-45 mph here in the valleys.
  • A few trees/limbs down here and there, along with scattered power outages in the metro area, a bit more of both compared to last weekend

The reason this is all such a big deal, and worthy of extra news coverage, is that it’s quite “out of season”.  Typically we would see a few storms like this starting in November, but I’ve never see this action at the end of September.  Very strange and worthy of a little news/weather hype?  Yes.  But not worthy of you getting worked up about Stormaggedon ’13.

Otherwise enjoy the rain and wind from inside the next couple of days…time to catch up on reading and Netflix!

Here is the rainfall forecast for the next 3 days…

RPM_12KM_Precip_NWOR

And the wind forecast from our RPM model, showing a surface area of low pressure making landfall on Vancouver Island Sunday afternoon…it appears wind here and at the Coast will be stronger with this 2nd system.  Over the past 18 hours models have been sending the low a bit farther north and deepening it a bit more.  This will probably keep us from getting a “big windstorm” here in the valleys.  Still, so impressive for late September!

RPM_12KM_Wind_NWOR_Strong_5pSat

RPM_12KM_Wind_NWOR_Strong_6pSun

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen