3:45pm Wednesday…
The chance for widespread thunderstorms west of the Cascades continues to be low, but any of us near the Cascades COULD see some action the next few hours.
Right now thunderstorms are firing up along the crest of the Cascades and moving NNE:
Last night I really downplayed the chances for action down here in the lowlands, especially since models have consistently failed to forecast any significant thunderstorm activity west of the Cascades. Our 18z RPM forecast for 5pm shows the current cluster of Cascade storms dying down as they head north into the southern Washington Cascades this evening:
Here’s the cloud cover forecast from the 12z WRF-GFS:
Keep a close eye on the radar the next few hours, but as of now it looks real quiet…Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen
FOX 12 Weather Blog 
Wow, amazing temperature change. It’s only 60 out now got some rain last night made the road wet tell mid afternoon. Amazing what a little thunder action can do.
The NWS now says that Salem had no rain in July. They had said that we had .o1. I talked to the folks there last weekend at the AMS summer picnic and explained to them that the day Salem was supposed to have had this rain the NWS reported we were having clear skies all day. After further review the NWS must have decided we didn’t have the rain after all. Cloudy skies and 64 degrees and cloudy in Salem at noon.
July 2013 in Battle Ground
Highest High: 92.3, 16th
Lowest Low: 43.4, 12th
Highest Wind: WNW 20, 26th
Most Precip: Trace, 3 Dates
Total Precip: Trace
Avg High: 81.7
Avg Low: 50.6
Mean: 66.2
My average low for July was cooler than June.
7/31/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary
Warmest:
High:98 at ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft) & Rye Valley(I-84(2230 ft)
Low: 72 at John Day River B(305 ft) & RUFUS(185 ft)
Coldest:
High:56 at CHARLOTTE RIDGE(1220 ft) & YACHTS Yachats(82 ft) & MEARES Cape Mear(1421 ft) & FLYNN PRAIRIE(1543 ft)
Low: 39 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft )
Largest Diurnal Change: 45 degrees
NELSON (96/51 ) (2567 ft )
Heaviest Rainfall:
0.40″ at NEW CRESCENT LAK(4800ft)
0.32″ at BEND WATERSHED(5330ft)
0.21″ at BLACK ROCK(4891ft)
Had some sprinkles this evening and heard some distant thunder. Pretty pleasant day with a high of 71.
Looks like another weather bust 😦 .
Can see the upper low spinning about on Water Vapor sat.
Could get lucky, as long as it’s performing this activity.
Do you feel lucky, punk?
http://sat.wrh.noaa.gov/satellite/alternative.php?wfo=pqr&area=nw&type=wv&size=4
‘poose, I know you love your donkeys — I’ve been pullin’ for you! But, that don’t seem to make no nevermind. I knew you’d show up when the “threat” of thunderstorms came around. Still hoping for some fun stuff — fingers crossed … 🙂
Them there donkeys’ll wander back into the neighborhood, Lurkyloo!
We must be relentlessly on watch.
we’ll see if any of those little guys hold together until they get here…doesn’t look all that promising…
This will bear watching.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
715 PM PDT WED JUL 31 2013
.MESOSCALE UPDATE…BEST CO-LOCATION OF INSTABILITY AND SHEAR IS RIGHT ALONG THE LANE COUNTY CASCADE CREST AND THEN SOUTH INTO
KLAMATH AND LAKE COUNTIES. DIME SIZED HAIL WAS REPORTED IN CHEMULT…EAST OF THE MAIN CORE OF AN EARLIER STORM. SPC MESOSCALE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT THERE IS A SMALL CORRIDOR IN FAR EASTERN LANE COUNTY WHERE STRONGER STORMS MAY SNEAK BACK INTO THIS EVENING…WHICH INCLUDES HIGHWAY 58 NEAR WILLAMETTE PASS. ADDITIONALLY…THE RAP MODEL HANGS ONTO DECENT INSTABILITY IN THE LANE COUNTY AND NORTH OREGON CASCADES/EASTERN FOOTHILLS AT LEAST THROUGH MIDNIGHT IF NOT LONGER… COUPLED WITH A SERIES OF
SHORTWAVES ROTATING AROUND THE UPPER LOW. WE ARE SEEING NEW DEVELOPMENT IN THIS AREA INITIATING ON THE WEST SIDE OF THE CREST THIS EVENING.
MEANWHILE…WE ARE STARTING TO SEE SOME ECHOES ON RADAR MOVING NORTH THROUGH THE CENTRAL VALLEY AND FOOTHILLS. THESE CELLS ARE FIGHTING A STOUT CAP AND ARE LOWER TOPPED..BUT ARE SHOWING SIGNS OF BREAKING THE CAP ENOUGH TO PRODUCE THUNDER…AS IS OCCURRING NEAR MILL CITY AND SILVER FALLS STATE PARK. EXPANDED THE
SHOWER WORDING THIS EVENING TO INCLUDE THE CENTRAL VALLEY INTO THE EASTERN PORTION OF THE NORTH VALLEY…AND KEPT THE THUNDER WORDING
IN THE FOOTHILLS FOR NOW GIVEN THE STRONGER CAP IN THE VALLEY…THOUGH THIS WILL BEAR WATCHING. KMD
Looks like one tiny but intense cell right near Woodburn, headed towards Wilsonville.
What is it looking like SE of PDX? Would not be surprised if there was late evening thunderstorm over I-205 area.
Can just see the front edge of some clouds to the south here in Happy Valley, Paul. Watching closely, though there could be some marine intrusion coming in as well that might kill it.
Marine air, evidenced by low clouds, is really making a push now.
At least I think it’s marine air. The clouds are not that low, but they’re coming from the west. They do look somewhat threatening. This could be really interesting.
Wow looking amazing behind my house !!
Here they come!
http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radblast.asp?zoommode=zoom&num=10&delay=50&rbscale=0.45&scale=1.000&noclutter=1&ID=RTX&type=N0R&lat=0&lon=0&label=you&showstorms=99&map.x=453.5&map.y=290.5¢erx=400¢ery=240&lightning=1&smooth=1&showlabels=1&rainsnow=1
They’re firing off!
If thunder roars, head outdoors and get pics, or it didn’t happen!
I am hoping for a two for one special…another decent cell moving N toward Central OR, I suspect that as sun goes down it may weaken but maybe not.
That one would be worth photographing.
Sounds like east Seattle metro got some lightning as well today.
Looks like small cell heading N toward cascade foothills SW of Mt Hood.
Some showers have popped up just on the east side of I5 down by Salem, moving north. Wonder if they’ll hold together.
even though there is nothing on radar…..wonder if that little band of popcorn down south oriented nw–se might do something after while…
Tyler and I are heading East to chase. Will be in The Dalles in 30 mins or so. Looks like it may be all for nothing….
Wow, that was fast. Thanks, mark I hope the winds do not blow them off to the east !!
Safe to say I thank where not going to get any thing !
Had quite a few close CG strikes at Black Butte Ranch. Probably .25in rain. No hail. No strong winds. Saw flames erupt within minutes of a lightning strike on Black Crater.
Still ongoing…
Purple showing up on the radar on that storm just north of Santiam Pass.
Looks fun!