Quick Weekend Post

I’ve been extremely busy the past 36 hours.  Worked late Wednesday night, in bed at 1am, up at 6:30am.  Field trip with my son’s entire school (270 kids!) over to Wildhorse Canyon (the old Big Muddy/Rajneeshpuram ranch).  Volunteered, worked in kitchen for 5 hours, slept 4-5 hours in the same bunk room as 8 boys, drove 3 hours back this morning, now back at work…I’m toast.  So it’ll be a brief post.

In general the cool and wet weather continues for at least the next week.  It won’t be quite as chilly the next few days since the cold upper level low is departing this evening.  In fact snow levels will be above 6,000′ the next few days.  But still cooler than average.

There are hints on the ECMWF and GFS that some sort of warmer pattern may appear about 8-9 days from now (around next weekend).  If you follow the AVERAGE (red) line on the latest two ensemble charts it’s pretty obvious.  The 18z GFS was an outlier with its chilly solution beyond Day 9:

tseries_850t_000-384_Portland

 

tseries_850t_000-360_Portland

So maybe this is just a 3 week cool/wet period to be followed by a nice June…who knows.

My advice for the weekend?  BBQ, and then curl up in front of the fireplace and watch some Netflix.  I plan to sleep in…

 

On a side note, and since I’m a big fan of history…

I thought it was really neat to stand in the same ENORMOUS building where all those crazy folks and the Bhagwan had their huge meetings, and sleep in the same “hotel rooms” that were used back then.  The events that took place in that location and elsewhere across Oregon during those 5 years combined to make the biggest news story in our area in the past 50 years.  Anyone over 40 that lived in Oregon in the 80s knows what I’m talking about.  I doubt those people expected that 30 years later it would be full of screaming kids, sport courts, climbing walls, and a huge skatepark!

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

39 Responses to Quick Weekend Post

  1. Very heavy rain in NE Vancouver….Lots of street/yard flooding…

    Thunder being heard….

  2. wwm says:

    yes that was her name…Sheela. Great trivia question, and the song “shut up sheela” thats what I was trying to remember, too funny! if somebody finds that song post a link will ya? it is well worth a few laughs.

  3. schmit44 says:

    5/26/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:74 at HEPP( 311 ft) & ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft) & ECHO(683 ft)
    Low: 56 at John Day River B(305 ft) & UMATILLA RIVER B(587 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:39 at Timberline Lodge(6001 ft)
    Low: 28 at ANTELOPE (6460 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 27 degrees
    COLGATE (61/34 ) (3231 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.87″ at TROUT CREEK(2320ft)
    0.80″ at NORTH FORK(3120ft)

  4. pappoose in scappoose says:

    Certainly agree that any snow will be confined to the higher elevations, with snow levels like this!

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
    836 PM PDT SUN MAY 26 2013

    ATTENTION THEN TURNS TO THE MUCH STRONGER PACIFIC FRONTAL SYSTEM THAT WILL REACH THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND MOVE THROUGH SOUTHWEST
    WASHINGTON AND NORTHWEST OREGON ON MEMORIAL DAY MONDAY. TWO INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES ARE FEEDING THIS OCCLUDED FRONTAL BAND TRANSPORTED BY A 125 KT 300 MB JET…WITH AROUND 1.25 PWS FORECAST NEAR THE COAST AS THE FRONT MOVES IN. THIS WILL LEAD TO FAIRLY HEAVY RAINFALL AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH MONDAY. EXPECT 1 TO 1.5 INCHES OF RAIN AT THE COAST AND IN THE MOUNTAINS WITH A HALF INCH OR A BIT MORE IN THE VALLEYS. HAVE BEEFED UP THE QPF A BIT MORE FOR THIS. THE
    PROGRESSIVE NATURE OF THE FRONT WILL LIMIT THE RISK OF ANY FLOODING UNLESS IT IS LOCALIZED PONDING OF WATER IN POOR DRAINAGE AREAS. SNOW LEVELS WILL BE RATHER HIGH…UP AROUND 70000 FEET OR SO…SO ANY SNOW WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

    WILL ALSO SEE NEAR GALE FORCE WINDS OFF THE COAST ON MONDAY…WITH SOME GUSTS TO AROUND 35 MPH OR SO NEAR HEADLANDS AND BEACHES. INLAND VALLEYS WILL LIKELY SEE SOME BREEZY GUSTS TO 25 MPH. THE SURFACE GRADIENT WILL BEA RATHER EASTERLY IN THE MORNING…WITH THE STRONGEST WINDS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON AS THE FRONT MOVES INLAND AND THE
    GRADIENT TURNS MORE SOUTHERLY OR SOUTHWESTERLY.

  5. Another classic NWS typo….that’s one high freezing level!!
    SNOW
    LEVELS WILL BE RATHER HIGH…UP AROUND 70000 FEET OR SO…SO ANY SNOW
    WILL BE CONFINED TO THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

  6. W7ENK says:

    I won’t go into details about the terrible things that used to happen out at that compound. Let’s just say, it’s not the first time there were screaming children there… it’s a bit chilling that the place was turned into a youth camp. They should’ve just nuked it, erased it from the face of the Earth entirely! 😦

  7. *BoringOregon* says:

    Well at least next weekend is looking better !

  8. Longview - 400 ft says:

    My favorite memory of the great Bhagwan was the photo of him arrested and in his new uniform, unfortunately, he was not smiling.
    The look on his face was priceless knowing the gig was up.

  9. This is a cool feature at http://www.spaceweather.com/
    Showing a satellite view of noctilucent clouds. Ultra high altitude clouds seen long after sunset!
    http://www.spaceweather.com/DAISY_PICS/current_daisy.png?PHPSESSID=jhnbab3s6vbqkofjapikuau3o3

  10. schmit44 says:

    5/25/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:77 at Rye Valley(I-84(2230 ft)
    Low: 54 at Rye Valley(I-84(2230 ft) & EW1140 Umatilla(364 ft) & Highway 42 at Co(448 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:40 at Timberline Lodge(6001 ft)
    Low: 20 at Horse Ridge (US (4160 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 42 degrees
    CW8876 Williams (74/32 ) (1640 ft )
    PROVOLT SEED ORC (74/32) (1180 ft)
    CABIN LAKE (65/23) (4560 ft)
    Horse Ridge (US (62/20) (4160 ft)

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    0.33″ at North Bend Munic(16ft)

  11. JJ97222 says:

    Sheila loved salad bars also! I remember it all so well it was actually unbelievable that the whole cult or whatever you want call it just expanded so quickly without anything holding them back. Bhagwan had a great gig going for awhile, hitting on the blue beaded women, he was always smiling.

  12. I could write a short story on the Rashneeshies. I had the luck to be remodeling an old house in Antelope when they were just taking over. Renaming streets, running the cafe, “Zorba the Budda” and the guru himself doing a daily drive by. A news reporter from Portland was doing a spot on them and asked my brother if he would hold the camera while he did his thing as the Rashneesh was driving thru in his Rolls Royce. That was classic!

  13. Annoyed says:

    Installed a new webcam at the shop today so anyone at I-5 and the Willamette in Wilsonville that’s wants to see current conditions can see it here: http://www.rivercityboatsales.com/Page.aspx/pageId/154761/Webcam.aspx

  14. Garron near Washington Square says:

    Wow, Oregon’s last give me all your money, I’ll give you free love commune. Yes, I remember fondly doing my current event paper in 8th grade on them. Of course, so did EVERYONE else! I’m sure the teacher didn’t even read mine by the time she got to it, I could have handed her the ingredients for sugar, and I still would’ve gotten a B.

    I am pleasantly surprised how nice it is today, I really am shocked. I hope that this front comes in over night, and we get another nice break Sun/Monday morning for all those braving the camping trips.

  15. PaulO says:

    Way back then I worked at Golden West Homes in Albany. They sold the Rashneeshees a bunch of custom homes. When the deal was done they were so pleased they sent 2 busses and took both plants to the ranch to celebrate. Met Sheela and others, toured the place, saw the Bhagwan fly over in his helicopter that had guys with automatic rifles hanging out the doors. Crazy place!

  16. Did you get a red bathrobe and diaper? 😉

  17. runrain says:

    A flood emergency has just been declared for the San Antonio area. Where’s our San Antonio guy this morning?

    • JJ97222 says:

      The drought is letting up we need the rain. Hope we can go from stage 2 to be able water my yard more often. Talked to my freind just a few minutes ago this is great we have not a May like this for 4 years. We really need some rain to recharge the Edwards Aquifer that supplies water to the region. I live in the hill country no worries for flooding. This is their wettest month on average. 90 and sunny tomorrow and the rest of week. I will keep us updated. Flash floods are common there you should see the specialy culverts to catch the heavy rain in the flatter lands.

    • runrain says:

      Riverwalk is well controlled for flooding but wonder if it’s being affected. I know there are several relief valve gates along it.

    • JJ97222 says:

      I am not sure but the rainfall broke 1937 record so it is a big one. This is storm training of cells of thunderstorms moving right over the city. It’s going to be steamy tomorrow down there!

    • JJ97222 says:

      The Edwards Aquifer has already risen 4 feet and they expect it to go to close to 7 feet with today’s rain still 9 below average due to the drought so more rain is needed

  18. schmit44 says:

    5/24/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:72 at ALKALI FLAT(2495 ft)
    Low: 50 at W7OBH Canby(164 ft) & KB7QWZ Garibaldi(10 ft) & OCNSID Oceanside(22 ft) & PACCTY-2 Pacific(28 ft) & K7JDK Portland(396 ft) & Tillamook Airpor(36 ft) & CW8449 Charlesto(322 ft) & Florence Municip(52 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:34 at HOWARD Mt Howard(8150 ft)
    Low: 25 at BALTZOR RANCH NE (4620 ft ) & Timberline Lodge (7001 ft ) & Rim (7050 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 41 degrees
    BALTZOR RANCH NE (66/25 ) (4620 ft )
    Timberline Lodge (45/25) (7001 ft)
    Rim (37/25) (7050 ft)

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    1.20″ at NORTH FORK(3120ft)
    0.86″ at CEDAR(2220ft)
    0.86″ at HEBOWX Mt. Hebo(3160ft)
    0.83″ at LOG CREEK(2800ft)

  19. WWM says:

    hahahaha fun times, My wife and little girl saw you at the post office today, she mentioned you looked really tired, now we know why lol.

    I remember that whole bizare scene in Antelope pretty well as I was just going into high school, I remember thinking even back then how weird those folks were, It was a little odd that he had what…over 60 fancy cars, I think they were even Mercedes too, didn’t his followers find it strange they were giving everything they had for his cars?! weird.

    He also had that weird spokeswoman that all the local radio stations used to make fun of, can’t think of her name, but it would make a great contest….anybody remember?

    • Sifton says:

      Sheela I believe, real nut jobs………

    • runrain says:

      They bought their leader a Rolls Royce every year for his birthday. He had around 20 of them or so. Smart people too – doctors, lawyers, actors. Wonder why they called it Big Muddy when they get very little rain.

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      He had 95! They were working towards 365.

    • LongtimeLurker says:

      Remember the parady song “Shut up, Sheela?” I had to go look it up and found it on YouTube. Brings back memories. 🙂

  20. *BoringOregon* says:

    Sounds good to me. I’m on some, Vicodin from the two metal rods I had put in my front teeth. That stuff will make you sleep great !!

  21. schmit44 says:

    The climate is perfect in Antelope, Oregon IMO

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Cheap property too! Plus an occasional thunderstorm in the summer. The minor detail that gets in the way though is a job within 60 miles.

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