Arctic nearly free of summer sea ice during first half of this century?


An interesting piece from NOAA detailing a few possibilities related to future summertime ice in the Arctic Ocean.  Obviously it has nothing to do with our current weather, but some good reading.

Arctic nearly free of summer sea ice during first half of 21st century.

18 Responses to Arctic nearly free of summer sea ice during first half of this century?

  1. What a Wacky Day up here in the P.S.C.Z. We had Snow Hail Thunder Lighting Heavy down pours today Now the Zone setting up for another round currently. Spring in the P.N.W More exciting than Winter.

  2. Was watching a Nat. Geo show last nite about the Wooly Mammoth. They talked about the rapid cooling and warming of the climate during and after the last ice age. But, how could it do that without us people causing everything?

  3. JJ97222 says:

    Brrrrr cold out rhere today. I am glad I did not set my moving sale for this weekend I am crossing my fingers for next weekend we shall see.

    • *BoringOregon* says:

      Wow that’s what I was just thanking, it’s cold out there but I’m sure not as cold as the picture of all that ice brrrr. Nothing is boring hahaha. Hope we hit 70 next week!

  4. JERAT416 says:

    Things must be getting boring to need to talk CC and GW like I’m sure this will turn in to…..

    • ocpaul says:

      Yeah, color me ‘skeptical’ Great post on Watts Up With That.
      ‘Experts’ in the 70’s were certain we were headed for the next ice age. But…that didn’t happen. Oddly enough, I don’t believe 37 year weather forecasts. Welcome to the new ‘Pigeon League’.

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      That’s a common myth that’s regularly repeated, including on the Watts site. Sure, the media was hyping up a return to the Ice Age, but not many scientists/experts. 49 studies/papers from 1965 to 1979 and only 7 were going for cooling. Looks like the majority were already talking about warming or at least neutral conditions.

    • ocpaul says:

      Mark, this statement, contained in the link you listed, is the most accurate and honest assessment of this topic.

      In the 1970s, the most comprehensive study on climate change (and the closest thing to a scientific consensus at the time) was the 1975 US National Academy of Sciences/National Research Council Report. Their basic conclusion was “…we do not have a good quantitative understanding of our climate machine and what determines its course. Without the fundamental understanding, it does not seem possible to predict climate…”

      I think the media and money drive the current AGW discussions.
      And in the end, if it happens as they predict, we’ll adapt and survive. And the result will never match the hype.

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      I’ll agree with those last two sentences for sure! We’ll have to adapt to whatever does, or doesn’t occur.

  5. Sifton says:

    Is the 7day your forecast Mark or your counterparts?? Just curious…..

  6. W7ENK says:

    Wouldn’t be the first time, likely won’t be that last.

  7. gidrons says:

    Mark, are you trying to liven up the blog?

    Until they can the next winter right, I’ll pay no attention to their 30 year forecasts.

  8. Danny in Troutdale says:


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