Strong Wind Early Sunday Morning?

Models are in some decent agreement that some sort of surface low will track right into the Pacific Northwest late Saturday night and early Sunday morning.  Over the past 24 hours it has ranged from a weak low to our south all the way up to a strong low still deepening as it moves inland around Astoria.  Here are a few maps from this morning:

The 12z NAM has the low weakening a bit as it moves right over us or to our south, not a windy setup.

sfc_pcp_f048_bg_nw

The 12z ECMWF also has the low going right over us or just a little to the south, nothing to see here folks, move on to another model if you want wind:

ecmwf_apcp_f48_nw

Our RPM shows the low farther north and a little “baggy-looking”.

wrf

The 12z WRF-GFS is strongest with a low deepening as it passes by just to our north. That’s 14 millibars from Kelso to Eugene, very windy any time of the year, and definitely so in April!

slp_51_0000

The 12z GEM, not pictured, has the low deepening offshore, but then weakening as it moves inland.

So it MAY get real windy late Saturday night or early Sunday morning if the low ends up going by to our north…something to keep an eye on.

I’ll check in again after the 00z models come out this afternoon.

23 Responses to Strong Wind Early Sunday Morning?

  1. W7ENK says:

    00z GFS takes Sunday’s windstorm idea off the table… Bye bye!!

    BUST!!! 😆

  2. Some interesting clouds here in Hillsboro tonight, if only they were rotating,,,

    Odd looking cell over Hillsboro twitter.com/czarquon/statu…— kent estep (@czarquon) April 6, 2013

  3. Marcus says:

    It is pouring here in LC!!!

  4. Aleta-West Gresham says:

    Best guess for snow in the passes this weekend? I need to see if I should get chains…

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Marginal…forget the chains. Each morning might be briefly covered but the freezing level is only going to be down TO the passes, not below.

    • Aleta-West Gresham says:

      Awesome! Thanks! I’m coming up 97 and will hit the pass around 5. Chemult looked a little iffy at this point but looking at the towns around I think it’ll be okay

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Afternoon (3-6) should be best too with the April sun angle.

  5. W7ENK says:

    Here it comes! The Rodney says so…

  6. *BoringOregon* says:

    Hope it does not get to windy out,f don’t want to kill off all the cherry Blossoms on the cherry tree. Such a amazing yr so far for the blossoms!

    • W7ENK says:

      Oooh, good point! My cherry blossoms were all torn off my trees by a hail shower last spring, beginning of May. Between three trees I had exactly 12 cherries, and the birds got to them all before I could. 😦

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      I have just about given up on cherries after 10-15 years of trying. Late frost, too wet, birds, cracking etc… I’d rather use my limited years on this planet to grow more dependable stuff (berries, apples, pears).

  7. WhiteEagle - Garden Home / SW Portland says:

    So it looks like a scenario where the valley gets a whole lot of rain OR a whole lot of wind. Either will be fun to watch after our non-winter!

  8. Punxsutawney (aka HIOPHIL) at work by Sunset High elev ~280 says:

    Could be a great snow setup with the low approaching from the SW!

    If this was January and there was cold air east of the Cascades and the low tracked just south of us of course.

  9. Marcus says:

    We all know when the models say one thing espesially the gfs the opposite happens I’m with you on this one Eric,”bust”!!!

  10. W7ENK says:

    I’mma call “BUST!” now, just to get it done and over with. 😆

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