Quick Weekend Update

Friday 11pm…

  • Models have backed off on the chance for strong wind Saturday night and Sunday morning.  Only our RPM still shows a decently deep low moving by to our north to produce wind gusts 35+ in the metro area.  So don’t worry about it; just more normal April breezy/windy weather at times over the weekend.
  • Lots of cooler than average weather ahead; no new surprises there.

Check out the 12z ECMWF 850mb ensemble chart:

tseries_850t_000-360_Portland

and the new 00z GFS chart:

tseries_850t_000-384_Portland

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

 

46 Responses to Quick Weekend Update

  1. Hal in Aims says:

    wind and debris hitting the house woke me up at 5:50…….power went out a few minutes later………fire going….generator running……a mess outside…debris everywhere….

  2. Darlene in Boring says:

    The wind woke me up somewhere in the neighborhood of 4:30 (second night in a row) and it sounded like it was peeling the roof and siding off the house. I laid there trying to go back to sleep but could hear the gusts coming and then the eventual hit to the house. After an hour of this, I finally got up. No trees down that I can see but the power has popped once and it is a mess outside. Checked WACCA and there are “lines down” calls scattered around the area. It will be interesting to see what peak gusts were when it settles down. I sure wasn’t expecting this.

  3. Katie Gough says:

    Wind gusting so hard sounded like the roof took a hit. I don’t want to look.

  4. runrain says:

    Power flashes over towards The Dome! NWS also says thunderstorm chances this afternoon as good as it gets!

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      Hahaah! AS GOOD AS IT GETS!

      NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
      305 AM PDT SUN APR 7 2013

      THUNDERSTORMS…NAM BUFR SOUNDINGS SHOW A VERY STRONG DIRECTIONAL SHEAR PROFILE WILL QUICKLY BECOME UNIDIRECTIONAL AS THE MORNING
      PROGRESSES. HOWEVER A SECONDARY TROUGH IS EXPECTED TO MOVE IN LATER THIS AFTERNOON AS THE COLD POOL ALOFT DIPS INTO WESTERN WA AND
      NORTHWEST OREGON. LAPSE RATES LOOK MARGINAL FOR THUNDERSTORMS…BUT IMPROVE AS THE AFTERNOON PROGRESSES. WITH SFC TEMPS IN THE LOW 50S WE SHOULD BE ABLE TO MUSTER ABOUT 400-600 J/KG OF CAPE AND LIFTED INDICES OF -2 TO -3 DEG C…WHICH WITH LITTLE TO NO CAPPING WOULD BE
      PLENTY TO SUGGEST DEEP CONVECTION. SO WE INCREASED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE TO SCATTERED AS THIS SETUP IS ABOUT AS GOOD AS IT GETS IN A POST-FRONTAL ENVIRONMENT. WITH 25-35 KT WESTERLY FLOW AT 850 MB ANY ORGANIZED THUNDERSTORMS MAY MIX DOWN GUSTY WINDS. TERRAIN DRIVEN FLOW MAY PRODUCE A LITTLE DIRECTIONAL SHEAR AS WELL…WHICH COULD LEAD TO
      SOME WEAK ROTATION WITH THE STRONGER CELLS. ANY THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIE DOWN QUICKLY AFTER SUNSET AS SFC TEMPS COOL AND THE AIR MASS
      STABILIZES.

  5. W7ENK says:

    Wind! Noticeable, but nothing alarming. Enough to wake me up, but I’m a light sleeper anyway. Sounds like gusts may be getting stronger though…

    • EY (Oak Grove) says:

      It’s definitely nothing jaw-dropping; but it is a bit of an oddity at this time of year. I know we’ve had some decent April storms, this one is definitely pretty decent for April.

      …That or I’m a bit biased because of the lack of weather excitement during the winter. 😛

      There is a very, very slowly growing number of outages popping up. A tiny amount in between Boring, Sandy and Estacada in Clackamas County and some more just southeast of Silverton… As of 3:45 am.

    • W7ENK says:

      Wow! Just had one gust that screamed through my antenna tower, creaked the whole house and blew rain in my face through the window! Okay Mother Nature, you’ve made your point… 😕

  6. EY (Oak Grove) says:

    Wow, I gotta give this storm props… For an April storm, the winds are going pretty savagely out my window.

    • AdamInAumsville says:

      Agreed! Definitely meeting wind advisory criteria here. Power has flickered a couple of times.

  7. bgb41 says:

    4/6/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:65 at ECHO( 683 ft)
    Low: 52 at Gold Beach(16 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:28 at Mount Hood Meado(6601 ft)
    Low: 24 at ANTELOPE (6460 ft ) & Timberline Lodge (7001 ft ) & Mount Hood Meado (6601 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 24 degrees
    Burns Municipal (59/35 ) (4144 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    2.04″ at DW0237 Lees Camp(699ft)

  8. runrain says:

    Cape Foulweather gusting 75, Mary’s Peak 71. Hmmmm

  9. JJ97222 says:

    I really liked last weekends weather much more than this weekends weather looks like we are stuck indoors again for a while I am really looking forward to drier weather in the near future no more looking out windows in the spring winter or fall, as I get older the term snow bird becomes more relevant I knew we would pay for the nice march in a wet cold way. Just like extended nice weather to october 11th we paid with 6 days of dry weather till the end of the year. It is constant rain till may 10th then the washout till rhe fourth.

  10. Some nice pressure falls the past few hours…Not bad for April…..
    Currently 29.78″ here as of 11…..

  11. Marcus says:

    Any wind storm thoughts tonight mark I’m hearing there may be some high winds???

  12. pappoose in scappoose says:

    “CAN BE RATHER DANGEROUS AT TIMES”

    We’ll need to watch this closely. Hahaah!

    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
    906 PM PDT SAT APR 6 2013

    SHORT TERM…THE DEEPENING LOW OFF THE COAST STILL LOOKS AS THOUGH IT WILL MOVE THROUGH NORTHWEST OREGON TONIGHT AND SUNDAY MORNING AS IT RIDES A BRISK WESTERLY JET STREAM. THE MODELS ARE STILL HAVING TROUBLE WITH WHERE IT WILL MAKE LANDFALL…AND A LACK OF SHIP AND BUOY OBSERVATIONS OFFSHORE IS HAMPERING DIAGNOSIS. THESE WESTERLY
    TRACKING LOWS CAN BE THE MOST DIFFICULT TO MONITOR AND TRACK…AND CAN BE RATHER DANGEROUS AT TIMES.
    THE MODELS ARE CONVERGING ON LANDFALL SOMEWHERE ONE SIDE OR ANOTHER AROUND TILLAMOOK OR GARIBALDI. THE MORE SOUTHERN 18Z NAM12 IS NOW
    MORE LIKE THE GFS AND ECMWF AS OF THE 00Z RUN AND THIS IDEA CONTINUES TO BE FOLLOWED IN THE FORECAST. THE GREATEST PRESSURE FALLS ALONG THE
    COAST ARE CURRENTLY AROUND NEWPORT BUT THE STRONGEST PRESSURE FALLS ARE STILL A COUPLE HOURS AWAY SO THE TILLAMOOK IDEA STILL SEEMS
    REASONABLE. THE LOW THEN TRACKS INLAND NEAR OR JUST NORTH OF THE PORTLAND AND VANCOUVER METRO AREA. IN LIGHT OF THE STRENGTH OF THE GRADIENT TO THE SOUTH OF THE LOW AS THE LOW MOVES THROUGH…AND THE STRENGTH OF THE 850 MB WINDS…HAVE DECIDED TO EXPAND THE HIGH WIND
    WARNING INTO THE NORTH AND CENTRAL OREGON COAST RANGE…AND ALSO ISSUE A WIND ADVISORY FOR THE VALLEY FROM PORTLAND/VANCOUVER SOUTHWARD. WITH THE CURRENT EXPECTED TRACK…THIS SHOULD KEEP MOST OF SOUTHWEST WASHINGTON OUT OF THE STRONGER WINDS.

    • archangelmichael2 says:

      Unfortunately most people except devoted weather geeks are not going to read these advisories/warnings so late at night and will be caught blindsided with a rude awakening.

      Thanks weather models! :-p 😛

  13. W7ENK says:

    Really??? I’ll believe it when I see it…

    WIND ADVISORY
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
    743 PM PDT SAT APR 6 2013

    http://inws.wrh.noaa.gov/weather/alertinfo/9854950

  14. runrain says:

    Stray donkeys possible tomorrow!

  15. *BoringOregon* says:

    Holy Hail !!

  16. JJ97222 says:

    With that totally beautiful weather we had for the last few weeks helped me get my house ready for sale and sold in just 3 days. Now it is on to San Antonio in a few months after the kids get out of school. I sold all my wood for the inspection now I wish would have
    kept some for April dumb but hey in just short time if I want heat I can open window. I hope this cold rainy weather doesn’t stay long, at my new house it is 81,86,88,91,77 for the highs this week sounds nice!!

    • runrain says:

      Don’t forget to take some water with you. Pretty dry down there. Of course, no humidity there either 🙂

    • Lurkyloo says:

      Whew! 91 already and only April? I hope you like it there, JJ! Good luck! Oh yeah, and what Runrain said. Drought is supposed to be worse this year than what it was last year. 😦

    • JJ97222 says:

      Yes it is hot in the summer baking, fall winter and spring are really nice I was there purchasing a home in late January and it was mid seventy to eighty degrees not to tough to take had dinner on the river walk outside something totally different from Portland in January.

  17. W7ENK says:

    😆

    C’mon, you know I’m just playin’!

  18. EY (Oak Grove) says:

    Dear EMCWF:

    I’ve gotten to know you a bit recently and have really learned to respect your opinion and outlook on the weather. I’ve always looked to you in times of darkness and brightness, to have a better idea on what to expect, you’ve always treated me fairly well… If not honestly. I respect that.

    But I hope that you’re wrong right now. Admittedly, cooler than average in April is still better than warmer than average in February, but the difference isn’t exactly monumental. Please refrain from further forecasts like this, if possible.

    I realize I’m asking you not to be honest but I know that you have a special relationship with the weather. Convince the weather to turn nicer and I will wholeheartedly advocate for you without a second thought. Until then, I have to hope your prediction is wrong, thus jeopardizing my view and opinion of you. Otherwise, I will view you as vindictive and better.

    Sincerely;

    The Northwest Club

  19. bgb41 says:

    4/5/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:71 at ECHO( 683 ft)
    Low: 54 at BROOKS(187 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:30 at Mount Hood Meado(6601 ft)
    Low: 25 at ANTELOPE (6460 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 34 degrees
    EW2055 Prairie C (60/26 ) (3547 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    2.12″ at QUAIL PRAIRIE LO(3183ft)
    2.03″ at HEBOWX Mt. Hebo(3160ft)
    1.92″ at DW0237 Lees Camp(699ft)

  20. Time to relax people …wait for the next “above normal” temps and “below normal” precip. Then start whining about how wimpy and unexciting our weather is here. OR!!!……try living in Sheboygan for a while……
    The move back west will be like sliding down a greased, rain filled downspout during the month of November in Siletz…..

  21. Marcus says:

    Ugh we can’t get Any extreme weather I don’t understand something about the valley just doesn’t happen here:(

  22. W7ENK says:

    Yup. Weak. BUST!!!

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