Forecast Bust; Rain Was Late = No Ice


No way of getting around that one today…the rain showed up late, thus no freezing rain for most of us.  If you go back through the previous two posts I mentioned that it had to be in the morning hours or else it would be too warm.  Still, now that the rain is going, it’s surprising that the evaporative cooling has cooled us to just 1-3 degrees above freezing.  If the steady rain that arrived around Noon-1pm would have shown up at 6-7am the morning commute would have been a mess.

The only freezing rain areas at 2pm are the highest hills around town (top of the West Hills) and Troutdale east into the Gorge.  I see Washougal schools closed early as did Corbett.  Hopefully all those kids get home safely (mine stayed home based on their Dad’s advice).  The cold east wind is dying down quickly out there, but no warming south wind in the Valley this evening means no warmup in the Gorge either. 

Freezing rain should stay in those locations until the precipitation stops this evening.  It’s interesting to note that as cooler air is moving in higher up in the atmosphere, the combination of that plus the leftover cold air near the surface is allowing some spots to change to snow.  I just saw someone mention that in comments; I think in Clark County.


With some clearing overnight, temps will quickly drop to around freezing in spots.  So another round of black ice or icy spots and/or freezing fog for tomorrow morning’s commute.

So again, we’re done with the freezing rain threat across the vast majority of the lowest elevations. 

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

117 Responses to Forecast Bust; Rain Was Late = No Ice

  1. Jordan (Raleigh Hills, 420') says:

    12z GFS still has a sunday night / Monday storm around that potentially brings the metro some kind of snow. Only about 3 days out now. Anybody else see it?

    Also, currently sunny and 36F in Raleigh Hills. The fog stuck around til about 8 am, glad to see it broke. Hopefully another sunny day on tap for us on the west side.

    • W7ENK says:

      I see 850mb temps of –3C to –5C,

      500mb heights at 540dm,

      and southerly winds at the surface.

      Good luck getting snow below 1000-1500 feet.

  2. cgavic says:

    Update: from sandy – we had a low of 31 and had freezing rain. It’s on sidewalks and vehicles. No pix to show.

  3. W7ENK says:

    NEW POST: But for some reason it doesn’t show up in the main page?

  4. DON TROUTDALE says:


  5. Tyler Mode in Battle Ground says:

    Finally the inversion broke! No more fog and cold.

    Currently 33 and foggy……….

  6. bgb41 says:

    1/23/2013 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    High:59 at ASHLAND(1885 ft)
    Low: 45 at BROOKINGS(79 ft)

    High:14 at NYSSA(2172 ft)
    Low: -8 at NYSSA (2172 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 45 degrees
    RED BUTTE (40/-5 ) (4460 ft )

    Heaviest Rainfall:
    2.18″ at FLYNN PRAIRIE(1543ft)
    2.13″ at QUAIL PRAIRIE LO(3183ft)
    2.12″ at RED MOUND(1753ft)
    2.03″ at BROOKINGS(79ft)
    1.73″ at ILLINOIS VALLEY(1389ft)

  7. Marcus says:

    00z well that’s not what I was hoping for:(

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