12:40pm…
The band of snow showers is moving overhead and you can see on radar http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/send.php?type=RTX-N0Q-1-24 why it’s been sticking nicely the last hour from Scappoose/St. Helens over to Vancouver Lake and northern/western Vancouver area. A heavy batch of showers right over them. Take a look at the WADOT camera at 134th street on I-5:
Then compare that to just a few miles east on I-205…barely a dusting (so far).
The rest of the metro area is just seeing flurries or dry so far…
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen
10-day weather forecasting for Portland OR http://www.weatherforecast10day.com/portland
I went out for lunch and it started snowing as we ate around 1 PM. It accumulated with a dusting from 181st Glisan to about Stark, but as I headed towards my house there wasn’t anything. Now it is snowing again with larger flakes. Kind of neat to see…
The roads are going to be nasty tonight…
So I know we are focused on the current snow, but can someone give a brief update on the models please? Is the ten day moving up or staying in lala land?
It’s still there, pushed back to day 10, again, still, though it’s faded significantly from the historical epic-ness that it was just two days ago. Expect further fading and continued pushing to day 10 until further notice.
Here is what paulbeugene mentioned at about 12 pm today: “Looking at all the models this morning…..no suggestion at all of any arctic air in the next 10 days. Looking at ensembles…trend is there for ridge over the the G of AK but not for the ridge to pop up over AK which is necessary for arctic intrusion in our region…so chances of a cold outbreak seem slim even out to 15 days….however the interior E of Cascades will continue to be on the cool side, such that surprise minor snow or ice events could happen.
The Canadian ensembles still have a couple members looking relatively cold around days 10-12…just enough to keep watching.” So basically more waiting and hoping haha!
Well called it a day at work in silver lake. What a wonderland, and mess up there right now, snow plows, vehicles in ditches, sheriffs and flares everywhere…and dumping. Now back in town, Longview isn’t too bad, road wise. A bit of slush in the medians, white parking lots/lawns etc. heading home to castle rock and everything but westside highway is white. Sweet!!
Sorry a bit off topic, but I am trying to find out (for a short story I am writing) ways of reading the weather from nature, e.g. plants (not simply cloud formations etc.). E.g. the incurling of a certain leaf or the opening of others. A certain scent on the air etc. Anybody know?
Many thanks,
Funny, I just sent Mark an email yesterday with old-folk weather forecasting and observations in the Appalachians from back in the ’70s. Some are funny, some plain interesting. I was going to put it on the blog for fun, but it was kind of long. Maybe Mark could forward it to you? I don’t know how else to get it to you. Or you could look up the Foxfire Book. Anchor Press 1972 by Eliot Wigginton.
These?
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Foxfire_(magazine)
I believe here: http://www.outpost-of-freedom.com/library/FoxfireVol1.pdf
And another one goes to the south. Not to worry, Seattle’s turn will come during the arctic blast in the latter half of January, I suspect.
Good amount coming down here now. What a nice treat. Reminds me of New Years 2004…lol
Nice to see snow in the air, and it is sticking to “things” now in Gresham. What a fun way to end the year, and hopefully it’s a sign of a snowy 2013! Be safe tonight, and Happy New Year to all of you!
Maybe it’s God’s way of telling us that it is going to be great snowy January!
What direction is the precipitation moving?
Down.
Heh… :lol:
Glad we’re getting snow for a while. This Is just a trailer for 10 from now :)
Shouldn’t that be at day 8 by now?
I’ll bet in two days from now, the GFS will still show epic cold and snow… at day 10.
You see how that works? And the GFS will keep doing that, all the way until the end of March, when it suddenly flips to “epic heat wave, just wait 10 days!” mode.
*grumble-grumble-grumble…* :mad:
Yeah, I want to believe something big is coming but unfortunately they’re probably just teasing us. You’re right two days ago it was 10 days away lol. 2-3 ft of snow is just incredible to think about!
Sticking snow in camas
Finally, real weather in Ridgefield. At least an inch of snow! So excited!! :)
Relax Portland the wrap Around moisture is coming south should go right over you:)
Marcus, you may be right. Some of my flaky friends are starting to show up — not sticking around, though (unlike my husband’s flaky friends …). :)!
Can you post a link? I’m at work and don’t have any bookmarks…
Barkdust and some driveways are starting to turn white. Big flakes but not coming down very hard.
Payoff time for those who threw out the dark barkdust!
Not so certain of that. Radar echoes off the coast are now decreasing. I hate to say it but the energy looks like its dying a bit. Hope for flurries, but sticking snow in the metro this evening probably isn’t going to happen (please let me be wrong!!). Don’t get you’re hopes up. Just go get some champagne and make some tapas. Happy New Year’s all!
Looks nice in Vancouver…parts of it that is.
The CPC analog chart looks nice for week two (I don’t necessarily agree with it but I hope I am wrong))
http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/analog.php
Paul, are you changing your 11th prediction?
He’s gonna need to in another day or two… :mrgreen:
What do you mean?
To me, it seems like winters around here are more predictable than we think.
Flurries now, finally, 82nd and Glisan!
So, PDX gets ripped once again?
Well that’s just fan-freakin’-tastic. >_<
Ain’t it, though? This calls for a big old face-palm, I say!
Considering we weren’t suppose to get anything due to the system shearing apart as it hit the high pressure we did pretty well all things considered.
Yes Lurkyloo, one of about this caliber!
That’s what I wanted to know. Sandy is only getting flurries.
In defense of mark he should only worry forecasting for PDX. Vancouver is in WA, so even they get 2 or 3 inches while PDX gets nothing, calling for just flurries was the correct call.
It has been snowing quite heavily since 11:30 am, here in S. Salmon Creek/North Hazel Dell. Sticking and beautiful!
A good 2 inches here in north salmon creek!! Creek is partially frozen as well. 32 degrees here.
Moderate snow continues! 1 inch on the deck! Hahaah!
I’m not speaking to you ‘poose …
I’m gonna go mope now.
No need for that Lurkyloo, just drive to the Land of Gravelly Plains! Hahaah!
One inch now!
Currently 32.2
Guess we’re the poor cousins who don’t get an invite to the New Years Eve snow party. :(
up to 33.3 here…….low of 28.2…….no snizzle yet
Flurries in Clackamas right now.
East wind works against the east side for once!
Sure feels cold out. Now getting consistent flurries. I can still name them. So light they hang in the air or travel upwards.
Looks like were gonna miss out here!