This mornings very wet slug of precipitation (rain in valleys, snow above 3,000′) has left about 18″ on the ground at Timberline & Mt. Hood Meadows with a few inches down at Pass elevations. I see even Sisters and the higher parts of Bend/La Pine got their first snowfall too.
I do have 3 camera pages that you can link to:
I made these about 10 years ago because I wanted them all in one place for a quick glance while I’m working. They are off my main weather page, which you can also get to through any of the camera pages.
I’ll also clean up the links on the weather camera page above…maybe later today since we have no 5/6pm shows due to Game #7 NLCS. A bit more time to get some other work done.
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen
FOX 12 Weather Blog 
Did I just hear thunder? Long, deep, rolling… mostly off toward the West. o_O?
interesting! http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/weather/Warm-winter-forecast.html
Oh, look at that… http://i46.tinypic.com/1ylbbc.jpg
That could be bad news bears right there for a LOT of people come next Monday/Tuesday! 😯
Storm track has been curiously consistent over the past few days, too. What hasn’t been consistent is the strength. Each run has it getting stronger…
Bring it on.
Only the ECMWF shows a potential landfall now. 12z runs of the GFS, UKMET Canadian all took it well offshore. Many days to go, so we’ll see….
Steve you did see the pictures right? Or do you live back east? Otherwise, bring it on seems a bit odd to say. But hey, you used a period again in a sentence. 😃
😆 @Chris
Good to know, Rob! But, something my sister told me (having lived in Florida for seven years, working in media the whole duration after earning her Masters in Journalism with an Atmospheric Science twist at UM) is that the GFS in particular is always terrible with forecasting hurricanes. I believe she told me the Euro was the most accurate. We shall see, but I desperately hope you’re right. I have family in Philly, and friends in Mass. If the above image verifies, it will be bad. 😦
My cousin lives in Phily too! Yes could be interesting
38 degrees and cloudy in Williston ND with light winds sure feels like winter here lows down to 25 tonight the drillers are getting ready for the cold that is coming! Sure is busy here 1st time over here it is a fracking good time!
My buddy is in town after working there all summer. I thought about going there. Definitely get a real winter and real thunderstorms. Just sucks working in it.
Possible short-lived rain/hail showers moving into Happy Valley and Gresham… it is really dark overhead.
Small-size hail coming down now near I-5 and Wilsonville Road.
Wow on the coast right now and day has turned to night! Black heavy rain clouds and all street lights came back on.
Where on the coast?
Tillamook. Heavy snow/rain mix on Hwy 6 dummit
Summit
Check out all of the snow dumped at Glacier last night. This was bare yesterday.
I moved to NW Bend this summer so I can give some weather reports from here. We got 1-2 inches of snow early Monday morning before it turned to rain. We are at 3750ft.
Exciting to see! I’m looking forward to snow here! 1949-50 Repeat here we come!
Maybe it really was funnelicious:
From PDX AFD:
SHORT TERM…LITTLE CHANGE IN THE WEATHER PATTERN WITH A COOL
UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER THE AREA PRODUCING SHOWERS…A FEW WITH HAIL
AND THUNDER. ONE UNUSUAL EVENT WAS WIND DAMAGE FROM A CELL THAT
PASSED OVER THE SPRINGFIELD AREA. RADAR IMAGES SUGGEST THAT ROTATION
WAS POSSIBLE HIGHER UP IN THE CELL DURING THE REPORTED TIME THE
DAMAGE OCCURRED…FROM ABOUT 3 PM TO 4 PM. VERTICAL
TEMPERATURE…WIND AND MOISTURE PROFILES LOOK SIMILAR TUE ACROSS THE
AREA. WITH THE UNSTABLE AIR MASS AND SOME DIRECTIONAL WIND SHEAR WITH
HEIGHT IN PLACE…A STRONGER SHOWER COULD PRODUCE A FUNNEL CLOUDS OR
STRONG GUSTS TUE AFTERNOON.
http://www.kval.com/news/local/Crazy-Oregon-weather-Hail-rain-wind-and-thunder-whip-region-175317311.html
I looked out my office window when this cell approached from the west…did not see any rotation out in west Eugene
10/22/2012 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary
Warmest:
High:57 at PROVOLT SEED ORC(1180 ft) & CW3067 Eugene(427 ft) & North Bend Munic(16 ft)
Low: 46 at DW1265 Newport(164 ft) & PACCTY-2 Pacific(28 ft) & PACCTY-2 Pacific(28 ft)
Coldest:
High:24 at Mount Hood Meado(6601 ft)
Low: 18 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft ) & ANEROID LAKE #2 (7300 ft )
Largest Diurnal Change: 25 degrees
North Powder (I- (45/20 ) (3273 ft )
Heaviest Rainfall:
2.43″ at RED MOUND(1753ft)
2.10″ at BROOKINGS(79ft)
Mammoomies over Sasquatchuwan!
http://apod.nasa.gov/apod/ap121023.html
It is a way out in the future but Fri Nov 2 looks like a windstorm possibility in terms of overall pattern (on 00Z GFS)… energy in westerlies from Japan cut all the way E to a trough off of PacNW…..the finer details yet to come.
My high was 48.1, my coldest since April 4th when the high was 46.
Also ended up with 0.31″ so far including some hail.
nice! i maxed out at 42 today, cold rain all day crazy walking outside at 2 in the afternoon and seeing my breath, tis’ the season lol. 🙂
Sure feels like winter. A fortnight ago we were still having warm, sunny afternoons and everything was bone dry. Fall lasted all of 2 weeks this year!
Now this is what we’re talkin’ about!
http://www.tripcheck.com/RoadCams/cams/SantiamPass_pid605.jpg?1350926708
Sunset?
Thought I posted a freeze frame dang it! Check back in the morning! 🙂
I was just being sarcastic, it must have looked all snowy at that time.
Small Hail…
Just watching the weather channel. And there saying a big storm coming in Yuba city,ca. Two tornado warnings up !!!
Live link – http://livewire.kcra.com/Event/First_Alert_Weather_NorCal_prepares_for_rain_snow
Just north of my cousin…
Is it model riding season yet?
A guest post on George Taylor’s blog for your reading enjoyment:
http://tinyurl.com/8t9edxc
Oh, yeah real interesting.
“Interestingly, a series of emails exposed global warming, er, climate change, and the funding of green energy to be the scams that they are. Together they are “sustainable.”
On global warming, the “climategate” emails revealed that data had been manipulated and suppressed to produce the desired results.”
Of course….
“Marita Noon is Executive Director of Citizens’ Alliance for Responsible Energy, a lobby group funded by New Mexico oil and gas industry interests.”
Clown Shoes
Don’t let yourselves be brainwashed by these lobbyist. They have monetary reasons for pushing one agenda or another. I don’t care if it’s the fossil fuel industry or green energy. When people with lobbyist ties start talking, stick your fingers in your ears. =)
*sigh*
This issue will never be settled. We could be deep in the middle of the next Ice Age, and one side will still be screaming that it’s our fault. This Earth could be a smoldering cinder trailing a ring of smoke around the sun, and the other side will still be in denial.
How about addressing the asserted facts rather than attacking the author?
Who was that directed toward?
FWIW, I agree with the author (for the most part).
It’s interesting that the author focuses on one bankrupt “green energy” company while ignoring the many, many more that are thriving world wide.
While I don’t think the arguement reguarding AGW is totally settled, keep in mind that the science behind it wasn’t simply dreamed up as a way to make money, as much as the Heartland Institute would have us believe.
It’s a political motivated article.
W7ENK is right, we won’t know for sure for a LONG time. So let me add a *sigh* as well. But yeah, that post was about as responsible as me having a guest post by Al Gore. Both equally inappropriate on a blog about science in my humble opinion.
If you want facts instead of attacks on the author try this, for example, about the ClimateGate:
http://www.skepticalscience.com/Climategate-CRU-emails-hacked-advanced.htm
They were cleared by several independent reviews.
As for the Heartland Institute, I think they aren’t doing so well. They’ve cancelled their future conferences. It’s one thing to doubt AGW (I do), but they have gone out of their way to derail scientists studying it.
AGW is not a recent theory with nothing behind it. The idea was first proposed in the mid-1800s when Svante Arrhenius (one of the pioneers of modern chemistry) took the then-recent observation that that carbon dioxide was opaque to infrared radiation (but transparent to visible light), and paired it with the fact that digging up coal and burning it was introducing new CO2 into the atmosphere, and the one that the earth accepted visible light from the sun and reradiated much of that energy as infrared, and started wondering about human action causing the climate to warm.
And since about the mid-1980s, the vast preponderance of evidence is that such warming is not only possible, but is already happening.
My bad: Arrhenius actually published his paper* about CO2, fossil fuels, and global warming in the late 1800s, not the early 1800s. Still, that’s a lot older than just the last few decades.
* Which did not have much attention paid to it mainly because it was unclear how quickly CO2 concentrations would increase (Arrhenius thought it would take 1000 years or more to get where we are right now), or how disruptive the warming would be (Arrhenius thought it would be mostly benign and beneficial).
Recent 20z Mesoanalysis is showing that instability is building southwest of PDX metro. 500mb temps are -29.2c and 850mb -1c over PDX. MLL rates have steepened to 7 to 8C/km. 12z SLE Sounding puts the ConvT at 52F. VIS imagery shows sun breaks and lots of convective clouds west-southwest of PDX metro. Hopefully we can get some of those sun breaks for a bit better low level warmth. Showers chances increase becoming heavy at times with small hail with a 20% chance of t-storms this afternoon.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s11/mucp/mucp_sf.gif?1350939717470
If you want to look at Mesoanalysis yourself check here
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=11#
Also, 12z ECMWF
http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/ecmwf500mb_ecmwf.html
Main message seems to be that the cooler/colder air retreats back up into Canada and the Arctic Regions as we move into November…..
And a big hole of clear sky over us right now. Maybe I’m wishcasting but this set up, given Rob’s analysis and this big sun break sure feels like it could be explosive.
I’d like to see another 4-5 F of surface heating, then it could be active, but I dunno. Also, notice the south wind picking up? Yeah. It appears to be 15-25mph throughout the area now. PDX-EUG is -2.2mb….
Recent 20z Mesoanalysis is showing that instability is building southwest of PDX metro. 500mb temps are -29.2c and 850mb -1c over PDX. MLL rates have steepened to 7 to 8C/km. 12z SLE Sounding puts the ConvT at 52F. VIS imagery shows sun breaks and lots of convective clouds west-southwest of PDX metro. Hopefully we can get some of those sun breaks for a bit better low level warmth. Showers chances increase becoming heavy at times with small hail with a 20% chance of t-storms this afternoon.
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/s11/mucp/mucp_sf.gif?1350939717470
If you want to look at Mesoanalysis yourself check here
http://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=11#
Also, 12z ECMWF
http://www.cascadeaccess.com/~mnelsen/Models/ecmwf500mb_ecmwf.html
Main message seems to be that the cooler/colder air retreats back up into Canada and the Arctic Regions as we move into November.
someone told me it was snowing in estacada..
Uhmmm, Estacada is about 900 ft. I seriously doubt that.
And Estacada itself is only around 400-500′.
Lots of convective cells offshore headed to the Willamette Valley and Cascades…looks like an active afternoon…..looks funnelicious
YAY!!! \^_^/
Dang!!! Still no action here in Salem. I’m starting to get bored No hail or downpours at all today.
Been a really cold raw cold rain day up here in washington too bad this not late nov we be talking who has the most snow outside. Hope this is a preview of winter and we finally get a few decent snow storms.
OMG, a period! A PERIOD!! Did you guys see that?!? It was even in the right place!!!
😯
THANK YOU!
I love this weather! Dark skies, cold, wet- perfect PNW weather!
That just astounds me, enjoy I guess………..
Yeah, I don’t get it either…
To each his own, guys. I wouldn’t want it like this 365 days a year, but I will take it for 200- 250 days a year.
I’ll torn on this subject. If I wasn’t into weather, I’d want mostly sunny weather with showers here and there so it’s not a desert. Well, that would be Hawaii I guess. But since I’m a weather geek, I need about 100 days of excitement.
Your absolutely right Josh, to each their own. But 250???? Now I’m completely flabbergasted!!!
Dang its down pooring out !!
Pounding rain and hail outside right now – yikes.
Ah crap, storm drain underneath my car is clogged. Time to go outside I suppose.
It’s become so dark over Downtown Portland, the street lamps have come on… at 1:00pm.
And now the sun is shining…
Weird weather today!
Friends of mine in the La Grande area (±2790′) were reporting snow this morning, although it wasn’t sticking. It doesn’t look like it was sticking anywhere based on the TripCheck webcams.
Gorgeous pic! Can’t wait to see it flying here at almost sea level in Longview!
Got a report of 3″+ at Camp Sherman earlier this morning from a co-worker.