Another 90 Degree Day

A real scorcher (for mid-late September) out there.  We officially hit 90 degrees here in Portland.  I think it’s unlikely we’ll see that again in the next week.  Expect 80s the next few days and then MAYBE just 70s over the weekend and beyond.

 

29 Responses to Another 90 Degree Day

  1. Garron near Washington Square says:

    It was a nice sunny day in Beijing, Oregon today. Another 90 degree day at my location, and when I read the noaa wx for our area, I was a little shocked to see the letters (FU) in that box, and actually had to look them up. It stands for Smoke, BTW. Interesting though, I don’t ever remember those letters in our area before. Here’s the link:

    http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/getobext.php?wfo=pqr&sid=KHIO&num=72&raw=0

  2. David B. says:

    Could we be heading into a drought? Seems like it, if the models hold true. Look here:

    http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/90day/

    It’s been very dry since July (not a big deal drought-wise since we don’t get much moisture in the summer anyhow), BUT the models are showing normal to above normal temperatures and consistently below normal precipitation until mid spring of next year. (Moisture looks to be heading south of us for most of the winter, which often happens in El Niño winters.)

    And even after mid-spring, precipitation only returns to near normal values; no “March miracle” making up for the midwinter rain deficit this time. Sounds like a significant precipitation shortfall might be in the works.

    If, of course, the models hold true. Which is always a big “if”.

    • W7ENK says:

      That’s just your classic El Niño pattern, but with El Niño failing to get its act together, I expect the CPC to be revising this soon. More likely, we’ll be headed into a La Neutral pattern, but with the PDO switch to Negative, who really knows?

      We’re still ahead for the water year, so no worries on that drought stuff.

    • Garron near Washington Square says:

      You know what uncle Joe has to say…lol. Just read Bastardi’s recent winter 12/13 update, and another epic winter’s on it’s way for us!!! Predict it enough times, and your bound to be right once and all’s forgiven, right?

  3. I see the ECMWF operational has finally caved in agreeing with the GFS. That’s fine by me time for a cool down.

    • David B. says:

      Careful; the summer-lovers will have a snit if you say the return of the rainy season is “fine by me”! (I’m ready for the fall weather to start kicking in, too.)

  4. Mr. Donut says:

    Maybe somebody’s already posted on this, but has anyone crunched the numbers on the longest drought stretches between rain of actual consequence – say 0.25″ or 0.5″? For PDX this year we have to go back to June 26 for a rain of 0.35″ and June 23 for 0.79″. That’s 82 days since the last “light soaking” and 86 days since the last “real rain”. Almost a quarter of the calendar year and still going…

  5. bgb41 says:

    9/17/2012 Oregon (All) Temperature Summary

    Warmest:
    High:99 at MERLIN SEED ORCH(1064 ft)
    Low: 67 at BALD KNOB(3630 ft)

    Coldest:
    High:52 at Brookings Airpor(459 ft) & Port Orford (US(90 ft)
    Low: 25 at CRANE PRAIRIE (5500 ft )

    Largest Diurnal Change: 56 degrees
    Cresent (US 97 M (84/28 ) (4455 ft )
    DW9630 La Pine (83/27) (4256 ft)

  6. W7ENK says:

    Looking back, I see that July 3rd was my last significant rainfall, with 0.06″

    I’ve only had 0.05″ of measurable rainfall since.
    That’s now 75 days.

  7. I hope we have some nice October days too!

  8. Dave says:

    Let the heat last indefinitely! I have too many depressing memories of endless weeks of soggy, mid-winter days in the low 40s.

    Are any long-term forecasts for a milder, drier 2012-13 winter?

    • Could be, climatology points toward a milder winter due to the developing El Nino. But of course there are always exceptions to the rule. I’m sure someone out there is forecasting “the mother of all winters”!

    • It’s long stretches of hazy, smoke-filled, dusty air and bone-dry yellow hills that remind me how thankful I should be when I start to get depressed when the seemingly endless winter rains ensue. Let the rains come back and quench this thirsty ground and extinguish these fires in due time!

  9. W7ENK says:

    Oh, how I love this weather! Summer got a late start (again), I’m so glad it’s staying late to make up for the lost time this year! Last year, summer came late and left early, giving us less than three weeks of warmth. This? I can handle this! 🙂

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Did you mean TWO summers back? Last September was our 2nd warmest on record. Lots of 90s & 80s…and fire smoke.

    • W7ENK says:

      No, I meant last summer. The hot weather didn’t really set in until Labor Day weekend, and lasted only about three weeks, not quite to the end of September. It may have been the 2nd warmest September on record, but only by virtue of the fact that the bulk of the warm weather spanned September, and only September.

    • We had a bunch of smoke today and I think that kept our temps down a few degrees. The air right now is like LA back in the sixties 😦

  10. May I ask if we can expect another Northwest Weather Podcast some time in the next couple weeks? I’d love to hear your folks’ take on Summer 2012, especially the part about how summer seems to peaking later in recent years.

  11. Doppler Dave (NE Portland) says:

    It reached 90 at my house today, and still 88 at almost 6 PM. Definitely an awesome September so far.

  12. Dave in SW PDX (235') says:

    I’ll take a 90° on Sept. 17th! Especially considering the rainy season begins in 30 days or so. Still 87° here, should be a wonderful late summer evening.

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