Flurries Tonight

March 5, 2012

Still looking for flurries at times tonight; slightly better chance south from Salem to Eugene as most energy for showers seems to be headed down there from 4am-10am.  Here’s our latest RPM model forecast for snow between now and noon tomorrow:

Still expecting a dusting at best in scattered spots for the Tuesday A.M. commute.

Better chance for morning snow showers south of our viewing area…down around Eugene to Roseburg.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen


Cold Front Moving Through: Tuesday AM Commute Okay

March 5, 2012

Nice cold front moving through metro area at noon.  You’ll know when it passes because the gusty south wind suddenly switches to lighter northwest and the temperature will drop a couple of degrees. 

The next few hours will see a chance for snowflakes mixed in along the Cascade foothills, but we hardly saw that even in the Coast Range as the front went through.  As a result, the Hoodland corridor from Sandy out to Rhododendron COULD see a change to snow, but it would be a very light accumulation and not affect Highway 26 below 1,500′.

Behind the front?  Nice sunshine pops out the next few hours and temps move back up into the upper 40s.

The chance for any sticking snow is looking quite low now for overnight and into early tomorrow morning; mainly because of lack of showers.  There’s a good chance the west metro area is completely dry after 2pm this afternoon through the end of the week.  Maybe a flurry eastside in the morning…maybe.  But the morning commute should be fine.  Note that both the RPM and 1.3km WRF-GFS show no accumulation in the lower elevations through 4am tomorrow morning:

There is a slightly better chance for a dusting from Salem south, seems to be a bit better moisture as a vort max moves through, but nothing like the deep moisture we had to work with last week with those heavy showers.  So it might even be tough to get a 2 hour delay for the kids up in the hills.

It’s on to sunshine Tuesday-Friday!  The very warm temps (into the 60s) still on tap for Thursday and Friday.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen