Morning Update: Sunday 8:15am

February 26, 2012

If you were hoping for that TRACE of snow on the lawn this morning, you were likely disappointed.  Lots of cloud cover overnight kept temps from dropping and little or no shower activity.  I didn’t think it would be quite that dry.  Either way, forecastwise it worked out just fine.

Sticking snow level appears to be around 1,000′ or so at 8am (it’s wet at my home at that elevation) and should generally stay within 500′ of that the rest of the day; so no sledding this afternoon in the lowest elevations (no big surprise!).  Radar has been filling in the past couple of hours.   Mesoscale models do show more moisture through the rest of the day for lots of cloud cover and off/on showers.  They just don’t appear to be the heavy convective showers we saw yesterday.  The WRF-GFS shows lots of action across Clark County, so you may be able to score an inch or two from Battle Ground north and east?

Skies clear  out this evening and overnight as high pressure settles in and cooler/drier air filters in from the north.

Monday still looks perfectly sunny…a good time for a day off (me).

A change for Tuesday…the moisture is going to be arriving slightly later, midday at the earliest.  That plus not much easterly flow coming through the Gorge and increasing southerly wind with a low farther north spells the end of snow possibilities for the lowest elevations in the afternoon.  Maybe something up against the Coast Range or above 1,500′ but that’s it.  Even getting snow in the Gorge could be tough since temps will warm all day ahead of the precipitation which arrives late afternoon there.

As mentioned in an earlier posting, chilly showers Wednesday and Thursday, but not quite as cold as what we saw yesterday, so no snow to the lowest elevations there either.  Hopefully this will be the last time we need to discuss snow in the lowest elevations this late Winter/early Spring.