Just 24 hours away from New Year’s Eve now, and the weather will definitely slow down as we head into 2012. Slippery spots on roads tonight, although models show some cloudiness developing late tonight, so that may keep widespread ice to a minimum. That said, it’s mid-winter, we get cold nights, and there is some water here and there…something to be expected this time of the year.
Looking ahead, very little weather action the next 7+ days. Just about everything I mentioned 24 hours ago (in the previous post) still applies. 00z GFS continues to show a change to cooler and wetter about 9 days from now, give or take a day or two. The new 00z ECMWF shows ridging or warm wet systems through a week from Monday, that’s 10 days out. We’ll see how things look a few days from now.
We’ve got plenty of time, but IF we don’t see a change to colder and wetter in the 2nd half of January, I’ll consider the winter forecasts as real busts. You can’t go through December and most/all of January with ridging and warm systems, and call that a cool and wet winter. Even if February and March and cold and wet. I’m getting a little ahead of things, I know, but that just crossed my mind.
Have a safe and happy New Year! I’ll be working again Sunday/Monday.
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen