Everything is going MOSTLY according to plan this morning; models did an excellent job showing the front moving down the Coast and cutting off wind north of about Tillamook.
Big problem with the placement of the main rain band. Here’s the problem, the front (and center of heaviest rain) has been about 50 miles farther south than expected, leaving the heaviest rain band directly over the top of the Metro area. In 3 hours (ending at 10am) we’ve received 3/4 inch of rainfall here in town. Another 2 hours of this and we’ll start seeing flooding. This afternoon the band of heavy rain SHOULD lift north. If the rain doesn’t back off by noon, WE will be the hotspot for flooding, not up north. There is no other populated area seeing more rain than we are seeing here.
COASTAL WIND: Coastal wind is raging south of about Pacific City. Peak gusts were 60-70 mph most spots, little less than I expected. The wind did go just about calm from Tillamook up to Astoria; that’s why we sent our television crews to Lincoln City. Brian MacMillan getting blown away was a great choice for the morning show. It’ll continue to blow all day long; more of the same. Probably not any stronger than what we’ve already seen.
METRO WIND: Hasn’t been too strong (over 40 mph) since the front has been a little closer to us than expected. So it may pick up some this afternoon as the front lifts north. Gusts 40-50 still possible. A few power outages still likely here and there. Then it’ll go calm late tonight or tomorrow morning as the front finally pushes through.
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen