Late October “Dull-drums”

Not much to talk about this evening…what a quick slow down in the weather action the last 24 hours.  We’ve got a system dropping down into California tonight and tomorrow, a mildly interesting cold front Saturday night/Sunday morning, and then maybe some very warm rain Monday and Tuesday.  Otherwise Dullsville the next 7 days.

A nice picture above from James Farring in Hood River.  He took the picture from the Vista Ridge area up on the north side of Mt. Hood. 

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

74 Responses to Late October “Dull-drums”

  1. Karl Bonner says:

    I notice that the 7-Day has been updated to include more sun on Tue. and Wed. AND the highs both days are listed as 65. What I want to know is whether it will actually feel like a traditional fall dry spell, or if there will be a lot of Pineapple-ish characteristics such as solid south winds (solid could mean only 15 mph sustained!), passing clouds, and very heavy rain to our immediate north.

    If it is a Pineapple pattern and Portland is partly to mostly sunny, then it will also be quite sunny in Eugene, Roseburg, etc. That would put them further inside the ridge and possibly vulnerable to the fog factor. I wonder if we could end up in a scenario where it gets colder the further south you go?

  2. Tyler in Hazel Dell says:

    Ring ring…wasn’t me 🙂 Probably Steve?

  3. RobWaltemate says:

    Why does it seem that the low presure systems always turn and go North up the coast? Is it air flow out of the Gorge flowing the Columbia River? I thought that the La Nina would mean that there would be more of a westerly push to the lows.

    This is all very new to me so forgive any “stupid” questions. LOL

    • jory (Sandy) says:

      I do believe it is the Coriolis force. Something to do with the rotation of the Earth forcing wind to the North in the Northern hemisphere, and to the South in the Southern hemisphere.

    • Boydo3 500' North Albany says:

      Just wait a few more weeks! We are still in a transition from the persistent summer high to the dominant Gulf of Alaska low of winter.

  4. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    Remember all, it’s not always just about the Op run, take a look at the heights over AK and the Epac on the ensemble run near the end, that is a crazy signal for this far out and could spell a spill of cold air coming our way 🙂 There are some pretty cold members in this class.
    http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/ENSHGTWIDE_18z/ensloopwide.html

  5. 18Z GFS..Well that didn’t last long..back to a boring 16-day now with some decent upper ridging with less precip and more valley fog and east wind through the gorge.

  6. Wrob says:

    Wow. Weather. Now.

  7. Kirk (Sandpoint Idaho) says:

    Good old day 16. Never seen that work out except Dec 2008.

  8. 12Z GFS – Very rare output showing 2 days in the 70’s and then a high of 35 day 16 with 850mb temps of -9C and dare I say snow flurries?
    Seems like the zonal flow may start to buckle at some point.

    Yes, I know this is model riding but hey..its something..

  9. washington observer says:

    Weather illiterate that I am….
    Why does the jet stream drop south to CA and then break apart in the next few days?

  10. Andrew Johnson says:

    Oh my! Look at Lala land in the 12z gfs. If only!

    • Gidrons says:

      Looks like the patented GFS moving target of snow in 2 weeks. Every now and then it actually happens. Still fun to watch the models though

    • Anthony Bertolo - Gresham 500' says:

      I just noticed it. Our first lala land snow hint and it’s still October.

      This could end up a long and stressful winter if lala land keeps snow hints flirting with us starting this early.

    • Ryan (Walnut Grove) says:

      That has actually popped up on a couple runs now. We might get a blast of cold air mid-November.

  11. washington observer says:

    My goodness it is extra dark outside this morning.

  12. Yevpolo1990 says:

    Wow did anyone see this?

    at least something interesting is in the future perhaps?

  13. PaulB/Eugene says:

    Eugene set record low maximum of 46F on Oct 27…..prev record 47F in 1919 and 1971

  14. 10-27-2010 BG Lake Stats

    High: 52.1 Low: 41.1

    Still 50.7 at 1145pm RH 60%

    East winds dying off now. Were strong earlier.

  15. W7ENK says:

    [Milwaukie] 10/27/2010
    61.3°F High
    38.8°F Low
    SSW 11.0 mph at 12:46a
    Trace

  16. cap - Hood River says:

    Where is this warm storm coming from early next week? All I see on the radar is a big juicy storm sitting over Easter Siberia?

    thanks

    • Ryan (Walnut Grove) says:

      I believe it is the remnants of Typhoon Megi. It’s coming out of SE China. At this point it should be a big ol ball of moisture in the middle of the Pacific.

    • W7ENK says:

      The remnants of Megi are almost here, that’s the rain for the weekend.

      Not as spectacular as I’d hoped for, but my call on the timing was damn near perfect! 🙂

  17. Snow-Zone/Monmouth-Elv200' says:

    Could someone please tell me what the barometric pressure was for that massive storm in the midwest. I keep hearing on the news that it is record breaking and is like a cat 3 hurricane but they don’t say what the pressure was. Winds were gusting only in the 60-70mph?? That’s not even cat 1. We have winds like this on the coast every winter… Yes The pressure must be deep and the storm is over land. But winds arn’t as powerful as you would think for such a massive storm. But yes they are strong still… Im just curious about the pressure.

  18. Snow-Zone/Monmouth-Elv200' says:

    Nice Picture!

  19. PaulB/Eugene says:

    MM5 GFS has 5-10″ 72 hour precip in areas from N OR Coast Range NE through the WA Cascades, some places >10″, early next week.

  20. Mark Nelsen says:

    Oops…in TEASE #4 (the break just before weather) WINCH came out of my mouth more like WENCH while describing James getting his Jeep pulled out after getting that picture. I really didn’t mean to imply that a pirate-like barmaid helped him out up on the mountain…

  21. W7ENK says:

    Awesome photo!

    Okay, so I have to ask. By “mildly interesting”, does that translate to “Hallowe’en Howler”? I’m going to be in Lincoln City for a wedding on Saturday/Sunday/Monday, and if the weather is going to be crappy, I want it to be REEEEEEEAAAAAAALLLLY BAD!!! 🙂 I’ve never experienced a full-on storm on the coast before.

    Otherwise, a wet and annoyingly breezy beach bonfire on Saturday night will be… well, annoying.

    • W7ENK says:

      Seriously… what’s the weekend lookin’ like at the beach?

      Anyone???

    • RobWaltemate says:

      I would guess that it is going to be wet and nasty out but not the strong wind you want. I will look around and let you know if I think it is going to be worse than that. Don’t get me wrong, you will get sand blasted down on the beach, haha.

    • RobWaltemate says:

      just looking at the jet stream I have to wonder if after the one low goes down the coast that the jet will pinch off the southern section and just jump back to westerly flow. If it does, then I have to ask if it could push the next low onto the coast a bit faster. Either way I would stay in Lincolin City as late as you can on Sunday. Also, if it is going to be so warm next week, is it from the low moving down the coast or from the La Nina flow of humid tropical air?

      I realy don’t know too much about this, so I would take it was a very large grain of salt (sea salt anyway, LOL)

    • RobWaltemate says:

      check out this site for the jet stream.

      http://squall.sfsu.edu/scripts/nhemjetstream_model.html

    • W7ENK says:

      Heh! Well, staying late on Sunday won’t be a problem since we’re all coming back on Monday! 🙂

      Thanks for the head up.

  22. RobWaltemate says:

    No wind, but the smoke from the fireplace is showing that the air is moving from the NE. Presure is starting to drop and is about 1009 right now. Otherwise not much going on today here.

  23. RobWaltemate says:

    Wow! Nice picture… I think it should be my background on my mini laptop.

  24. Andrew Johnson says:

    A little drizzle out there this evening.

  25. PaulB/Eugene says:

    00Z GFS wetter for WA once again…not a good trend for Chehalis

  26. Mike (Orchards 255') says:

    Warm evening here in east Vancouver…56°

  27. washington observer says:

    #1
    Just checked in before going to bed.
    Mt Hood was beautiful today.

  28. PaulB/Eugene says:

    Getting #1 on a dull night is like beating the Clippers…

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