Got a bit behind tonight; but after lots of long posts, it’s probably time for a quickie now anyway.
Southerly surge moving up the Coast tonight…one last taste of the warm season onshore-offshore flow pattern before we head into the colder season I suppose.
Models have converged on 3 organized weather systems impacting us between now and Sunday. First one is pathetic and may or may not give us a shower tomorrow evening.
2nd system is more organized, although associated with a decaying low pressure system too. That one moves through Friday night.
3rd system is by far the strongest. Depth of the low and position are still getting shifted around by various model runs. The 00z GFS has the low much closer and deeper as it runs into the northern tip of Vancouver Island early Sunday morning. We’ll see how the next 48 hours of model runs change things. If the stronger solution plays out, that means high winds on the Coast (60+ mph gusts) Saturday night.
After a break the middle of next week there appears to be more action as we head into the Halloween weekend. That’s a long ways out though!
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen