It’s Getting Rough Out There!

A foot of rain or more has fallen in the Bull Run Watershed the last 3 weeks.

Around  4:40pm a man approached me, holding an axe, and muttered something about “this rain is about 20 minutes early”.  Then of course I remembered last night at 10pm I had mentioned the rain would start at the earliest around 5pm, latest by sunset.  He was actually very friendly as we then proceeded to talk about the rain, surprise snowstorms, and an overdue windstorm.  All that over potting soil and a handtruck wheel replacement while in line at a large orange home improvement store.  He never raised the axe over my head (good); I think he had something to cut down (hopefully good).  Then the lady checking me out was “shocked” that “the WEATHERMAN has had a chance to get out in the garden???”.  As if somehow I found a few dry hours and she didn’t.  Ouch…add the bike shop people looking for dry weather, Shauna Parsons looking  at me like a disappointed mother looks at her kids, and it’s getting rough out there!  I might start wearing a blonde wig, or some other disguise out there until we get some solid sunshine.  Maybe some large sunglasses?  Maybe just hunker down at home and work only.

The final proof that the rainy/cool weather has gone on too long came in an email from our own regular commenter here on the blog…Jesse Krause “EVEN I am ready for some warmer temps and sunshine at this point.” Whew, and I thought 2012 was still two years away…things are really falling apart now.

A very wet system is moving in right now; the stretched out and weak surface low moves almost directly overhead later in the night.  Plenty of gusty west wind right behind the low pressure center, but no strong wind and no flooding rainfall.  I’m guessing maybe .50″ here in Portland, about 1/2 of what we saw with the last system.  Since it’s coming in a bit more from the southwest the rain shadow may not be as strong as with Wednesday’s system.  So maybe .40″ westside to .80″ east metro this time around.  Tough to get more than 2″ in the Cascades with this one due to the fast movement.  It’s interesting to note the only flood warnings in our region are out in the Blue and Wallowa Mountains (Grande Ronde and Imnaha rivers).   The John Day river also has a flood warning out.

Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen

71 Responses to It’s Getting Rough Out There!

  1. W7ENK says:

    Well, it stopped raining, the sun is peaking out, and now it’s getting muggy! Some of these lingering clouds look mighty dark underneath… anything going on up above yet???

  2. J. in Beavercreek (700') says:

    1.2″ last 24 hrs here so far. .73″ since midnight, .47″ yesterday.

    Water is high on the creek for June:

    But nowhere near Jan 09 levels, luckily!

  3. Jim in N. Tabor says:

    Any chance for T-storm activity in the valley today ?

    • Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:


      Here is today’s 12z SLE sounding

      Supposedly some weak MUCAPE(Elevated instability) values are to develop. I’m skeptical due to the extensive cloudiness right now. Then again it is only 10:45 AM. Lapse rates aren’t very steep, but the Max temp of 67F, convective temp of 54F, and good shear might lead to something later…. Slight chance.

    • Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

      After looking at things a bit further I would be shocked to see convection later today. There isn’t much cooling with height throughout the atmosphere. Also offshore IR loop shows no CU field or any cold air aloft signature as well as subsidence taking over.

    • Jim in N. Tabor says:

      Thanks for the info Rob.

    • Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

      No problem at all, Jim.

  4. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    Good morning, everyone.

    It is June 4th, 2010. I just had to run the furnace.

    Enough said.

    • jbpdx says:

      Never thought I’d ever wish for a drought. And never thought I’d say I’m sick of living in Portland.

    • Battle Ground Brian says:

      0.69″ from last nights system fell here

      1.99″ for June so far.

      Furnace is on right now, It was only 60 in the house when I got up this morning.

    • umpire says:

      I got a new furnace in December, along with the fancy thermostat with the ability to set different temps at different times on different days. I have it set pretty low – generally, 58 at night, 62 in the day, and I think it’s run nearly every day or night the past month.

    • Garron says:

      Oh!!!! Thanks for reminding me “wrath”! I seriously forgot that I’d cranked the heat this morning, and was still pumping away when I read you blog, thanks you just saved me ten dollars….

  5. Jethro (Canby ~187') says:

    Oregonian water torture… drip. drip. drip.

  6. Tyler in Hazel Dell says:

    Check out this image take on June 1st…shows Mt. Cleavland (Center) as it erupts and shows low clouds against the other volcanoes in the Aleutian chain.

  7. Aleta-west gresham says:

    I’m down in Grants Pass this week and boy have they got hammered! Around 3 last night there was even a thunderstorm. Thunder rummbled for about 2 minutes straight at one point. And i’m trying to move my parents. 😦 Fun times indeed!

  8. Doppler Dave (NE PDX) says:

    As of 6 AM, MTD rain for PDX is 1.54 inches, and the total monthly average for June is 1.48 inches. Yikes!

    • Mark Nelsen says:

      Taking great pains to contradict you Dave…the average June rainfall (30 year NCDC normals) at PDX is 1.59″. That record statement from NWS wasn’t correct. I think they took the 60+ year average. And it’s funny if you start looking through the NWS site you find all sorts of numbers. I found a 1.56, 1.59, 1.61 etc…Either way we busted through it after your post. Time for a May-June total rainfall graphic tonight…Yevy…get me some numbers!

    • Battle Ground Brian says:

      May 6.07″
      June 1.99″ (first 84 hours of month)

      Total: 8.06″ since May 1st here.

  9. Snow-Zone/Monmouth-Elv200' says:

    51.4F and still wet outside. Its pretty unique to have another January for the second time in one year.

  10. 1.10″ in the last 24 hours.
    2.32″ June to date.

    Need a lawn mowing break!

    • pappoose in scappoose says:

      Yeah, get to see how much wet grass I can get stuck under the mower again.

  11. Eternal Yamcha (SE Milwaukie) says:

    After getting our monthly rainfall, we can coast through the rest of June without a care in the world!

  12. eugene in vancouver says:


  13. Mike (Orchards 255') says:

    Whoever likes hot weather, the desert southwest is the place to be this weekend. NWS has excessive heat watches out for temps approaching 110° in Vegas and from 115 to 120° for Death Valley..

    Thank goodness I live here in the good ‘ole PNW!

    49.7F….0.15″…Heaviest precip headed into northern Clark/southern Cowlitz counties presently.

  14. W7ENK says:

    63.0°F High
    44.1°F Low
    SW 9.6 mph at 2:42p
    0.29″ since midnight (4pm)

  15. Mark Nelsen says:

    Has anyone noticed the Brookings (KBOK) rainfall? 2.20″ in 6 hours ending at 11pm! The last 3 hours have been .40-.51″ per hour. Crazy.

  16. Jesse-Orchards says:

    Thanks for the shout-out, Mark. 😉

    Don’t get me wrong, I like sunny weather, I always do. I guess it’s just the fact that I really don’t mind rain that makes me different from some of the big whiners on here. I realize it’s part of the climate and events like the huge heatwave last summer are simply balanced out by springs/early summers like this. Although, as I said, this is getting to be a bit much even for me at this point.

    Anyway, if we had the kind of weather some people on here seem to want to see all the time, this wouldn’t be the PNW. It would be LA or Phoenix.

    Everyone who lives here should know what they’re signing up for!

    • dabears (Hillsboro-Tanasbourne) says:

      Having lived in LA, I would take endless rain over endless sun any time. While the rain can get dull after a while, the beautiful landscape it allows us to have is so worth it. Every time I go back to California, the brown, barren hillsides just depress me. I love how green everything is here.

    • Eternal Yamcha (SE Milwaukie) says:

      Whereas you’re JUST getting tired of it, most people I’ve talked to hit that point weeks ago. Let me put it this way: If we had no snow, little to no rain and really warm temps in winter, how’d you feel? Yeah, that’s how a LOT of people are beginning to feel about this weather NOW.

      I’d also like to point out, if we lived in the climate you wanted we’d be like Nome, Alaska… Frozen tundra.

  17. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    Good evening everyone.

    Mark, thanks for the update and love the shout-out to Jesse. 😆

    WV loop shows some organization to the developing low offshore.
    I would place the center of circulation around 44.8 N, 128.5 W or roughly due west of Newport moving to the east/northwest. The past 3 hours of WV Loop shows a trend of strengthening as noted by the better defined circulation and a bit of darkening up the dry slot punching into the low. Perhaps it turns breeze early AM.

  18. muxpux says:

    and this storm is a perfect example of why we need coastal radar. i dunno whats heading towards Kelso/Longview right now.

    oh well.

  19. muxpux says:

    hmmm, well, it drizzled a bit here in Longview, and let off. havent been out for a few minutes, but looking at radar, and from what im reading well probably end up as “the biggest loser” again. not that im complaining. this isnt snow after all.

    only lame part is ill be in portland in an hour or so, hitting up some “gentlemens clubs” with a buddy from battle ground. hes driving, and i probably will be at his place overnight, so if this is a soaker, ill feel it, even though my town will be spared.

  20. Mike (Orchards 255') says:

    Rain beginning in earnest here. Lots of streams of red echoes coming across the coast range now…

    0.13″ so far…49.8F

  21. Mark Nelsen says:

    Lots of lightning just off Port Orford the last hour. And in the past 1/2 hour the rain between Lincoln City and Tillamook has been looking very intense.

  22. Eugene in Vancouver says:

    I know this has been answered on the blog before and forgive me for asking again, but I can’t find the info. How do you upload your picture?

  23. RobWaltemate says:

    Don’t worry. We here in this house stil like you, even if it is all your falt. LOL. Just finished the book “Isaac’s Storm,” and if no one “got him,” then I think your safe. BTW, it is a good read about the Galveston 1900 cataclysm.

  24. wendy-silverlake,WA says:

    Ha ha. For once I’m dry and you guys are wet. Let’s hope it stays to the south 🙂

  25. pbo9 says:

    I’ve NEVER been more ready for the dry season to start.
    Adios tomatoes and basil.

  26. W7ENK says:

    That’s not rough, this is great news! No more worries of water rations this summer… 🙂

    But, could we get to the sunshine now, please???

  27. Kyle says:

    And Jesse is very poor at being a troll. 😛

    Try harder next time.

  28. Kyle says:

    The cats and dogs are cold. 53F here.

  29. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) elevation 189' says:

    Yes Mark! It was supposed to start after 5pm so I could ride home in dry weather….grr….

    Speaking of rain:

    I was looking at my May records and started adding up days that it has rained this year. Since Jan 1, at my station I have had measurable precipitation for 115 out of the first 154 days this year, counting today, or just about 75% of the days so far this year!! That’s three out of every four. I’m sure other stations are very simillar.

    And not many of the dry days have been clear, so no wonder everyone is cranky. 😉

    Also note for my station:

    Coolest May high temp average since 2000, warmest low temp average since 2000. Meaning cloudy but cool and still ending up -2.1 degrees for the month.

  30. pgiorgio says:

    Come on Portlanders, cheer up, you all know theres a pot of gold at the end of the rainbow

  31. Boydo3 500' North Albany says:

    I had a bunch of snails marching across my front porch last nite. Like the “March of the Penguins!! At first I thought I was in a Disney movie. But then I realized there was no narrative. Nope, this was for real! No munching sounds. No shivering snails left behind. Just a column of snails heading for my garden!

    • Sarah (E. Gresham) says:

      Better than slugs marching into your house. My husband still hasn’t fixed our front door threshold, and there happens to be just enough room for slugs to crawl in under our front door and into our hallway. Nothing like coming downstairs in the morning and stepping on a slug in bare feet.

    • Boydo3 500' North Albany says:


  32. wendy-silverlake,WA says:

    Does anyone know if the rain that is coming in right now is the one for tomorrow a.m. or is there more coming in. I have a garage sale in the morning and just wondering what to expect. I wasn’t sure if there was another system after this one. Thanks!

  33. Snow-Zone/Monmouth-Elv200' says:

    Well Mark I am sure you can handle your self if you are assaulted. Just send a lightning bolt down from the clouds.

  34. Christiana in Forest Grove says:

    The only good thing about this weather is that I don’t have the urge to garden instead of study. Finals end on Tuesday for me so it looks like it might work out okay.

  35. Ken says:

    And its raining cats and dogs AGAIN here in SE Salem!!

  36. Ken says:


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