For some reason it’s seemed like a really long week, even though the weather wasn’t dramatic. Speaking of that, I see at PDX the temp is now running almost as warm ABOVE normal as December was BELOW normal. Notice that we haven’t even seen a frost in the last two weeks in the city! It will cool down slightly next week, but only down to normal at best. No sign of cold air or snow in the next 7+ days.
As for Sunday night’s low pressure center, clearly some models say we could see strong (or damaging) wind at the Coast. Others say the low is farther offshore or weak. It’s still very much up in the air right now. At least it’s a good reason to jump on the computer this weekend and see how things are looking. Sorry I can’t add that much more than that. I’m leaning towards no big wind event here in the Valleys and some sort of windstorm at the Coast with a deeper low farther offshore (like the 00z NAM). Let’s hope the track of the 00z GFS doesn’t verify with the low 15 millibars deeper!
The deep lows will definitely will be watched closely the next week. The new 00z ECMWF (which looks like the NAM with Sunday’s low by the way) has the cold trough just to our west and swinging lows up towards us for the next 9 days.
Have a good weekend!
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen