Not much time left to discuss, but I too did notice the 00z GFS and 00z GEM (Canadian) both show a very deep low moving right up the Oregon Coastline on Sunday night. The 00z WRF-GFS shows a significant windstorm on the central/north Coast. I think I counted 24 millibars from UIL to OTH around midnight…and it’s a fast mover too. Great ingredients for a windstorm out there. However, details in the 250mph jet approaching the Western USA Sunday and Monday are most definitely changing from model run to model run. I wouldn’t be at all surprised if future runs back off.
The 00z ECMWF and 00z NAM did not have such a deep low close to the coastline, but it’s definitely a development to watch. It appears that as we go through the rest of the week the lows stay farther south, taking most of the rain and all of the wind with them. In fact east wind is far more likely the rest of next week.
Chief Meteorologist Mark Nelsen