I just saw this on the HPC website, referencing the very stormy and wet period coming up beginning late this weekend down south:
“THIS EVENT HAS THE POTENTIAL TO APPROACH OR RIVAL THE JAN/FEB 1998 EL NINO EVENT IN CENTRAL CA AND THE JAN 1995 TIME FRAME FOR SOCAL. QPF TOTALS FROM MODEL GUIDANCE ARE VERY HIGH WITH AN OVERALL RANGE OF 7-12 LIQUID INCHES DURING THIS FORECAST PERIOD OVER COASTAL REGIONS/SIERRA. EXPECT CONSIDERABLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER A MULTIDAY PERIOD WITH 10-20 INCH MOUNTAIN AMOUNTS WITH EVEN HIGHER OVER FAVORABLE TERRAIN. SIERRA MOUNTAIN SNOWS MAY BE IN THE 8-12 FOOT RANGE. AS THE JET CORE SHIFTS SOUTHWARD THE HEAVIER PCPN WILL BE MORE CONCENTRATED INTO SRN CA WHERE SIMILAR RAINFALL NUMBERS MAY OVER ESPECIALLY OVER FAVORABLE TERRAIN. SOME LOCAL FAVORED TERRAIN AREAS WILL MOST LIKELY APPROACH 20 INCH LIQUID AMOUNTS DURING THIS PERIOD WITH THE EVENT CONTINUING PAST OUR 7 DAY RANGE YIELDING EVEN HIGHER TOTALS. VERY HVY SNOWS CAN BE EXPECTED OVER HIGHER TERRAIN AND A FLOODING/MUDSLIDE PROBLEMS APPEAR LIKELY. A HEAVY RAIN THREAT FOR AZ APPEARS IN STORE THURS INTO SAT. SEE CPC THREATS ANALYSIS AND LOCAL NWS OFFICE STATEMENTS/ADVISORIES AND EVENTUALLY WARNINGS. HIGH CONFIDENCE EVENT WITH PAC RECON REQUESTED.”
I think we know what the big weather news story will be by the middle of next week! They have been in a long-term drought down there for years and could use a good soaking, but this probably isn’t quite what they would like to see.