AMS Broadcasters Conference

ams_logoI spent most of today at the 37th Annual AMS Broadcasters Conference with other TV weather people from around the country.  Generally there is one of these conferences each year and usually they are held in late June.  This one will continue through Thursday.  This is also the first year that the conference has come to Portland.  About 6 years ago Seattle hosted the conference, but usually it’s much farther away.  That’s for good reason;  the vast majority of TV stations are east of the Rockies.  Television markets to the east are generally smaller so there are more of them.  The most obvious thing today was the light attendance.  Less than 100 meteorologists when the usual total is around 200-300!  The economy is mainly to blame.  TV companies are making cutbacks just like others.

I always get a bit fired up after several days of sessions because we get to learn about all sorts of new things at these conferences.  For example, today we learned that the new GOES-R satellite (not coming for a few more years) will have an optical lightning detector.  So 24 hours a day over oceans and land all lightning strikes will be detectable, including cloud to cloud.  That should be fun to see.  Gene Norman from Houston talked about Ike’s arrival and the ensuing mess down there last September.   I can’t imaging being without power down there for two weeks during the summer heat/humidity!

This Portland conference was fun today since quite a few local TV (and ex-TV) folks showed up.  Matt Zaffino, Bruce Sussman, and I gave the opening “Welcome to Portland” presentations about our local climate.  Rod Hill, Dave Salesky, Rhonda Shelby, Drew Jackson, Stephanie Kralevich, Dave Sweeney & Stephanie Ortmann were there as well.   Imagine getting a big hug from Salesky and Shelby in the same day!   Good times just keep on rolling, I almost had tears in my eyes…okay, to be serious I didn’t.  But it REALLY is nice that just about all the weather people in the Portland Television Market get along so well when we see each other.  It’s a friendly group of people.

These sessions are not open to the general public, but the LOCAL Oregon Chapter of the AMS has a meeting on Tuesday evening in the same location.  I can’t make it because I’ll be working, but I do recommend trying to get there if you can.  Details are here:  http://www.ametsoc.org/chapters/oregon/OR-AMS_meeting_June23-2009.pdf

Mark Nelsen

107 Responses to AMS Broadcasters Conference

  1. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    That wasn’t the best grammar…

  2. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    Looks like the 00z and 18z held on to the 12 and 6z’s idea of a good ridge building near the end of next week. Euro hasn’t been very bullish on this but has been inching around, I’m sure it will soon as the GFS has shown this for 4 runs now.
    I hope we have a hot ridge for the fourth, maybe we get a cutoff low to give us some natural fireworks on the independence day. 🙂

  3. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    It looks like Summer has officially approached?

  4. Tetra says:

    Tetra is glad it won’t get above the low 90s or even upper 80s if this pans out.

    KPTV Forecast

    * Warm up for the Weekend *

    A thick layer of cool marine air surged inland overnight, giving us “leftover” low clouds most of today west of the Cascades. Those clouds dissipate this evening, so there is no chance for rain.

    The strong and cool onshore flow ends tomorrow and Saturday, allowing the strong summer sunshine to warm us up dramatically. Other than brief morning clouds Friday, solid sunshine is on tap through most of the weekend. High temps on Saturday reach well into the 80s. Right now we don’t see any chance for rain through the middle of next week either

  5. Tetra says:

    Partly sunny just now and a north wind. 73F and a 36 percent humidity. 45.0F dewpoint.

    niiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiiccccccccccceeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!

  6. Mostly sunny now and 68°….nice!

  7. TriforceofEternity says:

    Good. I was just worried that saying that our totals were different would upset Jesse.

  8. Andrew Johnson (Silverton) says:

    Cloudy and 69 here currently. And TMZ is now reporting that the “King of Pop” has died.

  9. The NWS has issued their first Excessive Heat Warning of the year down here…looks like upper 90s to low 100s, and 70s at night!

  10. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    wow, that didn’t work to well, let’s try this:
    http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KPDX

  11. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    The GFS is once again hinting at a decent ridge building around mid next week and has been moving towards that trend the last three runs and showed it a couple days ago as well. We may get those low 90’s we so deserve…
    Euro hasn’t fully come aboard but has been moving that direction a bit each run over the last two days.
    It’s not a 100 degree ridge but nonetheless, anything warm would be awesome right now!
    PDX:
    111 Tue 06/30 03Z 64 ° 72 ° 64 ° 50 ° NW 9 NNE 11 0.00 0.00 562 576 10 ° -11 ° 1018 12 %
    114
    Tue 06/30 06Z 53 ° 72 ° 53 ° 59 ° NW 7 NNW 7
    0.00
    0.00 561
    576
    10 °
    -10 ° 1019
    8 %
    117 Tue 06/30 09Z 48 ° 53 ° 48 ° 47 ° NW 4 NNW 13 0.00 0.00 560 575 8 ° -11 ° 1019 0 %
    120
    Tue 06/30 12Z 43 ° 53 ° 43 ° 48 ° NNW 2 NNW 18
    0.00
    0.00 559
    575
    7 °
    -11 ° 1019
    0 %
    123 Tue 06/30 15Z 54 ° 54 ° 42 ° 40 ° NNW 4 NNE 20 0.00 0.00 559 575 7 ° -12 ° 1019 0 %
    126
    Tue 06/30 18Z 67 ° 67 ° 42 ° 38 ° NNW 7 NNE 16
    0.00
    0.00 560
    576
    8 °
    -11 ° 1019
    0 %
    129 Tue 06/30 21Z 75 ° 75 ° 67 ° 37 ° NNW 7 NNE 13 0.00 0.00 563 578 9 ° -11 ° 1018 0 %
    132 Wed 07/01 00Z 77 ° 77 ° 67 ° 38 ° NNW 9 NNE 16 0.00 0.00 565 579 11 ° -11 ° 1017 0 %
    135 Wed 07/01 03Z 69 ° 77 ° 69 ° 51 ° NNW 7 ENE 13 0.00 0.00 566 579 13 ° -11 ° 1017 21 %
    138 Wed 07/01 06Z 59 ° 77 ° 59 ° 58 ° N 7 E 13 0.00 0.00 566 580 14 ° -11 ° 1018 25 %
    141 Wed 07/01 09Z 53 ° 59 ° 53 ° 46 ° N 4 E 13 0.00 0.00 565 580 14 ° -11 ° 1018 5 %
    144 Wed 07/01 12Z 51 ° 59 ° 50 ° 43 ° NNE 4 E 16 0.00 0.00 565 579 14 ° -11 ° 1017 3 %
    147 Wed 07/01 15Z 61 ° 61 ° 50 ° 37 ° NNE 4 E 20 0.00 0.00 566 579 14 ° -11 ° 1017 0 %
    150 Wed 07/01 18Z 80 ° 80 ° 50 ° 36 ° NE 7 E 16 0.00 0.00 567 580 14 ° -11 ° 1016 0 %
    153 Wed 07/01 21Z 88 ° 88 ° 80 ° 35 ° NE 4 ENE 11 0.00 0.00 569 580 16 ° -11 ° 1014 0 %
    156 Thu 07/02 00Z 88 ° 89 ° 80 ° 39 ° N 7 NE 11 0.00 0.00 571 580 17 ° -11 ° 1013 0 %
    159 Thu 07/02 03Z 77 ° 88 ° 77 ° 55 ° NNW 9 ENE 16 0.00 0.00 570 580 17 ° -12 ° 1013 0 %
    162 Thu 07/02 06Z 65 ° 88 ° 66 ° 64 ° N 7 E 11 0.00 0.00 570 580 18 ° -12 ° 1014 0 %
    165 Thu 07/02 09Z 57 ° 65 ° 57 ° 50 ° NNE 4 ESE 4 0.00 0.00 569 580 18 ° -12 ° 1013 0 %
    168 Thu 07/02 12Z 51 ° 65 ° 51 ° 51 ° NNE 2 E 2 0.00 0.00 568 579 17 ° -12 ° 1013 0 %
    171 Thu 07/02 15Z 65 ° 65 ° 50 ° 41 ° N 2 E 4 0.00 0.00 568 579 17 ° -12 ° 1013 0 %
    174 Thu 07/02 18Z 85 ° 85 ° 50 ° 43 ° NNW 2 ESE 7 0.00 0.00 569 579 17 ° -12 ° 1012 0 %
    177 Thu 07/02 21Z 91 ° 91 ° 86 ° 39 ° WNW 4 CALM 0.00 0.00 571 579 18 ° -12 ° 1011 0 %
    180 Fri 07/03 00Z 88 ° 91 ° 86 ° 44 ° WNW 4 CALM 0.00 0.00 572 580 19 ° -12 ° 1011 0 %
    WRF is also showing this:
    http://www.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/loops/wxloop.cgi?mm5d2_x_tsfc+///3

  12. Cloudy morning and 57.8°, no rain.

  13. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    Tetra, there was no conflict going between me and Jesse…

    I was talking about how deep the snow was outside, until I realized you guys were talking about “totals”. So it was my mistake 🙂

  14. ..If anyone is bored, we are still looking for more bandwidth use at the flab 5 chat place….

    http://flab5.info/

  15. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    Jesse, maybe I didn’t word it properly. I had over around 20 inches “total” of course. The 9 inches I was talking about was how deep the snow was outside my place. Next time I will re-word my explanations so that you guys will understand next time. sorry about that

  16. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    Yeah this marine push was caused by the forward momentum of a dying cold front that is attached to a rather impressive 996mb low that moved into northern Vancouver Island.

  17. Tetra says:

    First of all thank you Jesse for giving me information about the marine layer coming in as I wasn’t quite sure what the H.E double hockey sticks was going on.

    Mom says the radio forecast is for showers tomorrow but I am going to let her know they are W-R-O-N-G.

    Well Jesse if you don’t want to believe Timmy and me that we didn’t have as much snow as you then go argue it on Western Weather Forum as they would LOVE to have it. (The Argument) cause I won’t do it here.

    This blog is for CIVILIZED discussions only as stated by Mark’s commandment #3

    3. NO PROFANITY:
    This is pretty obvious, but avoid being *RUDE* too.

    That means Jesse you can’t say that we are !#$!4 jealous people either due to claiming our lack of snow and you can’t do things you do to TT.Sea *which I won’t mention here* to make us upset so you can further make fun of us.

    BTW: We never once had snow go above the 6″ mark but we had an ice storm and you didn’t and got to have a fun lengthly power outage. *Non sarcasim here*

    Weather. *Weather or not you like it*

    65.7F and south wind. Mostly cloudy with MARINE layer clouds. Not storm clouds. 😦

    I hope with every heat wave this summer we either cap it off with T-storms or marine layer like today.

    I hope God has a good memory to remember this pattern.

  18. Ryan (Walnut Grove) says:

    All I can say to those wonderful west winds is….

    AHHHHHHHHHHHHH

    Very refreshing evening. If only the majority of our summers were just like today. Warm during the day with strong west winds blowing in the evening.

    • Tetra says:

      In agreemeant with Ryan.

      “All I can say to those wonderful west winds is….

      AHHHHHHHHHHHHH

      Very refreshing evening. If only the majority of our summers were just like today. Warm during the day with strong west winds blowing in the evening.”

      I just found out you can reply to certain posts by clicking *Reply*.

  19. Tetra says:

    So that ole Marine layer is moving on in?

    So those clouds to the west isn’t a system?

  20. Rob "Wrath" S.E. Portland says:

    Nice marine push underway. Hillsboro seeing westerlies gust to 30mph… Bring it on….

  21. muxpux says:

    there must have been some sort of boundary associated with the trailing edge of that system, as longview went from 79 and winds from the south, to 72 and northerly winds now. definitely doesnt feel nearly as warm out as it did a couple hours ago.

    i guess if you want heat, the midwest is just insane right now. temps in the mid-upper 90’s, humidity around 60%, heat indexes in the 105+ range. just ridiculous.

  22. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    The NWS Portland added a “Severe Thunderstorms” section to their “Past Storms” page!

    http://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pqr/paststorms/svr.php

    The thunderstorms we had on June 4 was definitely something they had to include.

  23. Tetra says:

    *Tetra can’t waits for the winter prediction and is hoping the valley will get the goods this time thru*

    Jan 1969 anyone?

    • Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

      that would be fun if we had 2-3 feet of snow. Although it’s really too much of cyclical type storm to come back again so soon. Maybe in Jan 2069 we will see something similar!

    • Jesse-Orchards says:

      Timmy, what does that even mean?

      I had 2-3 ft of snow just last winter, fwiw.

    • Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

      In what type of area do you live in Jesse? If you at an elevated or hilly area, thats probably why you had 2-3 feet of snow. The snow reports from Jan 1969 indicate that much had fallen on the “Valley Floor”.

    • …the place i’m sitting, at 300+ feet, had 25 inches last winter…i was in this same neighborhood in 69, and if anything, there was more at this particular location last winter…

    • Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

      Thats impossible. my elevation isn’t that far yours, yet i only had 9 inches. it was probably the hills surrounding that suppressed some of the snow from reaching…

    • Jesse-Orchards says:

      I live in Orchards, NE of Vancouver, at an elevation of 200′

      I had 32.5 inches of snow last winter.

      23″ in December.

      8″ in January.

      1.5″ in February.

    • Jesse-Orchards says:

      Dude, only nine inches of snow last winter? Are you freaking kidding me??

      Even PDX, close to sea level, recorded well over 20″.

      Buy a new ruler. :p

  24. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    I don’t think I’ll be seeing 9 inches of white stuff on my parking lot this December, thats my prediction for now

    • Jesse-Orchards says:

      I predict it will be 55 and rainy next March 16th.

      This is subject to change of course, as more information becomes available.

  25. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    Yep Aloha, time does fly these days.

    Wow currently its 81 in Portland and 80 here in the ‘boro. Warmer than yesterday it seems. And a system is approaching us, not what I expected.

  26. Aloha Rainshadow says:

    HEY ALL YOU WEATHER GEEKS!!!!
    In about 2 months we are going to start talking about winter predictions again as we will be getting close to September! Man time flys!!!

  27. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    A sprinkle I guess is possible. IF anything, it would be by 7 or 8 pm or so at the earliest.

  28. Timmy_Supercell (Hillsboro) says:

    Temperatures are approaching 80 in quite a few locations already. Still mostly sunny, I think we may pull another 80 today.

    I don’t know why they were even predicting rain at all. No showers are developing, and the systems looks WAY too far up north for us to get any moisture.

    Any thoughts?

  29. …that low is crazy for this time of year, continuing the streak of crazy things for the last year or so, IMHO..
    and the weather would be perfect if it weren’t for these damnable pollen levels when the wind gets any kind of south component….
    ..any comments on the Jack thing????…

  30. PeteyJ - Uptown Village Vancouver says:

    71 at 10:45 this morning. 5 degrees warmer than 24 hours ago. could be a warm one today.

  31. umpire says:

    Wow, nary a morning comment outside of Mark’s.

    What perfect weather, and I see the weekend forecast is also looking supreme.

    We’re nearing the timeframe for our highest average temperatures, per the NWS site – from July 15 through August 21 our average daily high temp. is 80 degrees.

    Sorry I missed the AMS gathering – there was this musician named David Byrne over at the Schnitzer, and I decided to check him out instead 😉

    • …totally of weather…how was the show??????

    • umpire says:

      Having never seen him before, I have nothing to compare to, but thought it was a really good show. Band was tight, played quite a bit from the new album, but also lots of Talking Heads material. Dancers, everyone from Byrne to the band dressed in white. Finished the last two encore numbers with the Extra Action Marching Band from San Francisco (similar to Portland’s March Fourth band) coming down the aisles at the Schnitz, finished with “Burning Down the House” – which he did!

  32. WRF-GFS 00z showing a rather intense low for this time of year in the southern Gulf of Alaska for Friday:

    Sounds like I missed a good meeting tonight…

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