
First Thunderstorm Approaching Estacada Today
Hoping for some good weather action during the evening shows…we’ll see. More later.
4:30PM: Obviously plenty of cloud to cloud lightning in the last hour and a half because there were no strikes on detection any closer than east of Estacada (in the image). Thanks for the blog comments letting me know when you hear thunder. I’m also timelapsing the nice group of towers up around Mt. St. Helens. Should make a nice movie for the later shows!
10:15pm: Things sure died down quickly after 7pm tonight. In fact all the action from 9pm to now has been 50 miles offshore of Newport and Lincoln City. Low level atmosphere is moist this evening…whew! Sweaty out there. Looks like a good afternoon for scattered storms again tomorrow with easterly flow developing at all levels below 5,000′ helping out our surface heating as well. Models continue to put most of the main action to our south tomorrow and Wednesday. Generally this pattern is very good for storms west of the Cascades. But no model shows a good trigger for a wild afternoon or evening of storms. We’ll see.
The bizarre unseasonably warm, but not hot, weather is going to continue for 2 more days. There are signs of some sort of significant change coming up over the weekend. No more of the real warm weather with high temps coming back down close to seasonal norms. This time of year that would be near 70 or so.
My temp dropped 15° in last hour, now at 65.6°
That was fun!
My internet is back, better than typing on my mobile device.
*though
No damage around me. I heard the fire station sirens go off a couple times though. Still raining, but not as hard, never saw any hail. Still getting lightning every 15 seconds or so, maybe a little more distant tough. Sorry no video camera.
Mike, any damage at all? We envy your fun.
internet down. on my mobile device. very active hear, lightning every 5-15 seconds. only got heavy rain, no hail here in town. I think center of storm move by just to my south. still plenty of activity though. power flashing but still on. WOW!
Impressive severe storm in Lane, Linn Counties:
here is a live cam in eugene streaming, good view of the storms.
http://webcam.uoregon.edu/view/index.shtml
Yup sure am. Be back in 20-25 minutes.
Go storms!
Rob, are you talking about that cell just to the east of Mill city?
might loose my power soon
5:30 PM SPC Thermodynamic Fields
Willamette Valley (Salem north)
SB CAPE: 250-1000
ML CAPE: 0-1000
MU CAPE: 1000-1500
LIFTED INDEX: -1 to -5
Mid-Level Lapse Rates: 6
Low-Level Lapse Rates: 9
Instability increased a bit and surface CAP is spotty.
Salem southward to California Border
SB CAPE: 1000-1500
ML CAPE: 1000-2000
MU CAPE: 1000-2000
LIFTED INDEX: -3 to -6
Mid-Level Lapse Rates: 6.5 to 7
Low-Level Lapse Rates: 7 to 9
Surface CAP strengthening. This is starting to transition into more of an elevated t-storm outbreak which is more common here. It’s very hard to maintain a surface based outbreak in the PNW.
Timmy…You do realize that they don’t warn for GR3 hail…whatever that is. They need 1 inch hail for a warning. That’s not easy to get here.
“GR3 Hail” doesn’t mean anything. Level 3 data is exactly the same on every radar. Hail signatures were verifying hail larger than an inch long before the warning was issued. I know what is needed for a warning
starting to get active here, windy, flashes everywhere to east and south. Exciting!
Cell has developed a bit further in Marion County….
Is there rotation with that storm east of Eugene? looks like it on radar, some sort of twist in the center of the storm.
GR3 hail markers sometimes are not always accurate, but yeah this probably needed to be warned a bit earlier.
Warning is issued!!!
Jesus Christ, they have to actually wait until the hail sigs go completely nuts before issuing a warning.
Hail sig indicated 2.00″ at 5:20 pm, no warning then.
BULLETIN – EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PORTLAND OR
543 PM PDT WED JUN 3 2009
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PORTLAND HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR…
NORTH CENTRAL LANE COUNTY IN WESTERN OREGON…
SOUTH CENTRAL LINN COUNTY IN WESTERN OREGON…
* UNTIL 630 PM PDT.
* AT 540 PM PDT…NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING QUARTER SIZE HAIL…BRIEF HEAVY RAIN…DANGEROUS LIGHTNING AND STRONG GUSTY WINDS. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR LEABURG…OR 16 MILES SOUTH OF SWEET HOME…AND MOVING NORTH AT 15 MPH.
* THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WILL BE NEAR…
MARCOLA…
HOLLEY…
SWEET HOME…CRAWFORDSVILLE AND FOSTER RESERVOIR…
93.0F now. This is the top for sure.