June Weather Ends

Snapshot  It's been quite a wild weather ride the last 5 days.  I took Friday off to do a one-night camping trip near Estacada.  That was really cold.  I couldn't believe folks were camping in tents when the morning low was 31 degrees out there early Saturday morning.  But the temperature jumped almost 30 degrees in 3 days (by Monday), as if we went from February to June over the weekend.  A high of 51 sounds brutally cold now.  I was pleased with our forecasts for the last few days.  When I left Thursday we forecast 60, 70, 75, 68 for Saturday through Monday.  Looks like all except today were within 3 degrees.  I think this points out how well we've been forecasting "heat waves" the last 5 years.  I don't think we've missed a single significant warm up (or summer heat wave) in a long time.  Models seem to do quite well with the 850mb temp forecasting, which leaves the meteorologists to deal with local terrain effects and other factors that affect the final high temp down here at the surface.  Some day we'll get just as good with the ending of ice and snow storms, but I'll be an old man (maybe 50-60) by then.

Short term, a nice surge of marine air is taking over tonight.  I see low clouds have arrived at Eugene already.  Our model and the WRF-GFS show a thick push that seems to get broken up by the much cooler air arriving in the upper atmosphere tomorrow.  That's why they show skies turning partly cloudy.  Our 60 degree forecast accounts for this.  Otherwise a strong push in early April would make me think more like 55 degrees for a high.

I don't have any other deep thoughts for the next 7 days or so.  Looks pretty typical, actually a bit on the cool side, through the period.  I did get a chance to plant carrots, spinach and lettuce.  The garden is now going…slowly…Mark Nelsen

22 Responses to June Weather Ends

  1. ….and where there’s smoke, there’s …….BBQ!
    😉

  2. boydo3, N. Albany 500' says:

    Twitter? How bout T’weather. Or tweather. At some point I think I’m gonna get left behind. This could be that point. At least if you see smoke coming out my chimney you’ll know I haven’t left the planet.

  3. Christiana--Forest Grove says:

    If you don’t want to read twitter then don’t sign up for it. I use twitter and would be happy for anyone on hat this blog to follow me. I decided not to follow as many people cause I was getting too many updates. I also took an idea from a friend and sometimes use quotes for my updates.
    Okay. Now that I got that off my chest: I miss the sunshine but we knew the rain would come back.

  4. cap - hood river says:

    You control what you put out on Twitter, but you don’t control all of your Tweets and their postings. Of course you can always simply not go to Twitter.com and log in. The concept makes sense for some situations. Getting updates from AMS, or FoxNews, or something like that, makes some sense. But posting inane drivel is a waste of time (IMHO), and kind of self-indulgent.

  5. cap - hood river says:

    Looks like that storm over south central Oregon earlier today is going to cause a lot of havoc back east later this week, starting tomorrow.

  6. TV Weather Producer says:

    Twitter is a good service and its still a new thing. The Oregon AMS is on twitter, and so am I. I only update it when I feel like there is something to share with people. Trust me, I’m very anti-tell everyone about everything, but you can control it with twitter. You control it.
    As for the weather, I miss the sunshine !

  7. TetraforceofTime also The destroyer of bad-boys says:

    Thanks Rob for telling me and I copied and pasted it in word pad for a reference. I tell my parents what you guys say as they are learning about Oregon’s weather too. 🙂
    Well Jesse I owe you one since you pulled us away from Venus at the last minute instead of blowing everybody to smitterings.

  8. It has been a very drippy morning, just had a brief heavy shower. Currently 50°.
    Just turned 50 last month, family got me good with the surprise party business.
    Logan’s Run, good movie, unless your old.

  9. N3EG says:

    I remember Logan’s Run, the original Battlestar Galactica, Bob Newhart’s first show, Jonny Quest…I’m proud to be old.
    51 and cloudy in Longview.

  10. LOL Larry…. Yah, evidently anything over 50 is “old” to these young-uns…. 😉
    Anyone remember Logan’s Run???
    As for Twitter (yes, this “forty-something-or-other” chick actually uses it…) — It’s got its benefits but still….I think it’s just the latest fad (I find most sites have “real time” updates that work just as well (IMHO) and don’t overload the daylights outta my inbox like Twitter updates do). Just a matter of preference at that point, I guess.
    50.1°F here with “the drizzles”…. 😉

  11. Rob "Wrath" - Elevation 300' -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    Yeah, but why does almost everyone feel the need that they suddenly have to inform everyone what they are doing 24/7? That’s my point…. I can’t see anything positive being gained from it.
    What a difference this morning out there. Cool, cloudy, and breezy. 52.2F

  12. …Hey…wait just a sec here….old man at 50-60??????????

  13. 76° at pdx yesterday? I was robbed! only got to 65.7°, clouds rolled in pretty early.

  14. Rob Martin says:

    Twitter – I forgot to mention this durring Marks vacation. Our web people decided to make us a Twitter account. It will help us get the word out, does it work good for those who use it?

  15. Jesse-Orchards says:

    I don’t understand hating new technology. It’s not like anyone is making you use it. “Information overload” is such a cop-out too. If you don’t want tons of information on stuff don’t look it up! Although I don’t see anything wrong with being informed.
    Anyway 49 here with gusty SSW winds continuing. Feels pretty refreshing out there.

  16. Rob "Wrath" - Elevation 300' -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    A few years ago during late June I was camping southeast of Estacada at a place called Round Lake. Nice little lake, not the best campground, but good hiking trails. When we left to leave it was quite warm probably in the 80F’s in Portland, but the first night a cold front blasted through producing very strong winds at the top of the Collawash River Gorge. It was so bad we had to leave the next morning. We then headed to Hideaway Lake which is near Timothy Lake. That night as we cooked burgers on the fancy campstove lol it snowed and temps fell to the low 20’s. Weather changes happen very rapidly even into early Summer in the Cascades.
    Aly, I know lol… It just really sounds like information overload another senseless piece of technology.

  17. last year i went camping just outside of Estacada last year during spring break. first day it was a downpour next day perfect sunshine and about 50 degrees then woke up to snow in a tent and a sleeping bad thru all of it. when u have enough beer in ur system things like that doesnt bother u as much hahah

  18. Tornado Aly (Vancouver) says:

    Well, you only post when you feel like it, lol. If you don’t feel like posting what you are doing, then don’t. I just got it, and I am following CNN, Fox 12 news, the weather, among other things. It can go to your phone as well. It’s good to know what’s going on in real time sometimes.

  19. Rob "Wrath" - Elevation 300' -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    I might Twitter! Yes! Everyone needs to know what I am doing between 10:49 AM and 11:17 AM! You all need to know what I am drinking, if I am watching TV, what I am watching, am I eating anything? What am I thinking? Did I go anywhere….
    SERIOUSLY ENOUGH! What a lame, robotic, insane society we are becoming.

  20. Tornado Aly (Vancouver) says:

    Thanks, Mark! Hey, if anyone has ventured into Twitter, fox12weather updates on there as well with Mark’s blog headlines. Pretty interesting stuff that Twitter.

  21. Ben Randall (tillamook city) says:

    Thanks for the update mark …. tillamook got to 74 on sunday!!!!

  22. Rob "Wrath" - Elevation 300' -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    First!
    Thanks for the update, Mark.

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