Spring Starts Cool

March 17, 2009

Snapshot  I spent a few minutes looking up old weather data…one of the finer pleasures in life I have to say.

  We've had one day at/above 60 degrees so far this late winter/early spring.  Last year we had 7 so far, in 2007 we had 5 as of this date.  You get the idea.  Each season is clearly different looking at the image here that I used during the weathercast.  Remember 2005?  That was a really warm one…up until March 15th, then it cooled off quickly after that.  2004 didn't have an obscenely large number of warm days through March 15th, but then the rest of Spring was quite warm.  As I recall the strawberries, blueberries, and other early season fruits were way ahead of schedule that year.  Apparently that won't be the case this year.  My peach trees are barely even showing color, and everything else in my yard/garden appears to be fully dormant, as one would expect in late February…even up at 1,000'.

Drew and I talked about it a bit this afternoon.  I think we agreed that the occasional warm starts to Spring raise our expectations for following years.  But then our hopes of a nice and warm spring are smashed like a molding pumpkin against a rural mailbox.

Not a whole lot to talk about weatherwise.  A springlike day tomorrow since we'll be inbetween weather systems, then more rain or showers each of the following 5-7 days.  Right now there is no sign of warmer weather and ridging of any sort.  Heck, I'd be happy with just split flow that we had back in February.  Just some 60-65 degree days would be nice.  I see the GFS and ECMWF are quite cold at two different times in the extended forecast; 850 mb temps drop in the -5 to -8 degree range.  The two models aren't together on the timing, so I'm not too excited for any low elevation snowfall.  But remember last Spring Break?  Snow fell several different mornings in the hills and even briefly in the Valley…Mark Nelsen