Big Meeting Tomorrow!

Snapshot Just a little graphic to whet your appetite for the winter weather meeting tomorrow.  Don't forget that any member of the public is welcome to come to the OMSI Auditorium (right side of building as you enter) from 10am to Noon tomorrow.  It's the 16th Annual WHAT WILL THE WINTER BE LIKE meeting, sponsored by the Oregon Chapter of the American Meteorological Society and OMSI.  This is always the biggest meeting of the year for the Oregon AMS.  What is it?  I start with a presentation showing the different weather events of the past year, then 4 or 5 prognosticators take a stab at a winter forecast.  This is one meeting in which I have no idea what they are going to say.  We have no El Nino or La Nina now or forecast…so it's a La Nada year right?  Sounds like we should roll the dice.  The meeting is FREE, which is always a good draw.  And you'll get to meet lots of other weather professionals along with weather geeks (like us).  It's good to put faces to names as well.  For those of you that can't make it, I'll try to get my presentation online tomorrow evening.

Not a whole lot going on weatherwise, one weak system moved through today, another late tomorrow, then a strong upper-level ridge of high pressure moves overhead late in the weekend and early next week.  I think we'll be pushing that 70 degree temperature mark again Sunday and Monday…Mark Nelsen

66 Responses to Big Meeting Tomorrow!

  1. brenda says:

    wow so how many years of college does it take to know about weather?
    maybe you should get a life and look at some pornos
    and no katrina doesnt count as a porno.

  2. brenda says:

    wow you fags r way into weather and as for austin, i told you it’d work.

  3. Steve Pierce (Vancouver, WA.) says:

    Good evening everyone!
    I would be more than happy to shoot the entire meeting, with my video business http://www.piercevideo.com but I have two issues with that —
    1. I would never get to enjoy the event itself.
    2. No one would show up if they heard that they could see it the same day (or next day) on You Tube. So I think it is a great idea, but what would that do to the turnout? Just a thought. After all, we have a chapter of the AMS that does count on membership. Those members need to show up and pay dues. πŸ™‚ But it is only $7 a year and today was awesome. That $7 was well worth it to see the hours and hours it takes all the people involved to put this event on. It is more than just a forecast from several mets, it is a family. Just under 200 people showed up and it was the single largest event the chapter has ever put on to date, I believe. All there to geek off and talk weather. What could be better than that? Well, don’t answer that. I could think of a few. πŸ™‚
    As for the weather items talked about at the meeting, there will be several write-up’s in tomorrow’s Columbian and Oregonian along with several news stories already produced today at 5pm and 6pm newscasts.
    Looks like a La Nada winter where pretty much “anything goes.” We could see extremes from all sides this winter. Flip a coin and you will have better odds, or at least as good. As for the winter of 1955-1956, look where it falls in the list of all-time snowiest winters at PDX since 1950. It ranks #3 since 1950 and #17 of all time (back to 1871).
    1950-present snow at PDX —
    Rank Winter Snowfall
    1 1949-50 44.5
    2 1968-69 34
    3 1955-56 22.4
    4 1992-93 14.1
    5 1950-51 13.3
    6 1959-60 12.9
    7 1979-80 12.4
    8 2003-04 12.3
    9 1964-65 11.3
    10 1967-68 10.9
    All-time snowfall at PDX —
    Rank Winter Snowfall
    1 1892-93 60.9
    2 1871-72 50
    3 1949-50 44.5
    4 1915-16 43
    5 1889-90 41.6
    6 1873-74 36.1
    7 1884-85 35.1
    8 1936-37 34.3
    9 1968-69 34
    10 1886-87 31.2
    11 1872-73 30.3
    12 1875-76 28.6
    13 1883-84 25.5
    14 1898-99 23.8
    15 1894-95 23
    16 1948-49 23
    17 1955-56 22.4
    18 1922-23 22.2
    19 1880-81 21.8
    20 1926-27 20.4
    Sad to see how all the good totals were long before most of us were alive. Shame! 😦
    SP

  4. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    If OPB did so, or just anyone with a high definition camcorder it would greatly benefit the AMS, the public, and us die hard weather geeks. You would draw so much more attention and recognition and bring more enthusiasm to Meteorology, Climatology, ect as well as more people gaining interest. Wow weather geeks taking over the planet. πŸ™‚
    It would be a great thing to have happen.. meaning if someone could record the meeting. Okay and the other part too would be fun.

  5. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    If OPB did so, or just anyone with a high definition camcorder it would greatly benefit the AMS, the public, and us die hard weather geeks. You would draw so much more attention and recognition and bring more enthusiasm to Meteorology, Climatology, ect as well as more people gaining interest. Wow weather geeks taking over the planet. πŸ™‚
    It would be a great thing to have happen.. meaning if someone could record the meeting. Okay and the other part too would be fun.

  6. TV Weather Producer says:

    OPB operates as a for profit group. Profit for them isn’t money, its the property of the shoot. I love the stuff they do…Oregon Field Guide…and other programs. They wouldn’t just shoot it, they would edit and then they would want to air it. OPB has been a great partner with the AMS, but I believe that they wouldn’t come tape a 2 hour event and not air it. It can be done…don’t get me wrong. I would love to go back and re-watch it….Again I’ll bring it up at the next meeting.

  7. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    34.5 here before the fog rolled in.
    I think it is really cool how the morning light illuminates the fog giving a mysterious spooky look to the skies.
    Well here’s to hoping the 00z models tonight show some type of excitement. I could really use some 50-70mph east wind gusts.

  8. Atmospheric Wrath -Far S.E. Portland- says:

    34.5 here before the fog rolled in.
    I think it is really cool how the morning light illuminates the fog giving a mysterious spooky look to the skies.
    Well here’s to hoping the 00z models tonight show some type of excitement. I could really use some 50-70mph east wind gusts.

  9. Tyler in Vancouver says:

    Not quite freezing this morning…32.5…so close!

  10. Anonymous says:

    On taping the meeting… Maybe OPB be interested in doing it, as a PR service

  11. Anonymous says:

    On taping the meeting… Maybe OPB be interested in doing it, as a PR service

  12. Anonymous says:

    On taping the meeting… Maybe OPB be interested in doing it, as a PR service

  13. Andrew Johnson (Silverton) says:

    Ya the chem trails thing was a bit much IMO. I was trying to be polite as possible and not laugh out loud. IDK, some people really believe in that kinda stuff though so to each their own.

  14. Andrew Johnson (Silverton) says:

    Ya the chem trails thing was a bit much IMO. I was trying to be polite as possible and not laugh out loud. IDK, some people really believe in that kinda stuff though so to each their own.

  15. TV Weather Producer says:

    The AMS guys have all discussed this at different times. The only issue is having someone do it. It’s not that its not easy to shoot, edit and post the video. No one would object to it and it would drive traffic to our website…we just haven’t done it. We would have to pay someone to do this…I’ll bring it up again at the next meeting. This is one reason why we are going to try moving the meeting to a Saturday.

  16. TriforceofEternity says:

    If people have a problem tell them ‘Too bad’. Seriously. Unless it’s the people in charge of the production and higher ups.
    That would be neat to see a video of the meeting.

  17. TriforceofEternity says:

    If people have a problem tell them ‘Too bad’. Seriously. Unless it’s the people in charge of the production and higher ups.
    That would be neat to see a video of the meeting.

  18. HIO Phil (Punxsutawney) says:

    Yes, a very good idea to film it for everyone. Bobby, would any of the “on-air” personalities have a problem with this? I’m assuming the Oregon AMS or OMSI wouldn’t object.
    Tri,
    The 18z GFS looks to have a front coming through on Halloween. No certainty to the exact timing of rain this far out. Otherwise it looks like the last couple of runs have reduced the amount of precip at the begining of November. Also, the 18z had 75 for a high on Monday in Hillsboro and low 70’s on Tuesday and Wednesday, yuck…..

  19. That is a good idea, I think OSMI has a in-house video system as well.

  20. B1900 Pilot -- Bethany 400' says:

    You know what would be really nice…if somebody could make a video of the OMSI Winter Weather meeting and post it on youtube so we could all enjoy. Every year I have to work (I’m a school teacher) and I’d love to be able to sit down and listen to the discussion. AMS folks, is this something we could do in the future?

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